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Alastair Thompson Profile picture
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25 Sep, 5 tweets, 2 min read
An unexpected pop up storm in the Arabian Sea may develop into a cyclone and head towards the Gulf. over #OMAN, #UAE and #Qatar.
The storm was not in the first GFS run this morning (00hrs UTC) but appeared in the following run at O6 UTC. Behind it there appears to be a second, possibly larger cyclonic system which is currently over the Bay of Bengal.
In this image you can see both storms. The one over the Bay of Bengal, currently designated depression O3B is expected to become a cyclonic storm shortly.
Storm 03B intensified very rapidly today over the Bay of Bengal.

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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
25 Sep
#UNGA #UNGAEthiopiaCrisis

When will the world’s leaders especially those in the UN US Africa and Europe wake up to the realities of TPLF’s horrific secessionist war in Ethiopia.

The credibility of the UN itself is on the line here.
This horrific massacre took place before the UNGA began. Ethiopian media have been reporting it for a week. Finally a Western media outlet @AP reports on it.

Nairobi’s media cohort have known about this since the first reports emerged on social media and Ethiopian TV.
The credibility of Western bastions of influence >> the US Govt. @StateDept the @EU_Commission @eu_eeas, the UK Govt. @BBCNews, the French Govt. The UN @WFP @UNHCRC & media & ngos @Amnesty @NyTimes @telegraph @washingtonpost @FRANCE24 are all in tatters.
Read 9 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
24 Sep
Dear @JoeNBC,

The issue with the submarine deal is NOT ABOUT SUBMARINES. Nor is it anything to do with the Election. This election is @EmmanuelMacron's to lose and his opponent is not Le Pen, it is the talented mayor of Paris, the Green/Socialist candidate Hidalgo. /1
The diplomatic crisis is with a) NATO and b) All of Europe. And it is about the US deciding to form a special relationship with the terrible Australian and UK Govt's both led by morons. And the decision to start a new cold war in the Pacific.
The issue for Europe has two legs to it.
- Europe does not appreciate being treated like chumps on the global stage as the U.S. is sabre rattling in the Pacific Ocean.
- Europe is focused on Climate Change, and addressing climate change is a multi-polar problem, China/EU/US.
Read 8 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
24 Sep
As the #UNGA is focused on Climate Change the biosphere is putting on a show. We currently have powerful cyclones in the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans and the yet more extreme weather, even though it's now late September.

Thread....
Today I have had a deep look around the globe after very active North Atlantic and a massive United States sized circulating low in Europe - exhibiting some of the same characteristics which resulted in severe flooding in July developed of East Europe.
Here's the big-picture view which includes:
- A cyclone in the West Pacific: forecast to become a Super Typhoon.
- A depression in the Bay of Bengal: forecast to become a Severe Cyclone.
- A hurricane in the Tropical Atlantic: forecast to become a Cat4 Hurricane.
Read 24 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
23 Sep
This statement from @reda_getachew is remarkable, for the absence of any credible explanation for the failure of 400+ aid trucks to return.

After a long preamble the letter concludes the problem is the drivers. Apparently they don't want to go back for a variety of reasons.
Its also notable his letter does not explicitly deny that UN Aid trucks are being used for military purposes which is also rather odd. Several hundred words, but no denial of the central allegation.
The timing is also interesting. The missing aid trucks issue has been developing now for a while. The @UNEthiopia statement only came after numerous statements from the GoE. And the TPLF waits till now to respond.
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
23 Sep
Update thread on this massive circulating low over Eastern Europe, at 4.5 million km2 its half the size of the United States.

Here we can see the Canadian jet arriving and squashing the storm, but not yet moving it.
The storm will be bringing increasing rain today to Scandinavia, Northern Germany and eastern EU nations. The EU has a new/updated weather warning website here >> meteoalarm.org/en?view=list so far the main warnings are for high winds along the southern Baltic Sea coast.
Meanwhile the sources of all of this remain unpredictable. There are four active systems (and one remnant system) being monitored in the Tropical and North Atlantic. The most northerly of these, is non-tropical but has a 50-60% chance of cyclone formation.
Read 5 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
22 Sep
The issue with this submarine deal is that it is not just a nuclear submarine deal. It is an aggressive Anglo-Saxon alliance between the UK, Australia and the US in the Indo-Pacific region against China.

@JoeBiden said in Geneva he didn't want a cold war.

This move starts one.
France is also far from the only nation annoyed, regardless of what some commentators are saying. EU President @vonderleyen was clear in her view. The Germans are about to have an election, and will express themselves later. But NZ was also pretty annoyed.
@vonderleyen NZ, promptly informed Australia that its nuclear submarines would be equally unwelcome in NZ as America's are.

And this is not because of trading links with China, it is because NZ is opposed to both nuclear weapons and navies.
Read 9 tweets

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