Something happened on 1 October that will severely hurt inbound tourism to the UK & damage the business sector too...
As Priti Patel boasts, the Tories binned the use of national ID cards to enter the UK. But an estimated 200 million EU citizens only have ID cards not passports.
School trips, especially, will be a thing of the past.
A national ID card, ubiquitous in most EU countries, will get EU citizens into over 50 countries and territories. (See list below.)
The ONLY exception is the UK. We've slammed the door by demanding passports only.
The final nail in the coffin for school trips is that the Tories also got rid of the "List of Travellers" scheme for non-EU citizens accompanying EU citizens on class trips. So it's now harder for EU citizens to come (they need passports) and much harder for non-EU citizens.
But this demand for passports will have a knock-on effect on businesses too.
Who would risk holding a large international conference in the UK, knowing that millions of potential attendees would need to go to the hassle and expense of obtaining passports to come here?
And what about those whose business takes them regularly between the EU and the UK. Hauliers, for example? It's likely many of them will only have ID cards, for unless they've holidayed outside of Europe they will never have needed passports.
This makes the shortages worse.
The abandonment of ID cards as a means of entering the UK was not required by the EU or imposed on us by any other external party.
It was not an automatic consequence of the Brexit process either.
No, it is entirely the conscious choice of the Tory Party.
Here's how this change pans out in the real world...
More and more Tories are jumping onto the "Short-term Brexit pain? Sure - it's a milestone on the way to higher pay." train.
If enough Leavers swallow it (alternative is to admit to themselves they voted wrongly) they'll have cemented that contingent.
Oh, and Lexit is dead.
This approach has several advantages for the Tories:
- The first part, i.e. the bit we see now, matches reality: there are Brexit problems. ("Aha, but they're Brexit-problems-for-a-good-cause...")
- Stuffs Labour. Already impossible to out-Leave the Tories, now double impossible.
Other advantages...
- Once people become invested in the idea, they will accept almost any hardship. Why? Because of the sunk cost. They've already "accepted" the current damage. That's the price of continuing to believe in Brexit. So reversing their thinking becomes ever harder.
The Tories seem to be pivoting to an "Everyone voted to be poorer, and all we did was implement the result of the vote" Brexit strategy...
It's a controversial move. But it has some merit, from their POV.
It doesn't tell Leavers they were stupid or didn't know what they were voting for. Instead, it's subtle: it forces them to agree to something terrible to avoid admitting to themselves they were wrong about Brexit.
IF Leavers buy into it, then the more everyone else points the finger at everything that's going wrong, the more likely they are to retreat into an even more defensive strategy.
Ultimately: "Of course there are problems. It's Brexit. But it will be worth it in the end."
Amongst other things, this almost certainly marks the end of school trips by EU schools, because many of the students will only have ID cards, not passports, and schools won't want to impose the cost and hassle on parents.