I've spoken to 1,500+ people about remote work in the last 9 months

A few predictions of what is likely to emerge before 2030

[ a thread ] πŸ’»πŸ πŸŒ
🚜 Rural Living: World-class people will move to smaller cities, have a lower cost of living & higher quality of life

These regions must innovate quickly to attract that wealth. Better schools, faster internet connections are a must
⏰ Asynchronous Work: Offices are instantaneous gratification distraction factories where synchronous work makes it impossible to get stuff done

Tools that enable asynchronous work are the most important thing globally remote teams need. A lot of startups will try to tackle this
⚽️ Hobbie Renaissance: Remote working will lead to a rise in people participating in hobbies and activities which link them to people in their local community

This will lead to deeper, more meaningful relationships which overcome societal issues of loneliness and issolation
🌍 Diversity & Inclusion: The most diverse and inclusive teams in history will emerge rapidly

Companies who embrace it have a first-mover advantage to attract great talent globally. Companies who don't will lose their best people to their biggest competitors
βœ… Output focus: time will be replaced as the main KPI for judging performance by productivity and output

Great workers will be the ones who deliver what they promise consistently

Advancement decisions will be decided by capability rather than who you drink beer with after work
πŸ’° Private Equity: the hottest trend of the next decade for private equity will see them purchase companies, make them remote-first

The cost saving in real-estate at scale will be eye-watering. The productivity gains will be the final nail in the coffin for the office
😴 Working Too Much: Companies worry that the workers won't work enough when operating remotely.

The opposite will be true and become a big problem

Remote workers burning out because they work too much will have to be addressed
✈️ Remote Retreats: purpose built destinations that allow for entire companies to fly into a campus for a synchronous week

Likely staffed with facilitators and educators who train staff of how to maximize effectiveness
❀️ Life-Work Balance: The rise of remote will lead to people re-prioritizing what is important to them

Organizing your work around your life will be the first noticeable switch. People realizing they are more than there job will lead to deeper purpose in other areas
πŸ’© Bullshit Tasks: The need to pad out your 8 hour day will evaporate, replaced by clear tasks and responsibilities

Workers will do what needs to be done rather than wasting their trying to look busy with the rest of the office
πŸ§˜β€β™€οΈ Health & Wellbeing: A lack of commute will give workers 25 extra days a year to do other things

Workers will exploit the freedom they have to organize things more freely in their day. Afternoon runs, morning meditation, 2 things a lot of people I know now do
πŸ€– personal RPA: robotic process automation will transform work for individuals

No-code tools that enable workers to built bots that automate menial parts of their roles will be huge
πŸ’€ Death of HQ: the office is dead but offices will persist. They’ll be used less frequently then hardly at all

Co-working, subscription clubs, will emerge that let workers who prefer that mode of work to operate from there
🚐 Remote Living: Work from anywhere RVs will become huge business

Associated business parks and services will spring up. This will happen even more rapidly as self driving tech emerges

Expect a @Tesla product in this space
βš–οΈ lifework balance: massive increases in part-time and freelance work

A recognition that we no longer have to sacrifice work for living, we can organize work around our lives
πŸ‘¨β€πŸ‘©β€πŸ‘§β€πŸ‘¦ Community Led SaaS: as no-code continues to grow, tech is barely a barrier

Communities become the most important most a company has
🎟 Remote Visa: small nations coming together in order to attract remote workers at different stages of the year

Huge opportunity to synchronise education to enable families to be more fluid in their locations
πŸ›‘ Meeting Death: wasting 2 hours travelling to a meeting will end. The benefits of in-person are eroded by the benefits you get of not travelling

Conferences and quarterly networking events will becomes more important for cultivating in-person relationships
πŸ’ƒ Personal choice: the smartest people I know personally are all planning to work remotely this decade

The most exciting companies I know personally all plan to hire remotely this decade

~90% of the workforces we've spoken to never want to be in an office again full-time
✍️ Written over spoken: documentation is the unspoken superpower of remote teams. The most successful team members remotely will be great writers

Companies are searching for ways to do this more effectively. Tools that enable others to write better will explode
Interested in why so many people talk to me? FirstbaseHQ.com

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More from @chris_herd

20 Sep
Goodhire recently surveyed 3,500 Americans to understand the current state of remote work

What they discovered will shock every company thinking about going back to an office full-time

[ a thread ] πŸ’»πŸ πŸŒ
68% of Americans would choose remote working options over in-office work
85% of Americans believe that their colleagues and other employees around the nation prefer working remotely rather than working from the company office.
Read 14 tweets
10 Sep
I spoke to 10 x Billion $ companies who canceled return to the office due to the delta variant

A few predictions on what else is going to happen

[ a thread ] πŸ’»πŸ πŸŒ
☠️ Office Death: leases are expiring and not being renewed

By the time people can return to the office a lot of companies will no longer have space to return to
πŸƒβ€β™‚οΈCity Flight: workers will continue to leave the cities their offices are located in

Many will end up quitting their jobs if their companies try to force them back to the office
Read 19 tweets
9 Sep
Blows my mind some people believe going back to the office is the only way to see people IRL

Employers controlling your closest relationships is a bad thing

Your closest relationships depending on business success – where if that changes relationships end – is even worse

πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ
This highlights so many societal issues around friendship and meaning

Go back 30 years, people had hobbies outside of work

Now, work occupies so much of your day, and commute time has grown, meaning people no longer have time for relationships outside work
People don’t need more shallow, superficial relationships that happen via full-time office work

They need deeper, meaningful relationships with the people they care about most

They need more time to do the things that make them happiest with others who share common interests
Read 8 tweets
1 Sep
I spoke to 3,000+ teams about remote working after Covid-19

This is what I learned

[ a thread ] πŸ’»πŸ πŸŒŽ
🏒 HQ’s are finished: companies will cut their commercial office space by 50-70%

They will allow every worker to work from home 2-4 days a week, and come into the office 1-2 days a week
🌍 Fully distributed: ~30% of the companies we talk to are getting rid of the office entirely and going remote-first

Companies doing this have seen their workers decentralize rapidly, leaving expensive cities to be closer to family
Read 23 tweets
20 Aug
I've spoken to 2,000+ companies over the last 12 months about their plans for remote work going forward

Here are a few things I've learned

[ a thread ] πŸ’»πŸ πŸŒ
🏒 HQ’s are finished: companies will cut their commercial office space by 50-70%

The will allow every worker to work from home 2-4 days a week, and come into the office 1-2 days a week
🌍 Fully distributed: ~30% of the companies we talk to are getting rid of the office entirely and going remote-first

Companies doing this have seen their workers decentralize rapidly, leaving expensive cities to be closer to family
Read 22 tweets
16 Aug
$100B+ companies are delaying their return to office plans again

By the time offices open, people will have worked remotely for 2+ years

A few prediction on what happens next

[ a thread ] πŸ’»πŸ πŸŒ
πŸ’« Worker Choice: millions of workers will never go back to the office full-time

Companies who let workers choose where they want to work will dominate the next decade
☠️ Office-first Death: companies who go ahead with return to office plans will be crushed

All their most talented people will leave for companies who care about their quality of life
Read 20 tweets

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