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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
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19 Sep, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Energy Prices rise after UK leaves EU Internal Energy Market - West England Bylines

“When the UK exited the EU, it did not address the many issues identified in its own plans, where plans existed.”
westenglandbylines.co.uk/energy-prices-…
The government ignored the EU Commission papers on the topic which identified in detail what risks existed to energy supply & balancing. It is almost as if the Government thought they could just fix issues as they ‘cropped up’ after the amateurish leaving agreement.

Guess what
They did not actually have the agility or energy to do the necessary grunt work.
Apparently a cross channel cable that moves supplies from France to the U.K. went on fire last week interrupting supplies as well.

Days with low sun and wind means has been reduced supply to a degree.

Together this leaves us here:-

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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
19 Sep
Great article.

“All of the tables have been sanitised, although the chance of catching Covid-19 from surfaces remains very low. The pub is table service only, and nobody can sit at the bar. He sits down and takes off his mask. Every five seconds he exhales.”
“Each breath contains roughly 800 millilitres of air and 1,000 copies of the virus.

An hour later he has exhaled 720,000 copies of the virus.

“The pub, which measures 10m x 10m x 3m, contains 300 cubic metres of air.”
“With no windows open and no ventilation, the virus gradually fills the room. Within an hour, each cubic metre contains roughly 2,400 copies of the virus.

As the evening progresses, the number of punters grows. There are now 46 people in the pub:
Read 12 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
19 Sep
Troll farms reached 140 million Americans a month on Facebook before 2020 election

And Facebook knew it.

How many were so affected in the U.K?
technologyreview.com/2021/09/16/103…
Troll farms—professionalized groups that work in a coordinated fashion to post provocative content, often propaganda, to social networks—were still building massive audiences by running networks of Facebook pages.
Their content was reaching 140 million US users per month—75% of whom had never followed any of the pages. They were seeing the content because Facebook’s content-recommendation system had pushed it into their news feeds.
Read 9 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
19 Sep
These @trvrb /@TWenseleers threads suggest that

📌there’s quite rapid evolutionary adaption in Covid’s S1 Spike protein

AND (contrary to the suggestion in a Nov 2020 paper)

📌that many of the recurrent mutations are NOT selectively neutral - 4 times greater than HA1 ‘flu
The implications of this suggest that Covid likely to keep adapting to become fitter, thus suggesting that continuing close genomic monitoring and vaccinations updates are likely to be needed (as with ‘flu) to keep pace with the evolution of Covid.
The timing of the Nov 2020 paper suggesting there was NO evidence of increased transmissibility from current mutations of the virus caught my attention given we NOW know the virus WAS successfully adapting to become more transmissible both with the ALPHA and now DELTA variants
Read 5 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
18 Sep
Lots of interesting condensed summaries here.

DisCOVery RCT suggests Remdesivir does not result in improved outcomes in hospitalised patients or deaths.

And generally high degrees of NPI compliance have been maintained by many.

But who is least likely to comply?
Even frequent compilers characteristics :

“Compared with full compliers, there was clear evidence that frequent compliers have lower confidence in government, lower empathy, and a greater external locus of control, are younger, more risk taking, have lower trait openness…
“ are less conscientious and are less likely to have been self- isolating at first data collection or have a long-term condition.”
Read 4 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
18 Sep
293 papers reviewed in this meta analysis revealing marked heterogeneity among studies in terms of time frame & duration of observation, definitions of complications, & means of their ascertainment, precluding data synthesis & estimation of the incidence of reported complications
📌33% to 98% of patients can experience at least 1 new or persistent symptom months after recovery from the acute infection
📌The most commonly re- ported symptoms are:-

-fatigue (28.3%-98%),
-headache (91.2%),
-dyspnea (13.5%-88%),
-cough (10%-13%),
-chest pain (5%-42.7%),
-anxiety/depression (14.6%- 23%), and
-olfactory/gustatory deficits (13.1%-67.5%)
Read 6 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
17 Sep
Is there a Conservative ‘blue wall’? - Prof Curtice

Both Labour & Lib Dems advanced most strongly in those seats where Remain had been well ahead, while both parties recorded their weakest performances in constituencies that had strong Leave majorities onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ne…
In constituencies where over 60% voted Remain support for the Tories was 5 points lower in 2019 than it had been 4 years before, whereas in seats where the Leave vote was over 60%, support for the Tories was up 16 points in 2019

But just 20 Remain seats are held by the Tories
In fact since the 2019 election now more than half (11) of the most pro remain Tory seats are already in opposition hands - 6 Labour, 5 Lib Dems

But Tories held 66 Pro Remain seats in the 2019 election

Of two thirds of them can be captured that would lose the Tories their hold
Read 4 tweets

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