I recently did an interview where I was asked to give my opinion on recent changes in UK border policy as an expert. After I did this, the two hosts discussed me, suggesting that I was out of touch, & didn't understand that we need to 'accept' risk.
🧵 on 'accepting' risks.
My opinion was clearly out of vogue in the UK, despite being in line with scientific consensus, because the UK has it's own consensus- not based on science. And scientists can either fall in line with it, or be seen as 'alarmists', out of touch with media/public sentiment.
This is a key reason I don't do media anymore. I've realised that when I'm invited for interviews, it's not because people want my expert opinion. It's because they want a fall guy to present as fringe and extreme, to normalise the dystopia that we live in.
And it is dystopian - to say we should 'accept' 800 deaths a week, and NHS that's to overwhelmed to provide emergency care, an increasing burden of long COVID - with >1 million people and rising living with with. '
Accept that 1 in 14 of our adolescents are infected when they could've been vaccinated. Accept that children have died of COVID-19 when they could've been protected by vaccination like they have in other countries. Accept that >50,000 children are now living with long COVID.
Accept huge jumps in numbers of young people with long COVID as the ONS data shows now, because our govt and even our CMO was happy to promote a mass infection strategy in children, when vaccines and simple mitigations could've protected them.
Accept that our govt won't invest in ventilation in schools, when other European governments have spent millions on this to make schools safer-and have managed to open schools without the huge outbreaks and educational disruption we see here.
bbc.co.uk/news/world-eur…
Accept that JCVI still hasn't released the data behind it's exceptional decision to not offer vaccines to adolescents which is out of line with all evidence and led to delays that were fatal for some children & tragic for their families.
MSM is complicit in this normalisation of *preventable* death and suffering. Many other countries are preventing this without a huge cost to society. We have one of highest 'acceptable' case, hospitalisations and deaths rates across Europe. Why?
And please don't tell me about our 'free society'. This isn't freedom. When our clinically vulnerable are pushed back into unsafe workplaces, where 1 in 70 people are infected and almost no one is wearing masks. Forcing children back into unsafe environments, knowing the risks?
Many scientists are complicit in this as well. COVID scepticism runs deep in the UK (in a way it doesn't in many other countries). Which means that mainstream science becomes fringe science here, because there are scientists who constantly compare SARS-CoV-2 to flu & minimise it.
What's happening in the UK scientific/paeds community should be a scandal. When a former member of JCVI (Dingwall) has links to a disinformation lobby group (HART), and is referred to as their person on the inside in #HARTlogs
bylinetimes.com/2021/10/01/ins…
When we have a current member of JCVI thanking UsForThem, an anti-vaxx group for their support- because both of them support parents waiting for 6 months to vaccinate their children. Which means almost certain infection and its consequences - rather than vaccination.
When we have Russell Viner, a member of SAGE and former president of the RCPCH quoting widely debunked estimates of vaccine associated myocarditis from the Hoeg paper using VAERS in an opinion piece in the Guardian unchallenged.
When the *current* head of RCPCH is advocating for an end to asymptomatic testing in children, presumably fully knowing that most transmission happens prior to symptoms. This is essentially no different from saying spread of infection among children does not matter.
When many in our scientific have normalised a strategy of mass infection in children. We are one of the very few countries in the world with no contact tracing or isolation, or even testing contacts in schools - a strategy that led to >200,000 children off ill with COVID last wk.
I'm tired of challenging this, given the hopium and copium that's it vast supply in the media and scientific community. Any challenge to the complete scandal that is the UK pandemic policy will be cast as 'alarmist', 'fear-mongering', or the inability to 'accept' risk.
My opinion might seem fringe here, but it's based on the global evidence. Scepticism runs deep within the scientific and paediatrics community in the UK - and has rationalised some of the most reckless, exceptonal policies - that are already having a huge impact on society.
A yr ago many of us wrote & signed the John Snow Memo, a global scientific consensus on SARS-CoV-2. To combat dangerous misinformation on 'herd immunity through infection'. Everything we said then is still true. But sadly fringe science has won here. And is no longer fringe here.

