The anniversary of the weirdest, most outlier mass shooting in US history. I don't have time for a comprehensive thread, but a few thoughts on this shooting and the gun control wars.
The Vegas shooter (I won't tweet his name because screw that guy) was rich, & could've afforded the $10K+ for a legit fully automatic weapon. He also could've passed the NFA background check. He also could've just modified his AR-15 for full-auto.

Yet he used a bump stock?!
A bump stock is & was a YouTube gimmick. It's just a way to vaguely simulate full-auto fire, but it's inaccurate & is really only good for mag dumps. So why did he do this? It certainly wasn't for lethality or max body count. Was it for theater?
Speaking of increasing the body count & him being rich, he was shooting AR-15's at night towards the outer end of their effective range, ~400 yards from his suite to the concert goers. He could've afforded a .50-caliber rifle, tho, which would've yielded a far higher body count.
He cycled through about a dozen guns, firing about 100 rounds out of each. He didn't do this for barrel heating reasons -- that's silly. But really nobody knows why he cycled through all those guns. It's a mystery.
Dude had far more guns than he could possibly have shot. Was he waiting on others? What was the point of that arsenal?
Ultimately, these questions & others are why Vegas is not worth trying to use in any kind of gun control debate, pro or con.

Background checks: he passed them, & could've passed even the more stringent one for the NFA, because he had no record or criminal history.
Ammo taxes & fees: He had enough money to pay whatever fee.

Waiting periods: This was planned well in advance.

Limits on gun purchases: He brought way more than he used, & used way more than he needed.

None of it makes any sense or supports any argument you want to make w/ it.
On a final, extremely weird note: he fired at & hit a pair of fuel tanks behind the concertgoers, tanks that service planes for a classified airline known as JANET. Flying JANET is how you get to Area 51 & other top-secret government facilities. radaronline.com/exclusives/201…
There are so many more weird wrinkles to this case. I've only scratched the surface. Tons more stuff involving his girlfriend, his travel history, past employment, amount of time he was in the suite before the authorities busted in, the route he took in loading up the room, etc.
It's almost Epstein-level weird. We also still don't know much more than we did the week after this whole thing went down. It just got memory-holed. No big revelations have come out about this supremely bizarre & deadly event. I dunno.
The shooter had an hour and 15 mins of alone time between when he opened fire on the crowd & when the cops busted into his room & found him dead. One hour & 15 mins. Amazing.

Also amazing: he was firing for only 10 of those mins. Once again, his goal clearly was not body count.
There is no answer to the headline's question anywhere in this article. Only a catalog of changes to the official timeline & basic order of events, changes that just kept coming in the weeks after the shooting. Why all the TL changes? Another mystery. bbc.com/news/world-us-…
I had forgotten about this mystery woman.
I had forgotten all the weirdness around Jesus Campos, the guard whom the shooter allegedly shot in the leg. He disappeared after the shooting, bailing on a bunch of TV appearances, then showed up again & went on the Ellen show. latimes.com/nation/la-na-j…

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More from @jonst0kes

30 Sep
My prepping mantra: "on-time is late, and early is on-time." You have to prepare when it seems a little bit crazy to do so, b/c if you wait for the moment it makes total sense, it's too late.

Right now is the time to to prep for severe, life-altering supply chain disruptions.
It still seems kinda crazy to prep for a scenario where grocery store shelves in your area are bare of many staples, and/or food prices have skyrocketed. It may feel nuts to prep for a period of chaos or near-chaos. That just means you're on-time, though.
I'm not saying chaos is coming, but there are significant risks (as the article in the OT by @jcenters details) of a complete supply chain meltdown as we head into winter. Now is the time to quietly & calmly hedge that risk. Don't wait until it's clear you need to stock up.
Read 8 tweets
29 Sep
Our military has a lot to answer for right now, but there's 1 question that's apparently so nuts that nobody w/ has pressed them about on the record: why were high-lvl Pentagon brass & Podesta secretly talking to a former Blink 182 bandmember about UFOs?

Back in 2011, when Tom Delonge (the aforementioned rock-in-roller) appeared on Art Bell's show raving about gods, demons, UFOs, & his secret conversations w/ top NASA & MIL officials, it was a hoot. Why would the Pentagon be talking to him? Delusional! coasttocoastam.com/show/2011-12-1…
Delonge kept on about this for years, giving one off-the-wall interview after another about secret crashed UFO recovery programs, clandestine meetings with generals & military contractors, etc. It was all very easily (& properly) dismissed. coasttocoastam.com/guest/delonge-…
Read 14 tweets
28 Sep
This is a chart of urea prices for the past year, from $256/ton to $445/ton. Urea is the main component in DEF, which all new diesel engines need for their emissions systems. This is another reason why transport costs are climbing, & it's related to the natgas prices.
More on urea prices here: ttnews.com/articles/exper…
Not only is DEF expensive, but the DEF sensors in these trucks -- the ones that warn when DEF is low and actually slow the engine down unless it's refilled -- are out of stock thanks to supply chain issues, & this is keeping trucks parked. ttnews.com/articles/diese…
Read 4 tweets
28 Sep
Basically, scenes from Europe are gonna be nuts this winter. My big worry for us here in the states is food, tho. Natgas is where we get the nitrogen to make fertilizer. hpj.com/crops/natural-…
I dunno about you guys, but if it all goes sideways here over energy Imma blame the anti-nuclear activists. This is in their lap.
Read 5 tweets
27 Sep
This is the level of sophistry that most AI ethics discourse operates at. To unpack this: they argue that basic facial recognition tech of the kind that unlocks your iPhone is an example of "physiognomic AI" because it infers "are these pixels a face or not?" & extrapolates depth
If you're thinking that surely the cannot be arguing that basic iPhone unlocking tech is an example of "physiognomy" that should be banned by law, behold:
The stuff in this paper isn't just farce tho -- it's also tragedy. There are actual, honest-to-God examples of physiognomic AI in the paper -- not the ridiculous FRT stuff, but actual "let us measure the skull to determine criminality" type stuff. But the sophistry...
Read 9 tweets
19 Sep
Lotta good responses here, but also:

- Supply chain is a pipeline, & some of what we're seeing now is just problems that started last year popping out the other end.
- China's manufacturing centers have been hit by heavy flooding & Delta. Also their shipping is hit by Delta.
- Other ports & manufacturing centers have been taken offline by Delta (I think Viet Nam & Indonesia are worst affected, but I may be recalling incorrectly).
- The system was already fragile, & Delta + aforementioned time-delay-based shocks hurt it even worse.
- In general, the system is complex, highly interconnected, & prone to cascade effects & crashes. So failure modes are hard to predict & even reason about in real time.
- Shipping will remain constrained until COVID is over because the cartels don't want to increase capacity...
Read 7 tweets

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