I've focused on Wellingborough and Trafford previously, so let's take a look at Ipswich, which has the third highest rolling rate in the UK.
In the recent spike, cases initially took off around September 15th, among 10-14s (following a pattern seen all around the country). The increase among 15-19s was less steep, presumably reflecting the fact that many in the latter group are vaccinated.
A week later, around September 22, we start to see cases taking off among those in their 40s. "Parents!", you say. I couldn't possibly comment.
Most concerningly of all, perhaps, a few days later we start to see cases rising amongst those in their 70s.
The Covid rate among 70-74 year olds in Ipswich is now higher than it's ever been. The vaccine will offer a good degree of protection, but this is not a desirable state of affairs -- one hopes that public health officials there are considering additional measures.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
This poll is one part of a larger research project that @berglund_oscar, @SamuelFinnerty and I are working on about the impact of disruptive protest on public attitudes and policy. bristol.ac.uk/news/2023/july…
The project involves polling, interviews, focus groups & experimental surveys. We’ll have more to report later in the year, but one aspect of the results of the poll that's particularly noteworthy concerns people’s opinion about the punishment of nonviolent disruptive protesters.
The poll was conducted by @YouGov on 19/20 July. Respondents were asked which punishment they thought most appropriate for someone who participated in a nonviolent but disruptive protest such as blocking a road. Options ranged from no punishment to more than 1 year in prison.
The arrest of charity volunteers raises serious questions about the role (& perhaps collusion) of rightwing media, police & politicians in the demonisation of protesters. This thread will report my attempts to piece together what happened & what it means. dailymail.co.uk/news/royals/ar…
The story starts with the Mail on Sunday, which ran a front page story on 23 April warning its readers about a a "vile plot" by "extremists" to use rape alarms to scare horses on Coronation Day. "Senior security sources" worried it could cause "serious injuries or even deaths".
The article initially attributes the plot to "Militant protesters". It then mentions organisers' fear of disruption by Just Stop Oil & reminds readers of other disruptive JSO actions. It also mentions Republic. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
But although you didn't hear about the tens of thousands of people protesting in London, chances are that you did hear about that one guy who jumped on a #snooker table in Sheffield.
None of this remotely surprising. It's yet another example of the #ActivistsDilemma in action.
When non-activists criticise groups like JSO for engaging in disruptive protest it's common for them to say they don't mind protest if it's done in a way that doesn't affect people going about their business. That's what activists have been doing this weekend. It doesn't work.
I don't want to write a long thread on this, but I do feel compelled to point out a pretty fundamental problem with this survey. Michael Mann is a great climate scientist, but psychology is clearly not his field of expertise.
In this survey he asked participants whether disruptive actions decrease or increase their support for efforts to address climate change (or have no effect).
Questions like this are asking people to introspect - to examine the inner workings of their own minds. That's a problem, because we don't have access to those inner workings. You might as well ask people to introspect on how they recognise faces or how their lungs work.
I was one of the XR scientists arrested yesterday. I'll say more about that in due course but more urgently, one of us - Emma, who was on the front page of the @Guardian today - has not been released. The UK govt is making scientists into political prisoners. @damiengayle
I'm told that Emma is now protesting her continued imprisonment by refusing to eat or drink.
By way of context, IPCC scientists say "it's now or never" to turn the emissions curve downward. When will this government start taking climate science seriously?
Thanks so much to all those asking how they can help Emma. There will be a vigil outside Charing Cross police station tomorrow morning. I'm not exactly sure what time but will post it when I find out. Sadly I won't be able to attend as I'm now banned from London (yes, really).