“The future is already here. It’s just not evenly distributed.”—William Gibson @GreatDismal
The future is already in the brain of the 200 million cryptocurrency holders. They can be better understood as a country, as an alternative community to nation-states.
A nation-state citizen doesn’t question the sovereignty of the gov
Doesn’t question the validity of its currency
Doesn’t fathom a world without the TVs and radio stations and notary-publics and certification organisms that make the nation-state what it is.
They wrap their heads around 20th-century country flags.
They can’t fathom the end of the nation-state, just as 1500s-era Europeans couldn’t fathom the end of the omnipotent Catholic Church.
None of this is true for blockchain citizens
They get it
They hodl crypto because they don’t trust fiat currencies
They build DAOs because they understand the corporation is on its way to the grave
They insist on smart contracts because how else are we going to trust each other?
Who do you think they have more in common with, their patriot neighbors or their international crypto siblings? Do you see alternatives to nation-states emerging already?
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The geography of Egypt is bonkers 🇪🇬🌍
Look at that image of the Middle-East by night. See that "flower" in the middle? That is the Nile.
Egypt has 105 MILLION ppl!
99% of them live in that light area!
That's 3% of its territory!
What else is crazy about Egypt's geography?
🧵
The Nile's banks are between 0.5km and 20km wide (~0.3 to 12 miles). 105M ppl live in that area plus the delta. Crazy. They do that because it's fertile AF
What's outside though? Nothing.
In the west, there's nothing for thousands of miles. There's so much nothing that in 5000 years of history, Egypt has NEVER been successfully invaded from here.
The emergence of cryptocurrencies reminds me of the emergence of writing and currencies. These are obvious to us now, but they were weird to their contemporaries.
Let's have a look 🧵
The parallel with fiat currencies is better known, so let's start with it.
Early on, ppl bartered. Inconvenient.
So they started using some currency.
First, it was something scarce, easy to value and to divide into smaller pieces (=fungible), and with some intrinsic value. Eg, salt (thus "salary")
If you catch COVID, the risk of developing COVID Chronic Fatigue Syndrome are 3,000x higher than those of suffering a bad vaccine side-effect. That illness can leave you out of work and energy for the rest of your life.
The most long-lasting part of Long COVID is likely Chronic Fatigue Syndrome, which so far has no cure and can last decades.
Your likelihood of catching it from COVID is ~2-3%, and it's worse for young ppl than old ppl
Long COVID is confusing until we realize its most alarming outcome is *Chronic Fatigue Syndrome* (CFS).
What does CFS look like?
Is it like Long COVID? 🧵
This is a person with CFS. At 24, she had spent nearly a decade without putting her feet on the ground.
This is @jenbrea suffering from post-exertional malaise, from her documentary Unrest, which you can watch on Netflix (the 3 clips come from the documentary)
This is Whitney, who hasn't talked for years. His father:
“Whitney’s state is comparable to an AIDS patient about a week before his death. And that has been the case for the last six years.”
The idea is to create a cohort-based course with live lectures. I am still debating whether it should be about 1. How to solve any problem 2. Advanced product and growth mgmt
Over my career managing billion-dollar tech products with hundreds of millions of users, studying storytelling, and writing COVID and Uncharted Territories articles, I've come to think the biggest pbm of mankind is that we don't know how to make decisions.
I want to solve that.
The 3-week course would include frameworks, lectures, and more importantly, workshops so you can bring pbms to the table and we can work to solve them together, learning decision-making along the way.
A majority of the world will speak English by the end of the century. This will create a new global identity. It will be the triumph of the Anywheres.
Why? Because the same mechanic happened in the past.
Here's what happened and what will happen next 🧵
Up to the 1500s, languages were not differentiated like today. In places like Europe, there were vernacular gradients, from Wallonia to Lisbon, from London to Vienna.
That's because most ppl didn't communicate with those far away from their village.