The true test of a monopoly is not market share, but pricing power. A monopoly is when even if a rival comes and offers the product 20% cheaper, the customer will say I am not shifting boss!
3/8
Thoughts on India’s financial services industry -
Bizarrely fragmented due to:
1⃣ Public sector intervention
2⃣ Collusion and corruption
3⃣ Our financial services sector itself is very small.
Two trends he indicates are Consolidation and financialization of savings.
4/8 Why Saurabh avoids investing in Real Estate🏠:
✅ Owning first home driven by emotions
❌ No business case for buying property for investment - rental yields lower than bond yields.
🏢Commercial RE has better rental yields
5/8
Why Marcellus sold #ITC🚀after last AGM, despite it meeting most of their investment criteria.
Two words - Capital Allocation.
6/8
How can retail investors get better at Forensic analysis on their investments?
Two book recommendations:
1⃣ Financial Shenanigans by @HowardSchilit
2⃣ Accounting for Growth by Terry Smith
7/8
Saurabh on Investment Stereotypes - Any form of stereotype are best avoided in the current world.
Quotes Kahneman:
"The reason we create stereotypes is because it's a heuristic that helps us deal with day to day life. Unfortunately, it doesn't hold true anymore."
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
1⃣ Market snapshot for the week
2⃣ How telecom companies are responding to reforms
3⃣ We explain the FED event with our view
4⃣ Some curated charts and reads
Dovish, hawkish, taper, liquidity. If these terms confuse you, we have simplified the FED's recent moves and what it means for markets. Click here to read 👇
Are we back to where we were in 2003 and nearing a Capex cycle?
A data thread🧵
1/n
In Budget 2022, the Finance minister allocated the highest ever expenditure towards: 1. Infrastructure (Roads, Highways etc.) and 2. Manufacturing in the form of PLI schemes to boost scale in industries & gain competitive advantage in global supply chains.
2/n
From 2006-2012 commodity prices were on uptrend with increased leverage & participation of the private sector was also high.
But between 2013-2020, we saw commodity prices going down with private sector participation declining.
3/n
The Union Cabinet is expected to approve the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) Scheme for Textiles sector of Rs 10,683 crores tomorrow.
A short 🧵on Himatsingka Seide, which operates the world's largest Cotton Spinning plant!
1/12
2/12
Himatsingka Seide is an integrated Home Textile player focused on:
✅ Bedding (Bed-Pillow sheets)
✅ Bath (Terry towels)
✅ Drapery
✅ Yarn & Fibre
Branded portfolio constitutes ~90% of sales.
Exports to 32 countries (80% of sales from US); strong focus on Europe.
3/12
Model: Owned private + licensed brands
It has procured manufacturing and distribution rights for 15 top-notch global brands due to its vast distribution network and in-house design capabilities.
In FY21, it has added The Walt Disney co. to its global portfolio in Europe.
YTD (Jan-Jun):
📊Index: 17%; Overall market returns: 20%
📈Industrials, Power &Commodities best performers - old school capex heavy sectors
↔️ Asset light & new age has underperformed
🕺The rally has shifted to small & micro caps (YTD returns of 38% vs 17% for large caps)
3/11
Cash volumes have dried out on NSE in the last few weeks, indicating some tiredness in the rally: