The Tories seem to be pivoting to an "Everyone voted to be poorer, and all we did was implement the result of the vote" Brexit strategy...
It's a controversial move. But it has some merit, from their POV.
It doesn't tell Leavers they were stupid or didn't know what they were voting for. Instead, it's subtle: it forces them to agree to something terrible to avoid admitting to themselves they were wrong about Brexit.
IF Leavers buy into it, then the more everyone else points the finger at everything that's going wrong, the more likely they are to retreat into an even more defensive strategy.
Ultimately: "Of course there are problems. It's Brexit. But it will be worth it in the end."
A big part of the strategy will be doubling down on efforts to make everyone else the enemy, out to thwart that ultimate glorious Brexit.
Labour can wave goodbye to any last Leave votes.
The only solution? Lean into it. Say "Yes, we're trying to stop it, to save Britain".
It then becomes a straight numbers game. Are there more people willing to endure ANY pain to keep Brexit going, or will they be outnumbered by those who've had enough?
(Even if Labour don't pivot, they will continue to be painted as a Remain party by the subservient RW media.)
Possible attack lines...
"Is it REALLY the will of the people to provoke a fuel crisis?"
"Is it REALLY the will of the people to empty shelves at Christmas time?"
"Is it REALLY the will of the people to destroy the school travel industry?"
(etc. etc. etc.)
You don't have to convince a single Leaver.
You only have to convince enough of the Remainers, people who didn't vote in 2016 but whose lives are being adversely affected by Brexit, and those who came of voting age post-2016.
The latter group should hugely outnumber the former.
BTW, please don't make the mistake of believing that, if people didn't vote in 2016, that means they won't have any opinion about the spreading shortages, fuel crisis, energy crisis etc.
Those aren't "politics" but "real life". It may well be possible to galvanise them to act.
Anyway, if you've read this far, please stay alert. Watch what comes out of the Tory Party Conference in the next few days. Early indications suggest that this is going to become their main way of defending themselves against accusations that things are going wrong due to Brexit.
I've covered many of the themes of this thread in much greater detail in the article linked below... link.medium.com/EKYTk1qT5jb
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Read the main front page headline in the Telegraph today... then read my article!
The Tories have carefully, deliberately, cynically shifted the conversation around Brexit and the damage it's causing. Instead of denying it, they're now blaming others. link.medium.com/EKYTk1qT5jb
This isn't some off-hand remark by a couple of disgruntled MPs at a fringe Tory Party Conference event.
This is a shift at the highest levels, from the PM on down.
And this new strategy has consequences for Labour, and all of us. Because it means the Brexit pain won't stop.
Indeed, the Brexit pain doesn't need to stop. It's all part of the journey towards a future high-wage, high-productivity Britain.
A fantasy, but one which will be compelling to a significant portion of the Tory base. (Alternative: admit to themselves their 2016 vote was wrong.)
More and more Tories are jumping onto the "Short-term Brexit pain? Sure - it's a milestone on the way to higher pay." train.
If enough Leavers swallow it (alternative is to admit to themselves they voted wrongly) they'll have cemented that contingent.
Oh, and Lexit is dead.
This approach has several advantages for the Tories:
- The first part, i.e. the bit we see now, matches reality: there are Brexit problems. ("Aha, but they're Brexit-problems-for-a-good-cause...")
- Stuffs Labour. Already impossible to out-Leave the Tories, now double impossible.
Other advantages...
- Once people become invested in the idea, they will accept almost any hardship. Why? Because of the sunk cost. They've already "accepted" the current damage. That's the price of continuing to believe in Brexit. So reversing their thinking becomes ever harder.
Something happened on 1 October that will severely hurt inbound tourism to the UK & damage the business sector too...
As Priti Patel boasts, the Tories binned the use of national ID cards to enter the UK. But an estimated 200 million EU citizens only have ID cards not passports.
School trips, especially, will be a thing of the past.
A national ID card, ubiquitous in most EU countries, will get EU citizens into over 50 countries and territories. (See list below.)
The ONLY exception is the UK. We've slammed the door by demanding passports only.
The final nail in the coffin for school trips is that the Tories also got rid of the "List of Travellers" scheme for non-EU citizens accompanying EU citizens on class trips. So it's now harder for EU citizens to come (they need passports) and much harder for non-EU citizens.