Fascinating story by @nytimes, but there are systemic flaws in its coverage of Israel/Iran. Don’t know Ronen Bergman, but @farnazfassihi is an outstanding reporter. Still, the systemic whitewashing of Israeli actions & motives is very troublesome.>>
2. No less than 3 times (!) does it cite Israel’s justification for its assassinations at face value: It’s solely to stop Iran’s (non-existent) “nuclear weapons program.” No mention that US intelligence assesses that Iran has NOT had an active weapons program since 2003. >>
3. All 3 cases are unjustifiably deferential to Israel's official line with not even an ounce of scrutiny of the statements of a gov the Times itself has reported seeks to start a war.
This type of deference is sadly how the @nytimes helped sell the Iraq war.>>
4. Particularly astonishing that it categorically writes that Israel sought to force Iran “to accept strict constraints” on its program. In reality, Israel pushed for wildly unrealistic restrictions it knew Iran never would accept, in order to escalate matters to a conflict>>
5. Even if @Nytimes rejects that explanation, it should not categorically repeat Israel’s official line as the unquestioned truth. It should make clear that this explanation is Israel's claim of its motives - not a truth verified and endorsed by the Times. >>
6. When Iran claims it doesn't seek nukes, @nytimes does not accept such statements at face value - nor should it. It should always scrutinize statements by gov officials - whether they be Iranian, American or Israeli. Yet, Israel seems to systematically escape such scrutiny.>>
7. In fact, in this very piece, @nytimes correctly questions Iran’s claims that it knew of the plot, and points to possible Iranian motives of doing “damage control after an embarrassing intelligence failure.” No such journalistic scrutiny of Israeli claims, however.>>
8. Bizarrely, the piece later acknowledges that Netanyahu sought to kill Biden’s chances of reviving the #IranDeal. Add this to the acceptance of Israel’s motives, and you have accepted Netanyahu’s logic that to prevent an Iranian bomb, the JCPOA must be killed. >>
9. That’s the kind of pickles you end up in when you put Israel above scrutiny. Again, this does not appear to be episodic, but systemic.
10. There’s more. The piece claims the Mossad agents on the ground were Iranian. That is quite likely. But the piece is silent on who they may be. One likely possibility is that they are members of the MEK, a notorious terrorist organization.
11. The MEK was on the US’s terrorist list for its assassinations of Americans, Iranians, and its crimes against Iraqis when it served as Saddam’s foot soldiers. It was taken off the list by the Clinton State Dep in 2012 after an arguably illegal lobbying campaign.>>
12. NBC confirmed in 2012 that Israel used MEK agents to assassinate Iranian scientists. If they used MEK to kill Fakhrizadeh, the US decision to delist them will look even more unjustified since they had to reject violence to get off the terror list.../
Blinken famously said in Jan that "the world doesn’t organize itself." It was a staunch endorsement of American domination, lest chaos or a negative counter-order would emerge.
But is is Blinken right? Not quite. A short thread: >>
Contrary to Blinken's prediction, we're increasingly seeing that when the US steps back militarily, others step forward diplomatically.
The US is not the only country that can organize the world, nor is it necessarily bad for the US when regional actors take on this role.>>
Beijing, Moscow, Tehran & Islamabad are trying to figure out how to curtail AlQaeda and ISIS in Afghanistan and help bring stability to the country. They are in the neighborhood, they pay the price for instability, they should shoulder this. That is actually GOOD for the US.>>
Major escalation by Israel in the past 24h. Israel’s UN ambassador says the quiet part out loud, admitting that Israel seeks a coup d’etat and regime change in Iran.
The same day, Israel’s Defense Minister says “we need to take military action against Iran"
But there’s more… >>
This week, the Israeli think tank BESA published a piece titled: “Dismantle Iran Now.” It calls on Biden to militarily help Iranian ethnic minorities dismantle the Iranian state violently. “The disintegration of Iran would be a blessing,” BESA writes. besacenter.org/dismantle-iran…
Whatever one thinks of the Iranian gov, this much is clear: Experience shows that as Mideast states collapse, democracy and stability DO NOT FOLLOW. Rather, there will be war, instability, refugee flows & radicalization.>>
MUST READ by @globalsarang: Liberal internationalism - or more accurately, American primacy - is not the answer to the challenges of our time, but one of the causes of it.
American primacy’s stress on democracy lacks credibility. Washington is militant on violations of rights by its geopolitical adversaries. But when it comes to U.S. allies and partners in the Global South, they rarely go beyond nudges and occasional slaps on the wrist. >>
Democracy and human rights are only of marginal importance in the liberal primacy project, except when they can act as force-multipliers in the great power competition framework. >>
Surely, @QuincyInst’s latest paper will cause some minds in DC to explode
@Matthew_petti & I test the DC analysis that a single "bad actor" - invariably aligned against the US - accounts for most of the region's ailments. If it only was this simple…>> quincyinst.org/report/no-clea…
Our quantitative and qualitative study published today shows that there is a set of powerful states who all are ROUGHLY EQUALLY INTERVENTIONIST. There is no one outlier - whether Iran, Libya, or Iraq - who more than the others is responsible for regional instability.>>
Six states have been the most interventionist: Iran, Israel, Qatar, Saudi, Turkey & UAE. Iran is highly interventionist but not an outlier. The others are often equally interventionist — and at times even more so. UAE & Turkey have actually recently surpassed Iran.>>
/THREAD/ Won’t lie, tremendously honored to receive this recognition from Chomsky.
But more importantly, Chomsky is right that between the official sanctions narrative on Iran and the one I present in Losing an Enemy, there’s no serious scholarship behind the official line. >>
The official line essentially says that Obama sanctioned Iran till they begged for mercy and agreed to negotiate. Then, despite the sanctions remaining in place, the Iranians were so desperate for sanctions relief that it took almost three years to reach a deal (!!??) >>
Thus, had it not been for sanctions, the JCPOA would never have come about and only war could have stopped Iran from getting a nuke. The sanctions were, the official line goes, “essential leverage.” >>
@IgnatiusPost has a good column today where he recognizes the outbreak of MidEast diplomacy. But he underplays the main force behind this: Regional actors' conviction that the US is leaving the region and that the era of complete deference to regional partners may be ending >>
Here’s David’s column. For the US to support this embryonic yet promising diplomacy, it needs to better understand WHY it is happening now and not earlier. Hint: It is NOT because the UAE suddenly has become a force for peace as David suggests. >>
But UAE deserves credit. As David writes, UAE reached out to Iran in 2019 after attacks on UAE ships & Saudi oil fields. What David fails to mention is that the UAE did so after realizing the US wasn't going to defend the UAE. I wrote about it at the time: foreignpolicy.com/2020/01/06/the…