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Ab. Sayed ترمذی سادات

@abdsayedd

6 Oct

The Shehryar Mehsud group is the fourth major TTP splinter and the 10th anti-state Pakistani militant group that merged with TTP since 5th July last year. The other three TTP splinters were, Jumat-ul-Ahrar (JuA), Hizb-ul-Ahrar (HuA), and Hakeem Ullah Mehsud groups. 1/n

This latest merger is a very significant development for TTP. The late 2013 infighting of Shehryar Mehsud group with Sajna Mehsud group, now led by the current TTP emir, scattered the TTP unity, which resulted in its various splinters in 2014. 2/n

In these ten TTP mergers, other groups that merged included three major post-9/11 al-Qaeda Pakistani affiliates namely, Ahmad Farooq, Amjad Farooqi, & Ustad Aslam groups, a LeJ faction of Saifullah Kurd & two groups from North Waziristan, including the Ustad Aleem Khan group. 3/n

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Ab. Sayed ترمذی سادات

@abdsayedd

5 Oct

@USIP

A timely @USIP paper by senior Afghan expert @S_MIAKHEL analyzing the four key challenges faced by the Taliban government with four recommendations for the international community:
1) Legitimacy
2) Security
3) Governance
4) Humanitarian
usip.org/sites/default/…

"First, the international community should push for access for humanitarian aid delivery, for an end to extrajudicial killings & punishments & the harassment of former govt officials, for girls’ access to education & for allowing Afghans’ freedom of movement to-from Afghanistan."

"Second, the international community should establish a third-party mechanism to monitor the Taliban’s actions with respect to human rights, freedom of assembly and free speech."

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Ab. Sayed ترمذی سادات

@abdsayedd

26 Aug

I don’t know when I will be able to write a piece on heartbreaking developments in Kabul but meantime, a thread on Islamic State Khurasan Province as I am seeing both interest and confusion about the group. 1/n

As feared, the so-called Islamic State Khurasan Province (ISKP) claimed today's devastating attack killing a dozen US soldiers and 60+ Afghan civilians. This is a big blow to US military and it also undermines Taliban's claim of having a monopoly over violence in Afghanistan. 2/n

I have been warning for the last year that ISKP is taking a new shape since Feb2020,& becoming more dangerous. By that time, it had been routed from strongholds in Nangarhar & Kunar to intense US CT operations,🇦🇫forces & Taliban actions. But I saw signs of a swift resurgence. 3/n

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Ab. Sayed ترمذی سادات

@abdsayedd

26 Aug

@TimListerCNN

Thanks to ⁦@TimListerCNN⁩ for including my thoughts in this ⁦@CNN⁩ report on the ISKP threat and on the future Jihadist landscape in Afghanistan after the Taliban takeover of the country. cnn.com/2021/08/26/asi…

“However, Abdul Syed, a researcher and author on militant movements in Afghanistan and Pakistan, says that through devastating attacks in Kabul and Jalalabad, IS-K "has transformed to a new shape for a long battle in Afghanistan."

“He told CNN that it enjoys support from radical Salafists in several provinces.”

“Abdul Syed, who has studied the Pakistani Taliban in depth, notes that the fall of Kabul resulted in around 800 TTP prisoners being freed, including the group's deputy emir.”

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Ab. Sayed ترمذی سادات

@abdsayedd

21 Jul

Ehsanullah Ehsan, a TTP & JuA former spokesman, reveals some interesting information of 🇦🇫Taliban relations with the most radical anti-Pak TTP group, led by Umar Khalid Khurasani, known TTP Mohmand, separated from TTP in 2014, named itself JuA & remerged in TTP in Aug 2020. 1/7

Ehsan criticizes all such Pakistani media analyses, claiming whether the TTP Khurasani group has severe relations with the Afghan Taliban. He counts three examples as evidence that JuA enjoys good mutual relations with the Afghan Taliban inside Afghanistan. 2/7

According to him, AT took strict actions on the TTP Mohammand complaints against its important commander in Kunar, Haji Abdul Rahim, in 2012 and removed him from his responsibility. Rahim is a LeT linked Afghan Salafist commander affiliated with the AT. 3/7

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Ab. Sayed ترمذی سادات

@abdsayedd

22 Feb

ISKP has released a propaganda video announcing its "return in Khurasan" with a new strategy of attacks. The 27 min video bashes the Taliban on its peace negotiations with the US, criticizes Pakistan, and shows footage of its attacks in Nangarhar, Kabul, and Peshawar. 1/n

The video starts with an extract from the slain TB military chief Mullah Dadullah's interview with AQ As-Sahab media conducted in 2006 strictly rejecting any Taliban option for peace negotiations with the US, saying if anyone does so, he will be targeted similar to the US. 2/n

The videos claim that the Taliban have compromised their fundamentals, and they have left their path. To show these claims valid, the video includes statements extracts of Zalmai Khalilzad and Taliban political leadership, Suhail Shaheen and Abbas Stanikzai. 3/n

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Ab. Sayed ترمذی سادات

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Ab. Sayed ترمذی سادات

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