FWIW I still believe a default is not the most likely event; between the $1T coin, 14th amendment, and a filibuster carveout that Manchin refused to rule out, I think there's enough paths to prevent it.
But if it happens, voters will blame the party that controls all 3 chambers.
But if it happens, voters will blame the party that controls all 3 chambers.
https://twitter.com/POTUS/status/1445184518609154049
Nobody cares about the filibuster or Senate procedure.
If a voter loses their social security checks while a Democratic trifecta was in office, the response will be to blame the party that was in control for letting it happen. And that's basically all there is to it.
If a voter loses their social security checks while a Democratic trifecta was in office, the response will be to blame the party that was in control for letting it happen. And that's basically all there is to it.
Want to make #VAGov one where you can credibly call the Republicans favored? you have to see an event of such groundbreaking proportions that it shifts the national mood 5 or 6 points to the right in less than 4 weeks. Something like a default.
(To be clear, Schumer/Biden/Pelosi are way, way more knowledgable than I am. You can probably be assured that if this has crossed my mind, it's crossed theirs too. And that's why I'm confident that at the end of the day, they're not going to let a default happen, come what may).
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