It's disgusting to see how many covid deaths there were this summer compared to last.

Considering that we had NO vaccine last year, how can we have suffered so enormously greater losses second time around?

This HAS to be down to Boris Johnson's decision to open everything up.
NOTE
The underlying data comes from the coronavirus dashboard. I downloaded the figures for "Deaths within 28 days of positive test by date of death" then plotted a 7-day moving average for dates in summer 2020 and summer 2021.
coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths
Summer 2020 there were still a lot of restrictions in place.

This summer, there were none. And look at the consequence, despite the widespread vaccine rollout!

(If you're thinking "but wait, Delta's much more transmissible" that's an argument for greater restrictions, no less!)
BTW don't mistake correlation for causation.

It goes without saying that deaths would have been orders of magnitude higher without the vaccine. We would have been looking at hundreds of thousands dead.

But the vaccine, while good, is insufficient on its own to stop the spread.
The tragedy we're looking at here doesn't compare to the horrific death toll over the winter, or last March/April.

But it was by far the most preventable. We had a year of experience and the vaccine on our side.

And it's still enormous in raw terms.

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More from @uk_domain_names

9 Oct
"Tory MP says using term 'white privilege' should be reported as extremism

Jonathan Gullis also urges 'sacking' of teachers who criticise Conservative party in classroom"

Let's all get to know Jonathan Gullis better... Buckle in, this could take a while!
theguardian.com/politics/2021/…
"Tory MP: We'd save £2m by getting someone with Down's syndrome a job in McDonald's"

Jonathan Gullis suggests it would reduce the state's support burden over their lifetime from £3 million to £1 million ("I know it sounds crude to talk about money terms")
uk.news.yahoo.com/tory-mp-taxpay…
"An MP has been ordered to pay back £253.78 of taxpayers' cash and apologise - after breaking parliamentary rules."

Jonathan Gullis used postage-paid HOC envelopes and parliamentary headed notepaper to send unsolicited mail to some Kidsgrove households.
stokesentinel.co.uk/news/stoke-on-…
Read 15 tweets
5 Oct
Read the main front page headline in the Telegraph today... then read my article!

The Tories have carefully, deliberately, cynically shifted the conversation around Brexit and the damage it's causing. Instead of denying it, they're now blaming others.
link.medium.com/EKYTk1qT5jb
This isn't some off-hand remark by a couple of disgruntled MPs at a fringe Tory Party Conference event.

This is a shift at the highest levels, from the PM on down.

And this new strategy has consequences for Labour, and all of us. Because it means the Brexit pain won't stop.
Indeed, the Brexit pain doesn't need to stop. It's all part of the journey towards a future high-wage, high-productivity Britain.

A fantasy, but one which will be compelling to a significant portion of the Tory base. (Alternative: admit to themselves their 2016 vote was wrong.)
Read 4 tweets
4 Oct
We're in a new Brexit world...

Paraphrased: "Brexit pain is real, but it's a necessary stepping stone towards the high-wage economy of tomorrow."

That is the stance being adopted by the Tories at their conference.

It deflects all criticism, because the sacrifice is "worth it".
In this new Brexit world, you no longer need to secure the flagship trade deals that were put forward as a key part of the old Brexit offering...

"Truss: US trade deal is not 'be-all and end-all' for Britain"
mailplus.co.uk/edition/news/p…
In this new Brexit world, you no longer need to keep the Special Relationship ticking over...

"UK Brexit minister Lord Frost warns Joe Biden to stay out of Northern Ireland talks"
independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
Read 8 tweets
4 Oct
More and more Tories are jumping onto the "Short-term Brexit pain? Sure - it's a milestone on the way to higher pay." train.

If enough Leavers swallow it (alternative is to admit to themselves they voted wrongly) they'll have cemented that contingent.

Oh, and Lexit is dead.
This approach has several advantages for the Tories:
- The first part, i.e. the bit we see now, matches reality: there are Brexit problems. ("Aha, but they're Brexit-problems-for-a-good-cause...")
- Stuffs Labour. Already impossible to out-Leave the Tories, now double impossible.
Other advantages...
- Once people become invested in the idea, they will accept almost any hardship. Why? Because of the sunk cost. They've already "accepted" the current damage. That's the price of continuing to believe in Brexit. So reversing their thinking becomes ever harder.
Read 21 tweets
4 Oct
The Tories seem to be pivoting to an "Everyone voted to be poorer, and all we did was implement the result of the vote" Brexit strategy...
It's a controversial move. But it has some merit, from their POV.

It doesn't tell Leavers they were stupid or didn't know what they were voting for. Instead, it's subtle: it forces them to agree to something terrible to avoid admitting to themselves they were wrong about Brexit.
IF Leavers buy into it, then the more everyone else points the finger at everything that's going wrong, the more likely they are to retreat into an even more defensive strategy.

Ultimately: "Of course there are problems. It's Brexit. But it will be worth it in the end."
Read 10 tweets
3 Oct
Something happened on 1 October that will severely hurt inbound tourism to the UK & damage the business sector too...

As Priti Patel boasts, the Tories binned the use of national ID cards to enter the UK. But an estimated 200 million EU citizens only have ID cards not passports.
School trips, especially, will be a thing of the past.

A national ID card, ubiquitous in most EU countries, will get EU citizens into over 50 countries and territories. (See list below.)

The ONLY exception is the UK. We've slammed the door by demanding passports only.
The final nail in the coffin for school trips is that the Tories also got rid of the "List of Travellers" scheme for non-EU citizens accompanying EU citizens on class trips. So it's now harder for EU citizens to come (they need passports) and much harder for non-EU citizens.
Read 7 tweets

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