Although they're only peripherally related topics, I'm going to launch another thread with this retweet of myself.
Mostly I write about facts, which are subject to verification from generally accepted science and / or dictionaries.
But now an opinion about where we're headed.
2. I don't think that developed society as we know it today will continue for very long. I think it is currently showing signs of failure. Energy shortages, democracies failing, ransomware, shipping backlogs, fires, hurricanes - various localized events where high energy fails.
3. So far, developed regions have mostly been able to respond, to bring back the energy system, prevent mass death events, mostly.
In the event of a widespread interruption of energy distribution, one which can't be filled in from neighboring regions, there will be mass death.
4. We're all focused on X.Y° C, and reducing to 75% of emissions rates in 2006 or some absurd measure, but we don't have any idea where the threshold is.
On a case-by-case basis we're obviously already past it.
5. As arranged today we can't survive without high speed long distance transportation, freight. We've arranged developed societies so almost no area is able to provide all the foodstuffs it would need to get through from year to year. No gas no groceries.
Robust. Resilient. Not.
6. Humans have traded since time immemorial. The Silk Road. Paint. Jewelry. Rocks and metal. Spices.
Not basic foods.
The way running water works is, they pump water up into towers with electricity, and the weight of all that water up there pushes it down the pipes and out 🚿
7. Water towers are pretty big. They can get by without electricity for a few days.
Not real long, but a while.
Electricity flows as a result, mostly, of continued deliveries of either coal or natural gas. Most of the coal is delivered powered by diesel oil.
8. Those electric motors in freight engines are powered in real time by diesel generators. The electric motor is basically the transmission. So, diesel. Petroleum.
Europe gets their natural gas, mostly, from Russia. Russia is the living breathing definition of a kleptocracy.
9. To me, the interlinked energy supply chain is exposed to the vast increases of atmospheric / geosphere / hydrosphere energy we blithely call climate change, and it's getting chipped away faster than we're fixing it.
Meanwhile we're dreaming of building a whole new one on top
10. Of the slowly degrading one we're using to power climate change now.
11. I find it surprising their aren't little clusters of "apocalypse Amish" popping up all over the place.
I guess everyone really believes that energy supplies will never break down, and the Celsius number predicted for year 2100 is meaningful.
You could be right.

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More from @homemadeguitars

13 Oct
I have so many great friends on here. I'm having a conversation with one now.
This thing we're doing on and with Earth, it's not working. There is almost no thing being done by humankind today, humankind writ large, the effective majority, which is not profoundly destructive.
2. And, in my sincere belief, profoundly unethical.
I don't know any honorable people today who think that the white conquest of this continent, and most of the world, was ethical. We have admitted that our founding is based in genocide and slavery. Not everyone, but some of us.
3. Although it would be slightly an exaggeration, it would not be much of an exaggeration to say that every job in the developed world causes climate change.
And there is no possible way our societies as we run them can survive climate change. And we're engaged in a giant pretend
Read 23 tweets
12 Oct
I am going to address the present tense.
Those of you who are old enough remember when they asked Bill Clinton, "Is there a sexual relationship between you and <<her>> and he said, "It depends on what your definition of "is" is."
People just went wild. Everyone knows what Is is!
2. Of course, what they meant was, "Everybody knows there's no difference between "is" and "was"!"
Because there was a relationship, but...
You know. Is. Or was. Or will be.
We developed these tenses in our language over the millennia for a reason.
3. Today, every day, I hear (well, read, technically) "We have the renewables. We just need to transition to them."
OK, do that.
Turn them on, turn off the fossil stuff.
Because, according to that statement, one hundred percent of the needed physical objects already exist.
Read 16 tweets
2 Oct
I would point out that slowing down and building renewables are not binary - it's not one or the other. There are two separate choices.
For instance, if any person in any government anywhere on Earth wanted to reduce their nation's emissions, they could do a speed limit now, and
2. Go ahead building the science fiction movie. At the same time.
Only one of those actions would reduce emissions now, the speed limit, but they're not in opposition as a binary choice.
Not one in the whole world.
3. Don't send me the reports, OK? These people demonstrably don't give a fuck about climate change.
Half of some silver bullet in another decade of business as usual "for the climate"?
You realize you're being conned. Lied to.
They are telling you out loud:
No change today.
Read 29 tweets
1 Oct
The US war machine is one of the biggest single sources of greenhouse gases on Earth, I think I read. I can't source it, so maybe not, but it's a big one.
All this talk about building crap now with fossil fuels and then miraculously *not* doing it after 20 years - it's BS.
People say to me, People Won't and I'm extreme, and I'm really not.
Climate change is caused by our value system as expressed by the way we live.
There are humans on Earth today, portions of societies, who cause little or climate change now. And are still literate people in 🏡
3. How about a little bit of renewables, Jeff? We don't want to be reduced to biological creatures within an ecosystem, we're Important. We're Homo (allegedly) Sapiens.
Boy do I have bad news for you.
We are biological creatures within an ecosystem. And it's collapsing around us.
Read 38 tweets
1 Oct
I left the house today on the road cart behind the girls, and noticed a white pickup with the lights on, parked on the edge of the road / our place, over on the east side. So I turned the girls down there to check them out.
So somewhere, tonight, two young fellas, kinda shaggy haired, indeterminate race, not European white, are saying, "So this old man drove this donkey cart thing down the road, and stopped beside us. He was weird, long white hair, white Amish-looking beard, I didn't know there were
any Amish around here, but anyway, he signed to roll down the window, and said, "What's up?"
So I told him we were cutting trees under the power lines for the power company, and he said, "OK. Take care," and turned down along the creek and drove away across the land.
Read 4 tweets
30 Sep
Every justification for renewables is based on the unchallenged assumption that we will continue to steadily increase our energy consumption.
There is absolutely no debate that to build anything material in the current universe requires energy input.
2. Renewable energy machines are material objects and they exist within a certain structure of known operating principles, which we call laws. Laws of physics, laws of thermodynamics.
So to build anything big takes big energy.
We are talking about building several Terawatts.
3. Tell me where you get the minimum physically required energy to do that. Because that comes first.
The energy consumption, or throughput, comes first. Cause must precede effect.
Read 9 tweets

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