1) Hospitalizations with another good drop 2) Cases continue steady decline 3) Pos% & Testing not showing pre Labor day strength. 4) 377 Fatalities reported, -23 vs last week.
* Total positivity rate as of 9/9 at 13.41%
* Testing and positive tests so far don't appear will fully rebound to pre-Labor Day highs
* Covidestim Rt down from 0.72 to 0.69
2/n .
9/17 Cases
* Case Peak 9/14
* 13.9K Cases reported, vs 19.5K last Fri
* Case 7DMA WoW declines 9%.
* Now we watch to see if the testing drop off translates in the coming days and we do not see a new case peak.
3/n .
9/17 Hospitalizations
* -123 to 12475. Last Fri was -64
* Lowest Census since 8/17
* Single Day Peak is 8/25 - 13932
* 7DMA Rate of Decline at -4.8%
* Last Sat was -138. With Admits dropping like a rock, could see another -200 + day tomorrow.
4/n .
9/17 - Hosp Covid Admits
* Statewide Admits down a huge 233 from last Fri. 7DMA down 333 from peak on 8/23
* Statewide 7DMA new record Rate of Decline of 9.5% Week over Week
* TMC 7DMA down an 12.9% WoW. SETRAC down 21.2% WoW
* Admits look fantastic
Rest tomorrow...
5/n .
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1) Hospitalizations with big drop of -220 2) Cases big decline vs last week 3) Pos% & Testing, like cases, are all over the place. 4) 372 Fatalities reported, -36 vs last week.
* Total positivity rate as of 9/8 at 13.58%
* We will see what Monday looks like as far as shake out on all the post-school testing, and Labor Day hiccups, its all a mess
* Covidestim Rt up from 0.68 to 0.72
2/n .
9/16 Cases
* Case Peak 9/14
* 14.9K Cases reported, vs 23.7K last Thurs
* Case 7DMA WoW declines 3%. Literally all over the place
* Meh
* Total positivity rate as of 9/6 at 13.14%.
* Testing hits Labor Day wall, with big decline, and doubtful it comes back to same rate. 100K+ tests taken right out of the 7DMA on a single day.
* Covidestim Rt up from 0.69 to 0.74
2/n .
9/14 Cases
* New Case Peak 9/14
* 17.3K Cases reported, vs 6.0K last Tues
* Case 7DMA WoW up 31%. Literally all over the place
* This should be the final peak. With Labor Day impacting testing numbers, and huge comps coming up, should not be seeing another new peak set
1) Hospitalizations with a strong decline today 2) Cases- chance of new peak tomorrow, likely last possible new peak date 3) Pos% & testing have flattened thru 1st week of Sep 4) Fatality breakdown on 46 reported
* Total positivity rate as of 9/5 at 13.41%. It has flattened out into first of Sep as of right now
* Testing new high of 1.075 Million tests per week on 9/3
* Rate of growth still all near 0 or decline
* Covidestim Rt declines to 0.69!!
2/n .
9/13 Cases
* 8.1K Cases reported, vs 2.6K last Labor
* Case 7DMA WoW down 3%
* Peak is 9/5
* If 14.7K cases tomorrow, new peak will be set. Which is nuts since Hospitalizations peaked end of August. Its a factor of massive testing and case reporting antiquity
. 3/n
Cases today - 3952
Last Sunday - 6844
Change vs last week - minus 2.9k
7DMA Rate of decline - 13.6%
Today 7DMA - 12999
Peak 7DMA - 15039 9/5
Two super weak comps coming up with about 15K in the 7DMA peak bank. After that its brutal post Labor Day catchup comps
.
2/n
9/12 Hospitalizations
* Hospitalizations - 13230 down from 13285
* Vs yesterday -55. Compared to last Sun daily decline of -25
* 7DMA Rate of decline - 2.8%
* ICU - 3758, -58 from yesterday
The dam should be about to break. Admits dropping more strongly than census
.
3/n
1) Hospitalizations with a strong decline today 2) Cases decline Week over week 3) Saw some Labor Day catch up on tests & positives. A bunch of older tests from end of Aug 4) Fatality breakdown on 357 reported
* Total positivity rate as of 9/3 at 13.51%. Thousands of tests between 8/29 and 9/2, a ton of positives. Should shake itself out by Monday
* Maybe 8 days back isnt far enough
* Rate of growth still all near 0 or decline
* Covidestim Rt holds at 0.72
2/n .
9/11 Cases
* New record 7DMA of 151.3K tests per day on 9/2.
* That's 1.06 Million tests a week. #nuts
* 10.1K Cases reported, vs 13.9K last Sat
* Case 7DMA WoW down 7%
* Peak is 9/5
* Can't guarantee we don't have a new peak on Mon or Tues with low comps of Labor Day
1) Testing & Postive tests on the decline thru 9/2 2) Harris trying to keep this going. Cases flat WoW 3) Hosps down vs yest & Last week. Ready from some strong declines 4) Fatality breakdown on 400 reported
* Total positivity rate as of 9/2 at 12.88% (Changed Calcs to be more accurate)
* Testing through 9/2, definitely a peak late August. Positives were in decline.
* Covidestim with another drop in Rt to 0.72
* Everything at ~0% growth or decline 2/n .
9/10 Cases
* 19.5K Cases reported, vs 19.2K last Fri
* Case 7DMA WoW down 3%
* Peak is 9/5
* Harris dumped 7.5K. Trying their best to keep it going. 2 more tough comps next 2 days, not expecting a new peak at this point. Especially with positives declining through 9/2