I am making this thread so I can refer back to it because more and more people are copy-trading me in their purchases
🚨 Key message: Do not assume that anything I buy or tweet is a good investment or 'financial advice'🚨
2/ As we have discussed before, 6529 is on a mission-based journey and that mission is not necessarily to optimize return on investment on NFTs
So the first thing you should know is that, in most cases, I am not buying NFTs because I plan to sell them at a higher price
3/ If an NFT I buy makes sense for the 6529 mission and is never liquid again, that is fine for me.
Related: I am buying for the 6529 Museum.
Often I am not buying NFTs that are financially optimal in isolation but match a theme in the Museum
4/ I am in Level 4 / Level 5, so I can afford for all 6529 NFTs to go to zero and nothing will change about my life.
I will have the same house, car, vacation, family, trips, job and so on
6529 has survived in crypto since 2013 by isolating IRL from crypto this way
5/ So the key mega-point is that if I buy an NFT, it does NOT mean:
a) you should buy it
b) it is a good investment
c) it is right for you
d) you should FOMO
🚨DO NOT FOMO beyond your financial capacity. We are not going to run out of JPGs🚨
6/ I have noticed that plenty of people are now tracking my wallet, so whether I tweet or not, people are going to copy-trade me (even though they should not necessarily do so).
So when I have time to, I will sometimes tweet about what I am doing to at explain my logic
7/ One category of buys and tweets are mega-grails, of 100ETH, 500ETH, 1000ETH and so on
These don't worry me so much because the people who can FOMO into a 500ETH squiggle do not need financial advice from me anyway and almost certainly have more money than me.
Good luck 🐳s
8/ The other category of tweets that I have really enjoyed recently are under-looked photography collections.
These are often 0.1 to .2ETH type collections.
You should know that I am buying those with zero expectation of being able to resell or that I will have liquidity
9/ At 6529's scale, 0.2ETH pieces can bought purely because I like them and because want more of them to exist in the world.
And because I have a bigger Twitter feed than a typical unknown photographer I give the world a chance to decide if they also feel the same.
10/ For many of these photographers, selling 25 pieces at 0.1ETH might be the difference between if they can continue their work, if they can do the next project, if they can make the next collection.
It is life-changing, career-changing amounts of money in some cases
11/ Allowing someone w/ a unique vision or style to find their first 10, then 100, then 1,000 true fans is one of the awesome outcomes of NFTs so I will do my part to help when possible
It is correcting an IRL distribution/market breakdown where the artist can't find their fans!
12/ Now, more abstract points.
For important pieces, for important collections, for big buys I think it is a positive for large collectors to explain their logic and explain their intentions.
It is good for artists, collections and markets and people should do it more
13/ For now I am still buying generally from the 6529.eth main wallet, particularly large buys.
Being front-run has not yet become a problem so I will stick with this for now.
In the future that may change.
14/ There are some pieces that might be bought by other wallets bc my IRL obligations are not consistent with tracking a bunch of auctions, mints, etc.
So I've asked others to help with this type of thing
When they make it home to the main wallet, I will share the good news
15/ So that is it for now:
I want to reemphasize that you should only: a) buy what you like, b) with money you can afford to lose.
FOMO is both real in this space (happens to everyone) but keep in mind how many other cool JPGs are incoming and chill 🏖️
16/ I think most people know this, but for the n00bs.
Increasingly what you see in my wallet on OpenSea are *not* pieces that I have collected but instead spam to my wallet, so you can't even copy trade that way.
Basically if it was a transfer, not a buy, 95% it is spam
17/ Closing this thread.
If you got here for the first time and would like to learn more about NFTs, take a look here:
The biggest current NFT collections are going to be bigger than all but a handful of any NFT collections that are going to be put together by the "TradArt" collectors incoming.
Why?
2/ There are multiple collections with market value today of $50M to $100M. Some of them even more maybe.
But for the purposes of this example, let's use $50M to $100M as a range.
How many TradArt billionaires are going to be ready to put $50M to $100M into NFTs today?
3/ My guess is "not very many". Keep in mind that most billionaires are illiquid. When you read that XYZ is worth $2B or $5B or $10B, do not imagine that this money is sitting in a bank account.
It is in stocks, bonds, partnership interests in funds, stock of private companies
2/ As always we need to look at both demand and supply.
Demand: Is it an appealing concept for a museum or collector to be able show each type of the iconic, first AB project?
I consider it one of the most obvious "yes-es" in on-chain generative art
3/ How about supply?
There are a theoretical 20 sets that can be built but many of those are vaulted already. I'll update my table later and post it, it is a mix of diamond hands and AB super-gurus (or both)
Won't be more than a handful of these ever built from today onward
It is hard to imagine a worse system for managing KYC than the current system of disclosing oodles and oodles of personal information (and photos) to the customer service reps of many different organizations
6529 has a significant IRL job. I have to do this weekly +/-.
It is the dumbest thing in the world, as if there were not 100 better ways to confirm my residency / identity than sending utility bills (home address), ID numbers, photos etc to hundreds of people / year
To take the dumbest example, confirming that you are a resident of country X is a different question than "what is your home address and how many kwh of electricity or BTUs of gas you use"
The fin svcs firms need the former, not the latter
This is a very short thread, but something that has been bothering me since the spring and I think I now have an initial point of view on it
6529 does not yet own any metaverse land (decentraland, sonmium, etc) bc I had some concerns I had to work through
2/ Concern 1: I don't understand conceptually why metaverse land should be scarce from a consumer product market fit perspective.
I get that, say, decentraland limits land to make number go up, but the marginal cost of metaverse land is zero and we need to bring 1B ppl onboard
3/ So I think, basically, any metaverse that limits land to some artificially small amount will eventually be outcompeted by a metaverse that onboards tens or hundreds of billions of people for close to free
And that is likely to be a centralized institution which is bad