"Remember the Return-to-Work bonuses that states announced to great fanfare last spring?

In most states, very few people have actually managed to get the bonus.

I've been curious about this for a while- thanks to @ArthurDelaneyHP and @taragolshan for tracking the data down!
In 5/6 of the states, the number of people who got bonuses over the summer is about 1/20 the number of people who left unemployment insurance.

4,269 people received the bonus, while UI continuing claims dropped by 79,055.
The one exception is Colorado, which got RTW bonuses out to over 11,000 people - 85% of the drop in UI claims.

cc @jaredpolis
The key to Colorado's success? Instead of making people use a new slapdash web portal or provide payroll stubs to prove employment, they simply used their existing UI website and data collection systems.
Placing arbitrary paperwork on potential recipients consistently results in low take-up rates.

It is not surprising that hastily crafted websites with these sorts of burdens failed to deliver to people.
States should think about how they can reduce paperwork, and, like Colorado, think about creative ways they can use existing programs to minimize the burdens placed on the people they are trying to serve.
This is the approach I argued for earlier in the summer. niskanencenter.org/return-to-work…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Matt Darling 🌐💸🌇

Matt Darling 🌐💸🌇 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @besttrousers

22 Sep
Lots of discussion about the role of objectivity in research, jumping off of @Lauren_Farre11's blog post.

I think these conversations can often benefit from specific examples.
Here's one: an @ideas42 blog post from my former colleague Nuha Saho about how his experience as a NYCHA resident gave him a lot of knowledge that aided the design of our RCT: ideas42.org/blog/street-sm…
This is just a nice example of the tensions that are often in play here. When we were designing the posters, we initially just did a mail merge with the administrative data to get the name for each house.

But no one actually uses the "official" name for those complexes.
Read 6 tweets
1 Jul
I know we are all all upset about the Child Allowance Website, but I want to register a Formal Complaint to Administrative Burdens twitter about Massachusett's vaxmillionsgiveaway.com
1.) Why the heck is this opt in? Use a state database that covers 90% of the population (for example, driver's licenses), then confirm vaccination upon being drawn.
2.) You need to respond to winning with TWENTY FOUR HOURS to be eligible Image
Read 4 tweets
24 Jun
This article does not particularly attempt to defend it's thesis statement.
The reasons Democrats have "abandoned" work requirements as a guiding principle is that they do not actually perform their intended function - imposing work requirements does not increase labor force participation.'

When policies do not work, we should move on from them.
For more read @ideas42's paper on work requirements: ideas42.org/wp-content/upl…
Read 5 tweets
8 Jun
I though this was a really interesting point. A lot of the jobs (ie, servers) that are trying to hire right now are *especially* unpleasant when they are short staffed.
Good excuse to post the opening from Bowles' Microeconomics - which talks about a similar coordination problem in farming. Image

1.) This can slow down rejoining the labor force (ie, there is a person n who won't get a job until n-1 person so).

2.) It *might* be possible to create "Schelling Points".
Read 4 tweets
10 May
There's a pretty tight fit between "% schools closed" and the employment-population ratio.

One thing that is especially interesting to me is that April, instead of being a weird outlier, is right on the line of best fit.
The outliers are mostly summer months (which makes a lot of sense). Here's the graph if you drop them.

R^2 is 0.79 in the first graph, 0.93 in the second.
Obviously this isn't necessarily a causal story - both of these will be caused by what's happening in the pandemic itself.
Read 4 tweets
16 Mar
Too Online.

Don't let it happen to you.
(referring to the "many countries have issued monthly checks" claim)
I think a better understanding of how the US response differs from other countries leads to different policy implications.

For example, reforming the UI system so it is easier for people to access benefits.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!