Thread by @CORF_FPL

📝 A GW7 THREAD

🔎 GW6
📸 Snapshot
🍕 Takeaway
👁️ Eye Catchers

🔎 GW7
🎯 Fixtures to Target
©️ Captaincy
🔮 Predictions
📉 Differentials
🔥 Hot Property
🗑️ Top Binned
🚌 Bus Team

A thread built to provoke initial food for thought ahead of GW7..

#FPL #FPLCommunity #GW7

📸 SNAPSHOT - TEAMS
➡️ DEFENCE

Games: 10
Clean Sheets: 4

Shots Conceded
🔺Most: AVL (28)
🔻Least: MCI,SOU (5)

Shots in Box Conceded
🔻Most: AVL (17)
🔻Least: MCI (2)

Big Chances Conceded
🔺Most: LIV,BRE (5)
🔻Least: MCI,WOL,LEI (0)

xGC
🔺Most: BRE (2.61)
🔻Least: MCI (0.15)

📸 SNAPSHOT - TEAMS
➡️ ATTACK

Games: 10
Goals: 26

Shots
🔺Most: MUN (28)
🔻Least: WOL,CHE (5)

Big Chances
🔺Most: LIV,BRE (5)
🔻Least: BUR,SOU,CHE (0)

xG
🔺Most: LIV (2.61)
🔻Least: CHE (0.15)

📸 SNAPSHOT - PLAYERS

Most Points
1️⃣ Hause - 15
2️⃣ Sa - 14
3️⃣ Saka - 13

Most Shots
1️⃣ Greenwood - 8
2️⃣ Antonio - 7

Top xG
1️⃣ Salah - 1.20
2️⃣ Vardy - 1.17

Top xA
1️⃣ Saint Maximin - 1.00
2️⃣ Toney - 0.87

Big Chances
1️⃣ Salah - 3

🍕 GW6 TAKEAWAYS

🍔 MCI with a big win vs CHE. Could Cancelo/Dias double up be better than Rudi/Alonso?

🍟 BRE no one trick pony, showed their attacking prowess vs LIV. We know of their defensive quality

🌭 Vardy reminding us what we're missing. Slipping under the radar?

👁️ LOW OWNED EYE CATCHERS

🧐 Jimenez: He's up & running with a very well taken goal vs SOU - 4.7%

🧐 Smith-Rowe: Fantastic display in the NLD, goal & assist, so cheap - 3.5%

🧐 Ramsdale: Didn't keep a CS but at £4.5m he put in a solid display. Should keep his place - 2.0%

🏟️ WELCOME TO GW7

⏰ DEADLINE
Saturday 2nd Oct @ 11.00am (UK)

🏆 REMINDER
MCI, LIV, MUN, CHE, WHU, LEI, TOT all play in Europe this midweek

📆 FIXTURES

MUN v EVE
BUR v NOR
CHE v SOU
LEE v WAT
WOL v NEW
BHA v ARS
CRY v LEI
TOT v AVL
WHU v BRE
LIV v MCI

⬇️ LEAGUE TABLE

🎯 FIXTURE TO TARGET
➡️ CHE vs SOU

With the CHE fixture swing starting GW7 it makes sense to target the boys from the Bridge this weekend, Lukaku in particular. SOU have had a decent start to the season but I fully expect CHE to have too much both in attack & defence.

2-0 CHE

©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ Lukaku

With back to back blanks vs TOT & MCI Lukaku owners might be getting a little twitchy, however fixtures ease up for a prolonged period for CHE starting with SOU so I'm sure there'll be plenty jumping on Big Rom and giving him the armband in GW7.

©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ Ronaldo

The blank vs AVL in GW6 hurt those who trusted Ronaldo with the armband; do they have the will power to captain Ron again this week? Another early kick off! There's still lots of appeal in Ronaldo cap, truth is he can haul against anyone in any gameweek.

©️ LUKAKU VS RONALDO
➡️ Comparing SOU/EVE

Goals Conceded: 7/7
Shots Conceded: 73/73
Big Chances Conceded: 12/6
xGC: 8.25/6.07
Clean Sheets: 2/2

Both teams have almost identical stats. SOU maybe slightly worse due to more big chances conceded.

Lukaku vs Ronaldo per 90 ⤵️

©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ Antonio

5 goals, 4 assists in just 5 games for the WHU powerhouse. Came up trumps with a goal in the closing stages vs LEE in GW6 and goes up against a tricky BRE team who are full of confidence GW7. There's risk associated in Tonio cap, but a clear high reward!

