Although they're only peripherally related topics, I'm going to launch another thread with this retweet of myself.
Mostly I write about facts, which are subject to verification from generally accepted science and / or dictionaries.
But now an opinion about where we're headed.
Mostly I write about facts, which are subject to verification from generally accepted science and / or dictionaries.
But now an opinion about where we're headed.
https://twitter.com/homemadeguitars/status/1448063057494777863
2. I don't think that developed society as we know it today will continue for very long. I think it is currently showing signs of failure. Energy shortages, democracies failing, ransomware, shipping backlogs, fires, hurricanes - various localized events where high energy fails.
3. So far, developed regions have mostly been able to respond, to bring back the energy system, prevent mass death events, mostly.
In the event of a widespread interruption of energy distribution, one which can't be filled in from neighboring regions, there will be mass death.
In the event of a widespread interruption of energy distribution, one which can't be filled in from neighboring regions, there will be mass death.
4. We're all focused on X.Y° C, and reducing to 75% of emissions rates in 2006 or some absurd measure, but we don't have any idea where the threshold is.
On a case-by-case basis we're obviously already past it.
On a case-by-case basis we're obviously already past it.
5. As arranged today we can't survive without high speed long distance transportation, freight. We've arranged developed societies so almost no area is able to provide all the foodstuffs it would need to get through from year to year. No gas no groceries.
Robust. Resilient. Not.
Robust. Resilient. Not.
6. Humans have traded since time immemorial. The Silk Road. Paint. Jewelry. Rocks and metal. Spices.
Not basic foods.
The way running water works is, they pump water up into towers with electricity, and the weight of all that water up there pushes it down the pipes and out 🚿
Not basic foods.
The way running water works is, they pump water up into towers with electricity, and the weight of all that water up there pushes it down the pipes and out 🚿
7. Water towers are pretty big. They can get by without electricity for a few days.
Not real long, but a while.
Electricity flows as a result, mostly, of continued deliveries of either coal or natural gas. Most of the coal is delivered powered by diesel oil.
Trains.
Not real long, but a while.
Electricity flows as a result, mostly, of continued deliveries of either coal or natural gas. Most of the coal is delivered powered by diesel oil.
Trains.
8. Those electric motors in freight engines are powered in real time by diesel generators. The electric motor is basically the transmission. So, diesel. Petroleum.
Europe gets their natural gas, mostly, from Russia. Russia is the living breathing definition of a kleptocracy.
Europe gets their natural gas, mostly, from Russia. Russia is the living breathing definition of a kleptocracy.
9. To me, the interlinked energy supply chain is exposed to the vast increases of atmospheric / geosphere / hydrosphere energy we blithely call climate change, and it's getting chipped away faster than we're fixing it.
Meanwhile we're dreaming of building a whole new one on top
Meanwhile we're dreaming of building a whole new one on top
10. Of the slowly degrading one we're using to power climate change now.
11. I find it surprising their aren't little clusters of "apocalypse Amish" popping up all over the place.
I guess everyone really believes that energy supplies will never break down, and the Celsius number predicted for year 2100 is meaningful.
You could be right.
I guess everyone really believes that energy supplies will never break down, and the Celsius number predicted for year 2100 is meaningful.
You could be right.
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