One of the fascinating things about investing in startups is the risk to reward profile.
A quick thread >>
1) I just tweeted about friends who have done really well in crypto. Eg if you got into Solana at $0.50-0.60 per token just last year (so not even the exclusive pre-sale price), you’d be up 300x!
2) Put into dollars, if you had bought $5000 of tokens, that would be worth $1.5m!
3) if you had bought ETH in 2016 at $0.75 per token, you’d be up 5000x!
4) So $5k -> $25m 🤯
5) Again the most mind blowing thing about all of this is both opportunities were available to the general public. This was not behind closed doors.
6) This is how the future of investing in startups should be. For so long, VCs have had exclusive access - often behind regulations that have allowed them to have gains that the general public could not get.
7) The stock mkt is a good example of this as well. Before Dodd-Frank in 2010, as a result of the 2008 recession, you could buy tech stocks on the public mkts as a “normal person” and get huge gains.
8) Amazon for example went public at $18 per share in 1997. 20 yrs later, a $5k investment would be worth $5m.
A retail investor could become a millionaire from a small investment.
9) Today, ~10 yrs post Dodd-Frank you don’t see these kinds of gains in the public markets anymore.
Companies stay private longer, making investment access at the earlier stages an exclusive activity.
10) The argument is always that our gov is trying to protect us. But with prudent large portfolio construction and outsized returns of startups, investing in early stage companies is not as risky as ppl make it out to be.
11) In fact in this market, you can probably financially engr a portfolio to be the same level of risk as gov bonds with amazing upside. (Bonds are also now more risky - hah)
12) And the upside of a startup portfolio is life changing - for not much risked.
13) This is one reason crypto is so exciting because it removes barriers of access and levels the investor playing field.
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Capital, knowledge, & networks are 3 key parts to startup success. Traditionally, those have been limited to a small # of entrepreneurs, but now are becoming more accessible to all.
1) This reminds me of what helped me / would've helped me w/ my own startup journey.
I started my co in late 2008 - right as the financial crash was happening. I couldn't raise any $$ for many yrs.
Capital has always been challenging for many entrepreneurs & I was no exception.
2) The recession was certainly part of the problem, but the bigger problem is that I didn't know what I was doing and had horrible business ideas:
Some thoughts and reflections on growing the company over the past few years:
Read on >>
1) Starting your own VC is a lot like starting a tech company. You have to raise $$ (when you have no brand) and you have to create brand so your customers (startups) will find you.
Everyone tells you you're too early. :)
2) A key difference is that you are signing up in increments of decades because you are committed to each fund for 10 years.
Having been a startup founder before, my mode of operation back in the day was thinking 1 year at a time.
Today's tweet storm is on my learnings on burnout. Burnout is real and can't be ignored. I've faced it a bunch - when I was at Google, during my startup, and even now.
Most founders and busy professionals get burned out at some pt (or multiple pts) in their career.
Read on >>
1) First how do you know if you're feeling burned out?
For me (and many others), one signal is when you wake up in the morning after decent rest and you still feel exhausted. And if this happens for days in a row, it's definitely burnout.
2) When I was younger, my solution was to just plow through it.
You can plow through it but that doesn't mean you should. This turns out to be the wrong move in the long run.