This is why the Net Zero by 2050 policy being promoted by governments is fake.
"The fossil fuel industry benefits from subsidies of $11m every minute, according to analysis by the International Monetary Fund." theguardian.com/environment/20…
Whilst governments falsely claim to be "battling" the climate crisis with their #BlahBlahBlah, they are in fact massively supporting the fossil fuel industry and fossil fuel use with public money i.e. doing the exact opposite of what they claim to be doing.
This is very serious deceit. The vast majority know little about the climate crisis. They trust their governments to address it, and trust their media to inform them about it, and to inform them if their government is not doing what they claim.
Yet the public hear the #BlahBlahBlah from their government, their leaders, and the media they rely on for their information, whilst this media fails to inform them of the seriousness of the crisis, or why what their governments claim to be doing is totally inadequate.
How much of the media even report the degree to which their government are subsidising the fossil fuel industry, let alone give this and other information about the climate crisis, let alone give it the prominence necessary?
The best analogy for this, is it's like discovering that at the same time governments were banging on about their war on drugs, that in secret they were actually subsidising and facilitating the production of illegal narcotics.
Here's more support for my point.
"But a group of experts that advises the government says Boris Johnson's government has credible policies in place to deliver only about a fifth of this cut." bbc.co.uk/news/58160547
This is why these claims of governments, including the UK government about Net Zero by 2050 are totally fake, complete and utter lies. The measures they are promising won't in anyway create Net Zero. They are just lies, total deceit.
As @GretaThunberg points out and brilliantly encapsulated with her #BlahBlahBlah speech. Our governments intend to create apparent Net Zero, with false accounting and manipulation of figures. As if the laws of nature and physics can be fooled with lies.
30 years ago I foresaw this, that our politicians might just be lying about their plans to address the climate and ecological crisis, the sustainability crisis with false promises, lies and the manipulation of statistics they use to deceive the public.
I had a lot of arguments with other environmentalists and scientists about this, who told me I was far too cynical and politicians couldn't back track on the commitments they made. Well the empirical evidence of he last 30 years proved they did backtrack on all they pledged.
This is not about me being wrong, please believe me, I would so much prefer I was totally wrong and everything people accused me of being at the time.
However, it is absolutely essential that we don't get caught out again by the lies of our politicians claiming they will have the problem beaten in 30 years time. Because if we get there, and find out we were conned, it will be far too late.
I will say here now, if our governments carry on with their plans, there is a serious possibility that our civilization might not even exist in 30 years times.
I will not make the mistake of others in giving dates. There is a range of probabilities. Our civilization could collapse much sooner than expected, although this is only a lower chance, and it could limp on to the end of the century, similarly with a low probability.
The big problem and the elephant in the room current projections on impacts leave out, is the most important one, the ecological impacts. threadreaderapp.com/thread/1437251…
@GeorgeMonbiot wrote this brilliant article and thread last week, and introduced people to the Hutchinson niche concept, where an ecological niche is seen as a n-dimensional hypervolume.
What an n-dimensional hypervolume means is that it has far more than the 4 dimensions we are used to thinking in (time being the 4th dimension), it has an almost infinite number of possible dimensions.
This is a great way of illustrating to complexity of ecological interactions, which are complex on a level impossible to comprehend. All impact assessments of climate change fail to take into account the ecological effects. This is because they can't due to the complexity.
Yet, these ecological interconnections are the most important thing to humanity and support every aspect of our lives and economy. Humanity is living in it's own Hutchinson n-dimensional hypervolume ecological niche. That is a fact. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.11…
One of the most important factors all ecosystems are adapted to is the current climate regime. Even the slightest change to this climate regime can massively effect the ecosystems adapted to it, and that includes the ecological niche humans occupy.
Therefore, whilst the ecological component are largely left out of most assessments of the impact dangerous climate change will have on our societies and economy, due to complexity, it is in fact the most important component.
This is why I can be very certain, that climate breakdown will have far earlier large scale impacts on our societies, economy and civilization, than any impact assessment purely based on crude physical parameters, envisages.
I respect @hausfath's work on carbon calculations. However, I think it is fair to challenge is perception of the solutions. I do this as positive criticism in the hope he will re-assess his perception of the solutions to the problem.
The essential trouble with his suggested solution is summed up with "cost-effective mature tech", as if this is the whole solution to the problem, and yet Zeke wonders why people aren't agreeing with him on this.
When dealing with a problem as serious as the climate and ecological crisis, the sustainability crisis, you need solutions which will avert an avoidable catastrophe, not just "cost-effective" solutions. This is not a crisis where a partial solution is appropriate.
'Patel will say: “Today I can announce I will increase the maximum penalties for disrupting a motorway; criminalise interference with key infrastructures such as roads, railways and our free press ....' theguardian.com/politics/2021/…
This is an illustration how dishonest not only the UK government is over their position on the climate crisis, but governments all around the world. These things getting special protection are all key components, which have driven and enabled the climate and ecological crisis.
Patel talks about the laughably and inappropriately named "free press". This is essentially a billionaire propaganda outfit, which promotes climate change denial, and supports the Conservative Party. That fails to hold this government to account. It is anything but free.
The big question is this, why do so many world leaders, very rich people, celebrities and major Conservative Party donors appear in these leaked Pandora papers? theguardian.com/news/2021/oct/…
These people are already incredibly rich, pay a smaller percentage in tax than the relatively low paid. So they hardly have any need to engage in schemes like this to evade a bit more tax. If they are a leader of a country, they are expecting their lowly paid citizens to pay tax.
@GeorgeMonbiot Also, every ecosystem in the world and its biodiversity is primarily adapted to climate i.e. it's a major axis of that n-dimensional hypervolume. Meaning all species will become unadapted to the niche they currently occupy.
@GeorgeMonbiot As the climate shifts and every species becomes unadapted to the niche they currently occupy, some will be able to adapt to new niches, but many won't. Hence the mechanism by which many species will cease to exist and become extinct.
@GeorgeMonbiot A n-dimensional hypervolume niche is far too complex for anyone to understand, even partially. So the actual impacts of that climate shift and which species survive, which go into major decline, and which go extinct will be impossible to predict.
My points about wealth and carbon and consumption footprints are not ideological.
'Private jet providers are experiencing “unprecedented demand” from wealthy customers seeking to avoid the “mosh pit” of commercial flights ...' theguardian.com/world/2021/sep…
"Private jets emit about 20 times more carbon dioxide per passenger mile than commercial flights, according to industry data."
This pattern is crystal clear.
"It says the world's wealthiest 1% produce double the combined carbon emissions of the poorest 50%, according to the UN." bbc.co.uk/news/science-e…
You see, if you do not see the world in the terms George describes, and hardly any does, then this is a basic thinking error. From birth we have been taught entirely false ideas about the world in which we live, and these falsehoods persist at the highest levels in academia.
Why isn't academia worried that most accounts of the world and whole academic fields are based on profoundly and demonstrable false views of the world we live in? Science supports the systems view and the interconnection of everything.
Nothing so far supports the mistaken view of the world being composed of separate objects with no connection to anything else. All the evidence is for whole system interconnection. Yet the fallacious world view, still predominates. Why?