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More from @dgurdasani1

2 Oct
Not vaccinating children with vaccines that have been safely given to >14 million children is *not cautious*, when the alternate is infection. This is the real impact of delay- children dying from a preventable illness while waiting to get vaccinated.

thesun.co.uk/news/16308491/…
It's frankly so disappointing to see journalists justifying and rationalising the unjustifiable without challenge. You are also responsible for the impact on children- the preventable deaths, hospitalisations, long COVID, orphaning of children, mass educational disruption.
It might be time to take a long hard look in the mirror and think about how you've been part of the machine that let this happen. To children. Children shouldn't die of illnesses we can prevent. If you can't see that, then you probably shouldn't be reporting on this.
Read 4 tweets
2 Oct
COVID-related myocarditis can be severe and tragically even fatal (unlike vaccine-related myocarditis which is typically rare and mild and hasn't cause any fatalities so far). Children do get seriously ill with COVID- here's a really heartbreaking story.

thesun.co.uk/news/16308491/…
I'm shocked at how long it's taken to decide to vaccinate adolescents & provide them access to vaccines in England. Given the mass infection children are being subjected to due to lack of mitigations in schools, this is urgent. Why isn't the govt taking protecting kids seriously?
These deaths in children are preventable. Why on earth aren't we preventing them? Yes, children don't die as often as adults, but why would we let *any* children die, when protecting them involves such basic measures (vaccines, mitigations) that so many other countries have done?
Read 6 tweets
1 Oct
What is happening with infection in children in Wales? Infection appears to be skyrocketing, with *very large* outbreaks in schools. In the past 3 weeks there have been *131* schools with 20+ COVID-19 cases, and many more with very significant outbreaks. 🧵
Infection rates in school age children are through the roof, and still rising. In adolescents, these seem to have hit 3% *3000/100,000* per week. That's 3% of adolescents & 1.5% of primary school age children being infected *every single week*, and increasing.
It's clear that numbers of identified cases in school age children and staff are higher than they've been during any point in the pandemic, at least since last summer when testing was expanded to everyone.
Read 7 tweets
30 Sep
Our paper on vaccination of adolescents co-led with @chrischirp out today in @EditorJRSM. Our risk-benefit analysis of vaccination of adolescents show benefits *far* outweigh risks in reducing deaths, hospitalisations, long COVID at current rates 🧵
rsm.ac.uk/media/5475435/…
What did we do?
We looked at different case incidence rates - continuing for a period of 16 weeks, and looked at how many 12-17 year olds would be hospitalised, be admitted to ICU, develop long COVID or die with and without vaccination during this time in England.
What rates did we consider?
We reported main results for two rates, but also looked at everything in between.
Our main results are for two case incidences:
High: 1000/100,000/wk (current incidence in 10-19 yr olds is ~800/100,000/wk for)
Low: 50/100,000/wk (similar to April)
Read 20 tweets
29 Sep
This from RCPCH indicates a complete lack of understand of basic epidemiology & public health. What's disrupting education is a system that allows infectious children to stay in class. Testing those with symptoms alone (most transmission happens before symptoms) will worsen this.
It's frankly unbelievable that such a basic fact hasn't been understood by RCPCH. This messaging is bordering on negligent, given the massive outbreaks we're seeing in schools already. Not testing asymptomatic or presymptomatic children will only make this worse.
It's not rocket science- almost every other country across the world has put in place better mitigations in schools than us, and is isolating contacts of cases. This is the only way to keep schools open- by making them safer. Keeping infected kids in classrooms is not the way.
Read 4 tweets
28 Sep
And if we look at how they impacted the lives of those reporting these persistent symptoms. 2/3rds reported impact on their ability to carry out day to day activities.
These estimates are broadly in line with recent ONS self-reported estimates in this age groups and the CLoCk study. There is a lot of uncertainty around long COVID, but the evidence suggests that it does impact children & the impact is non-trivial.
The impact on staff is also shocking. Education staff consistently come up on the ONS data as one of the groups with the highest prevalence of long COVID by population after health and social care workers.
Read 6 tweets

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