This is the key difference between trying to protect a health system, and trying to protect people.

The UK are attempting to burn the fields before fire season.

But these are people… children… We know only enough about the disease to cause worry…

and there is a vaccine.
All I have to say to this incredibly monstrous strategy is… the UK is actually just making more straw to burn.

A significantly weakened herd will be fighting the flu/rsv/rhinovirus etc this year.
Why would you try to protect a health system, instead of protecting people when you could do both by keeping case numbers low and incentivising vaccination?

Greed, expedience, popularity contest.
We know that kids don’t necessarily mount antibody responses. We know infection does not give durable immunity…

and what if a new variant comes along just in time for winter and infects everyone again?
It’s literally like watching the Manaus situation again. I hope it doesn’t end in tears, but if it does, it was entirely foreseeable.

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More from @NjbBari3

2 Oct
CDC defines influenza as an epidemic disease. Even though it has been around for ages, and is never truly gone from the earth, it comes and goes in waves. COVID-19 will likely be similar.

Endemic illness stays at a constant level roughly.

cdc.gov/flu/about/inde…
I don’t think you can just decide to call something endemic at an arbitrary point in time… it has to show some characteristics of steady rate of disease.
I hope we don’t chose to allow COVID-19 to be at very high endemic levels, or have large epidemics. Would be better if it was sporadic outbreaks. Much safer.
Read 13 tweets
1 Oct
Even taking testing difficulties into account, the whole world is slowly reducing COVID-19 cases.

Australia however wants to follow the example of the hardest hit countries in the world.

Why?
More examples of the many countries around the world that are slowly vaccinating, ventilating, and wearing masks by and large.

All doing their best to control disease.
There is a fiction going around that there is no point controlling disease in places like Australia because other countries can’t/won’t control disease.

It’s not 100% true. With far less resources, many countries are controlling disease.
Read 5 tweets
30 Sep
The world is not a perfect place. Expecting things to be right every time is unreasonable.

I do expect the right equipment and knowledge to be made available though, so people can make better decisions, and reduce the harm.
The right information is:

Even if COVID-19 felt like the cold when you had it, it isn’t.

Try to prevent infections, even if you have had one before.

Vaccines are way safer than the disease.

->
COVID-19 is airborne in aerosol.

HEPA reduces aerosol.

There are other ways to reduce aerosol apart from HEPA but these have to be measured to be working. You can’t just guess.
Read 7 tweets
29 Sep
What can I say to make the world wake up to the danger of COVID-19?

What can I say to help people to understand that infecting kids is not OK?
Dementia
Left bodies
Parkinson’s like movement disorders.
Memory problems with loss similar to lead poisoning.
Switching on the immune system in bad ways so it harms you (autoimmune disorders).
->
Attacking T cells and any CD45 expressing cell making future immunity a problem. (T cells that might have protected from cancer and other infections.)
Damaging the heart.
Damaging the blood vessels.
Read 19 tweets
29 Sep
This is to allow return to work for parents.

If your child's classroom does not have a CO2 monitor to prove ventilation is adequate, or an adequately sized HEPA filter to ensure clean air, your child is not in a safe classroom.

You've been warned.
If there is one child in your class that is unmasked, and that child gets infected, all others, including teachers, are at increased risk of high dose inoculation. Your child's mask may not be enough to protect them.

It's every person for themselves now.
What a spectacular mess. Unprepared. Unsafe. Financial support withdrawal means kids will be forced into unsafe classrooms in NSW. The youngest cohort unvaccinated.

I'm disgusted.
Read 4 tweets
28 Sep
@WHO is watching strains like Mu with concern.

@ScottMorrisonMP and @GladysB are opening international borders pre-Christmas with ineffective 7 day quarantine.

Should be interesting…

news.un.org/en/story/2021/…
Last time… last time I did say… make sure you have proper quarantine; delta isn’t a joke. You all didn’t listen & then you had to phone every friend for vaccines.

I’m saying it again. Don’t skimp on quarantine. If you’re going to do it, do it properly.
Half-baked, keep the voters happy, quarantine for too short a period, no ability to live track variants quarantine theatre is not going to work.

It will get massively stuffed up again at some point… probably soon.
Read 7 tweets

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