🔮PREDICTIONS
➡️ HIGHEST SCORERS

1️⃣ Kane - 6.39
2️⃣ Son - 6.21
3️⃣ Lukaku - 6.17
4️⃣ Jimenez - 6.07
5️⃣ Alonso - 6.06
6️⃣ Ronaldo - 5.96
7️⃣ Wood - 5.93
8️⃣ Bruno - 5.85

With TOT poor form and AVL fresh off a CS vs MUN I'd be shocked if Kane/Son end up on top! 👀

* Taken from @FFH_HQ

🔮 PREDICTIONS

⚽ OVER 2.5 GOALS %

1️⃣ CHE 39%
2️⃣ MUN 35%
3️⃣ LEE 31%
4️⃣ MCI 25%
5️⃣ TOT 25%

🥅 CLEAN SHEET %

1️⃣ CHE 52%
2️⃣ MUN 48%
3️⃣ WOL 43%
4️⃣ WHU 40%
5️⃣ BUR 38%
6️⃣ LEE 38%

🎉 WIN %

1️⃣ CHE 73%
2️⃣ MUN 66%
3️⃣ WOL 58%
4️⃣ LEE 57%
5️⃣ WHU 52%

* Taken from @drafthound

📉 DIFFERENTIAL CENTRAL

🥇WOOD
VS: Norwich (H)
PRICE: £6.8m
TSB: 1.5%

🥈CHRISTENSEN
VS: Southampton (H)
PRICE: £5.0m
TSB: 3.3%

🥉 JIMENEZ
VS: Newcastle (H)
PRICE: £7.0m
TSB: 4.8%

🔥 HOT PROPERTY

Players most bought IN ahead of GW7 so far:

1️⃣ Sarr - 230k
2️⃣ Antonio - 225k
3️⃣ Alonso - 223k
4️⃣ Rudiger - 208k
5️⃣ Lukaku - 182k
6️⃣ Cancelo - 162k

* As of midday Tues 28th

🗑️ TOP BINNED

Players most booted OUT ahead of GW7 so far:

1️⃣ Shaw - 391k
2️⃣ Torres - 178k
3️⃣ Bruno - 153k
4️⃣ Bamford - 140k
5️⃣ Ronaldo - 110k
6️⃣ Greenwood - 94k

* As of midday Tues 28th

📡 UNDER THE RADAR?

Vardy has 5 goals & 1 assist in the opening 6 GW's. 12.5% owned with a decent run of fixtures ahead but his hefty price tag leaves him hiding in the shadows of Ronaldo, Lukaku. LEI's attacking stats have been poor but Vardy continues to get the returns!

🔵 CHELSEA FIXTURE SWING

All aboard the Tuchel express! Chelsea's fixtures are absolutely fantastic over the next 5 GWs and arguably beyond. Lukaku seems almost essential whilst I'm sure the defensive double up will also be popular. Which Blues assets are you moving to?

🔴 BRENTFORD

BRE had conceded only 2 goals in the initial 5 GWs prior to the 3-3 draw with LIV in GW6. We know of their defensive capability but what they showed us vs LIV is how they can go toe to toe with teams. Toney, Mbeumo, Pinnock, Raya, Jansson all looking great assets

🔴 ARSENAL BARGAINS

An impressive display in the NLD made it 3 wins on the bounce for ARS. With a very decent run of fixtures ahead, no Europe involvement and a number of potential bargains in Ramsdale, White, ESR, Saka and Odegaard. Should we be hopping on to ARS assets again?

🔮 GW7-GW12 PREDICTIONS

🔸Mendy 26.11
🔸Ederson 25.10

🔹Alonso 35.08
🔹Rudiger 29.91
🔹TAA 29.85
🔹Azpilicueta 28.01

▫️Son 35.78
▫️Salah 35.39
▫️Mane 30.69
▫️Bruno 30.53

🔺Lukaku 37.35
🔺Kane 37.29
🔺Ronaldo 31.09
🔺Jimenez 30.07

* Taken from @FFH_HQ

💡GW7 TIPS

🔹With European comps midweek, holding your FT until they've all come through unscathed will always be the right play

🔹An international break follows GW7. We've seen carnage caused in previous breaks with Covid so if you intend to use WC, try holding out one more GW

🚌 BUS TEAM
⚖️ BALANCE TOOL

🔄 Shaw to Christensen
©️ Ronaldo

🟥 Jota

🟧 Ronaldo, Traore, Greenwood

🟨 Antonio, Rudiger, Christensen, White, Sanchez

🟩 Salah, TAA, Raphinha, Liveramento, Scarlett, Steele

Trying my absolute best to hold out to GW8 for WC. Its not easy! 😬

✅ RECOMMENDED CONTENT

➡️ @FPLHints
📚 Magazine
issuu.com/fplhints/docs/…

➡️ @LiberoFpl
🔎 GW Review

https://twitter.com/LiberoFpl/status/1442760270800109568?t=0dSO4PXWek1Zx_e215rwLQ&s=19

➡️ @aboveaveragefpl
🎙️ Podcast
open.spotify.com/episode/3KYeOd…

📊 Special thanks to @FFH_HQ for access to their stats & @SofaScoreINT for heat maps.