A brief thread to try and demystify the infrastructure convo in Washington, and hopefully correct some misconceptions:
1/ First, the price is not the story. Our House rules require us to pay for any added costs, which we have done. You may object to the substance or object to the way we paid for them, but there is no basis to say "I like $3.5T better than $1.5 or $10.5" in a vacuum.
2/ Also the cost is over 10 years. $3.5T is $350B/year against a ~$5T/yr federal budget and a $20T/yr economy.
3/ So before you decide that you like or don't like the $3.5 #, you should want to know what that money pays for. A brief summary:
4/ (a) Deciding, after 30 years that Congress cannot kick the can on climate change any more. Programs to fully decarbonize our electric grid, ramp up electric vehicles, provide tax credits to clean generation and transmission and make sure those credits can be used by everyone.
4/ (b) Lowering prescription drug costs for seniors by allowing Medicare to negotiate with pharmaceuticals (just like your private insurer and the VA already does)
5/ (c) Making the child tax credit that we passed earlier this year permanent. This is the provision that cut child poverty rates in half. We want to keep that progress.
6/ (d) Ensuring everyone has 12 weeks of family and medical leave so that you don't have to choose between paying your rent and caring for a loved one.
7/ (e) Expanding Medicare coverage to include dental and vision so that seniors don't have to skimp on critical healthcare needs
8/ (f) Lowering the Medicare eligibility age to 60. (Fact: cancer diagnoses spike at 65, not because cancer rates go up but because of how many people have gaps in health coverage until they become Medicare-eligible.)
9/ That's a partial list. Now how is it paid for?
10/ (a) A big one is 4(b) above. Allowing Medicare to negotiate prescription drug costs lowers the cost of drugs that are purchased by the federal government for seniors. That saves a lot of patient and taxpayer money. It's a win/win.
11/ (b) Raising the top individual tax rate (only for people making > $400K) to 39.6% and raising the corporate tax rate to 26.5%. Both of these are well within levels during Clinton- and Obama-era economic booms.
12/ (c) Setting the global minimum tax rate to 15% so as to stop the process of US companies using US roads, legal systems and courts but off-shoring profits to avoid having to pay for those services on which their revenue depends.
13/ (d) Increasing funding for the IRS to ensure they have the resources to audit and collect from tax cheats. Under the current tax code this alone is costing us $1T/year. Enforce the laws we already have, dammit.
14/ (e) Sadly, it does not include provisions to eliminate existing fossil fuel subsidies. It should, but we couldn't get that through. So rest assured, fossil lobby: you still don't have to face up to the rough & tumble reality of market capitalism.
15/ Again that's a partial list, but these are the major muscle movements in the Build Back Better bill and the way they are paid for. It's good stuff! Not perfect, not complete, but transformative nonetheless.
16/ How we get this over the line depends on building a consensus among members of Congress about which of those things we choose not to invest in. I personally like all of them, but if we must compromise we will.
17/ However, every time you hear someone say that they don't like the size of the bill, you should ask them which of the benefits they would take away. Do they not take climate seriously? Do they like child poverty? Do they think medicine is already too cheap?
18/ And if they squirm out of that conversation, they are really telling you that they don't like how it's paid for. Hope this has been helpful. /fin

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More from @SeanCasten

25 Sep
Thank you to my friend @RepAndyLevin for taking the lead on this. When we met with EU climate leaders this week, much of our conversation was about how we ensure that people who worked in the fossil fuel industry aren't stranded in the clean energy transition. A few thoughts:
1/ First, the clean energy transition is coming whether we like it or not. The job of policy is to make sure it comes as quickly as the climate crisis demands. But clean energy is cheap energy, and markets prefer cheap.
2/ Second the fossil sector - like all industries - has always invested in labor productivity that has enhanced their capital recovery even as it reduced their labor input. (See: longwall mining for example.)
Read 6 tweets
24 Sep
Good data confirming what everyone who wasn't trying to politicize economic data already knew. Brief thread:
1/ First to state the obvious. If $300/week with no benefits that expires in September is a better deal that your current job... your employer is taking advantage of you.
2/ But beyond that there are two numbers to watch: unemployment rate and workforce participation. The 1st measures the # out of work divided by those looking for work. The 2nd is those in or looking for work divided by working age population.
Read 11 tweets
16 Sep
I have so much respect for the way our teachers have managed the last 18 months. And such frustration with those making teachers' and students' lives harder right now. Per @devalpatrick, we too often yell our hatred as we whisper our love. The case for yelling our love (thread):
1/ First, respect for our teachers who during the past year have had to figured out how to keep students engaged in person, fully remote, hybrid and all flavors in between with spotty wifi and health uncertainty. They are heroes.
2/ Second, respect for parents (especially moms!) who've had to adjust their own lives to accommodate kids at homes, no busses, no childcare and COVID ever-present in their family and communities.
Read 15 tweets
16 Sep
This is an equity issue. But it's also a financial stability issue. All of this capital moving around the country is going to be extremely disruptive, especially for regional banks. And it's accelerating.
This new @CeresNews report is worth the read. thehill.com/policy/equilib…
This is why @brianschatz and I have been pushing our financial regulators to treat climate change as a systemic risk and make sure we have monitors and buffers in place "avant le deluge". casten.house.gov/media/press-re…
Read 4 tweets
4 Sep
This is a good read to understand what to make of the conversations about whether it is fiscally prudent to spend $3.5T on additional infrastructure spending, but leaves out one important point (brief thread): cbpp.org/research/feder…
1/ First, the $3.5T we are talking about is gross spending. It is not a net amount. Focusing on that number alone is one hand clapping, akin to judging whether someone is paying too much for rent and groceries without knowing their income.
2/ Second, this is a 10 year figure. The current federal budget is about $5T/year, or $50T/10 years. $3.5T (net of offsets, per prior) is not especially large relative to current annual federal spending, or to our ~$21.4T/yr ($214T/10 yr) total GDP
Read 6 tweets
3 Sep
This logic from Sinema is fatally flawed, insofar as it implicitly assumes that our founders were wrong about the idea that hard questions are best decided by the will of the majority. Brief thread: washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
1/ Today, with the filibuster in place the Senate is prohibited from DEBATING bills that are opposed by the minority. Not voting. Debating. It serves no purpose but to sustain ignorance.
2/ But since the Senate can't vote on a bill until they've debated it, it also blocks the vote. Ergo, our founders idea that hard questions should be resolved by the will of the majority has been inverted. Hard questions are now resolved by the will of the minority.
Read 12 tweets

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