@AaronBastani @Keir_Starmer I can't see him beating a range of strong women candidates next time. Not even sure he will do that well in any new PLP 3rd of the vote ballot as a lot of past Tweets will come back to haunt him. Looks like a 10-20% candidate so far. Surely more hoping for a Deputy opportunity?
@AaronBastani @Keir_Starmer What every1 (esp Lord Mandelson) is not realising is opening a ballot to 2m levy payers with a likely 8% t/o (ie 160k) is in the self-organising social media age it will see up to 20k to 80k angry ex-members signing up via TUs (mainly Unite) & voting "against" candidates.
@AaronBastani @Keir_Starmer Whereas in 2020 dynamic was mainly pro-EU membs joining Party 2 vote, we can see frm the as expected poor Coyne 3rd place that there is no motivation on that side anymore & it will b replacd by a 50k+ bloc in a 160k voting section looking 2 use its vote effectively against people
@AaronBastani @Keir_Starmer I don't think under GDPR the party gets the 2m levy payers data. It just sends them a voting pack. Thus unlike the registered affil supporter form they don't have to act themselves to sign up here which wd put off some angry ex-membs support.labour.org.uk
@AaronBastani @Keir_Starmer Looking at the 2010 College & thinking forward; with a 2m levy payer TU section, which would face its first real self-organized social media campaign next time, one could easily see it evolving into a "stop who we like the least" section of the College en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Labo…
@AaronBastani @Keir_Starmer I think some think affiliate 33% section will b like it was in 1994, when in fact it will b much more lively than than that. Recent Scottish vote when Anas Sarwar cd not win affiliate supporters in the most moderate Lab Nation/Region of UK is an example en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Scot…
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