Blinken famously said in Jan that "the world doesn’t organize itself." It was a staunch endorsement of American domination, lest chaos or a negative counter-order would emerge.

But is is Blinken right? Not quite. A short thread: >>

scmp.com/news/china/dip…
Contrary to Blinken's prediction, we're increasingly seeing that when the US steps back militarily, others step forward diplomatically.

The US is not the only country that can organize the world, nor is it necessarily bad for the US when regional actors take on this role.>>
Beijing, Moscow, Tehran & Islamabad are trying to figure out how to curtail AlQaeda and ISIS in Afghanistan and help bring stability to the country. They are in the neighborhood, they pay the price for instability, they should shoulder this. That is actually GOOD for the US.>>
Of course, they may not succeed and the US should try to help.

But on counterterrorism, the interests of Iran, Russia & China largely align with that of the US, so others organizing the world is not automatically bad.

Unless, of course, our objecive is domination per se.>>
That appears to be at the heart of this. It is not that we fear that others will fail when trying to organize the world, rather, WE FEAR THAT THEY WILL SUCCEED and that we will lose control, even though the price for the (illusion of) control far outweighs its minimal benefits.>>
In short, we are seeking domination for the sake of domination.

Claiming that we are the only ones that can organize the world helps suffocate any suggestion that America has OTHER options - that it can choose other paths and find other roles for itself in the world. //

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More from @tparsi

19 Sep
🧵:

Fascinating story by @nytimes, but there are systemic flaws in its coverage of Israel/Iran. Don’t know Ronen Bergman, but @farnazfassihi is an outstanding reporter. Still, the systemic whitewashing of Israeli actions & motives is very troublesome.>>

nytimes.com/2021/09/18/wor…
2. No less than 3 times (!) does it cite Israel’s justification for its assassinations at face value: It’s solely to stop Iran’s (non-existent) “nuclear weapons program.” No mention that US intelligence assesses that Iran has NOT had an active weapons program since 2003. >> ImageImageImage
3. All 3 cases are unjustifiably deferential to Israel's official line with not even an ounce of scrutiny of the statements of a gov the Times itself has reported seeks to start a war.

This type of deference is sadly how the @nytimes helped sell the Iraq war.>>
Read 12 tweets
5 Aug
Major escalation by Israel in the past 24h. Israel’s UN ambassador says the quiet part out loud, admitting that Israel seeks a coup d’etat and regime change in Iran.
The same day, Israel’s Defense Minister says “we need to take military action against Iran"
But there’s more… >>
This week, the Israeli think tank BESA published a piece titled: “Dismantle Iran Now.” It calls on Biden to militarily help Iranian ethnic minorities dismantle the Iranian state violently. “The disintegration of Iran would be a blessing,” BESA writes.
besacenter.org/dismantle-iran…
Whatever one thinks of the Iranian gov, this much is clear: Experience shows that as Mideast states collapse, democracy and stability DO NOT FOLLOW. Rather, there will be war, instability, refugee flows & radicalization.>>
Read 7 tweets
4 Aug
MUST READ by @globalsarang: Liberal internationalism - or more accurately, American primacy - is not the answer to the challenges of our time, but one of the causes of it.

A response to Deudney & Ikenberry's critique of Restraint and the Quincy Coalition
responsiblestatecraft.org/2021/08/04/cal…
American primacy’s stress on democracy lacks credibility. Washington is militant on violations of rights by its geopolitical adversaries. But when it comes to U.S. allies and partners in the Global South, they rarely go beyond nudges and occasional slaps on the wrist. >>
Democracy and human rights are only of marginal importance in the liberal primacy project, except when they can act as force-multipliers in the great power competition framework. >>
Read 7 tweets
19 Jul
Surely, @QuincyInst’s latest paper will cause some minds in DC to explode

@Matthew_petti & I test the DC analysis that a single "bad actor" - invariably aligned against the US - accounts for most of the region's ailments. If it only was this simple…>>
quincyinst.org/report/no-clea…
Our quantitative and qualitative study published today shows that there is a set of powerful states who all are ROUGHLY EQUALLY INTERVENTIONIST. There is no one outlier - whether Iran, Libya, or Iraq - who more than the others is responsible for regional instability.>>
Six states have been the most interventionist: Iran, Israel, Qatar, Saudi, Turkey & UAE. Iran is highly interventionist but not an outlier. The others are often equally interventionist — and at times even more so. UAE & Turkey have actually recently surpassed Iran.>>
Read 9 tweets
7 Jun
/THREAD/ Won’t lie, tremendously honored to receive this recognition from Chomsky.

But more importantly, Chomsky is right that between the official sanctions narrative on Iran and the one I present in Losing an Enemy, there’s no serious scholarship behind the official line. >>
The official line essentially says that Obama sanctioned Iran till they begged for mercy and agreed to negotiate. Then, despite the sanctions remaining in place, the Iranians were so desperate for sanctions relief that it took almost three years to reach a deal (!!??) >>
Thus, had it not been for sanctions, the JCPOA would never have come about and only war could have stopped Iran from getting a nuke. The sanctions were, the official line goes, “essential leverage.” >>
Read 17 tweets
12 May
@IgnatiusPost has a good column today where he recognizes the outbreak of MidEast diplomacy. But he underplays the main force behind this: Regional actors' conviction that the US is leaving the region and that the era of complete deference to regional partners may be ending >>
Here’s David’s column. For the US to support this embryonic yet promising diplomacy, it needs to better understand WHY it is happening now and not earlier. Hint: It is NOT because the UAE suddenly has become a force for peace as David suggests. >>

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
But UAE deserves credit. As David writes, UAE reached out to Iran in 2019 after attacks on UAE ships & Saudi oil fields. What David fails to mention is that the UAE did so after realizing the US wasn't going to defend the UAE. I wrote about it at the time: foreignpolicy.com/2020/01/06/the…
Read 15 tweets

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