Count-Down to #FairDistricts for AZ: 64 Days

The Navajo Nation submitted a proposed legislative district map today that would have protected the existing voting power of the Navajo Nation and other northern Arizona Am. Indian tribes.
It asked for a population deviation of 7%. @ndc_doug said: we can still keep within the overall 10% planned deviations as this is considered presumptive constitutional. We just have to be very careful on the districts that are over,
..to make sure none of them is over by more than 2.95%

Commissioner Mehl said: "With all due respect to their request. I think it just goes counter to everything we've talked about these things actually in detail and voted on them and at one point
"it's really trading the White Mountains for Flagstaff and and we heard vociferously from the White Mountains that they did not want to be part of this district and we heard a pretty even keel response from Flagstaff.

At one point I asked my colleague Vice Chair Watchman
"to the White Mountains and he said, Yes, he thought they whether the Navajos would prefer Flagstaff. So this just goes counter to all of the discussions we've had and I would not support it."
So 1) The Navajo Nation gets to speak for itself. And the map received today is their voice in this process and it deserves more respect and consideration than Commissioner Mehl's reaction allowed. That he speaks first and most forcefully does not make him "correct."
2) Shutting down hard conversations like this is going to lead to nothing but a final 3:2 vote. I am certain that Mehl's vote will be among the majority. And that may be enough for him. But it shouldn't be enough for the Independent Chairperson. And Arizonans deserve more.
3) the population deviation is a big ask - but not insurmountable. I have no idea whether it makes sense - but it is "presumptively constitutional" and deserves serious discussion and consideration. It shouldn't be dismissed because Com. Mehl has already made up his mind.
4) They KNEW this was coming. Leonard Gorman, executive director of the Navajo Nation Human Rights Commission told them it was coming. Why were they not prepared for this? What the hell are they paying @BallardSpahrLLP and @SWLawNews for? And the two firms' two VRA specialists?
5) Despite Com. Mehl's brash response the conversation is not dead. And made only more difficult by his rant and their unpreparedness. Add this to their backtracking on the CD and LD plans today - we'll be lucky they finish map drawing by December..
This is hard work. And it won't happen magically by haphazardly skipping from random thought to random thought. Or being yanked in whatever direction Com. Mehl leads. They need to think through how they are going to make decisions. And a systematic plan to make those decisions.
On how will they make decisions: An example: Commissioner Lerner has broached this multiple times asking for the rationale that it is fine for CD 9 to pick up pop. from MarCo on the East, but not CD 3 from the South. There may be really good reasons why
but they have not been expressed or articulated. Or it could be arbitrary because one serves a personal interest and the other doesn't. I don't know and neither do you because they have never talked about it. This and other conversations are needed. Yesterday.
On making systematic decisions. Start someplace. Review all the districts. Closely. Articulate what works and what doesn't. Ask questions. Together. Go back and make recommendations to fix what can be fixed and protect what works - in each district and the whole map.
On the one hand they are flying through really hard decisions (the map presented by the NavajoNation and those presented by the Latino Coalition.) On the other hand they can't talk about competitiveness w/o it dissolving into the weak broth called "spread"
Hoping to see something hopeful tomorrow. Today was pretty bleak.

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More from @redistrictAZ

21 Oct
I swear this is becoming personal. This iteration connects inside the 101 in NW Maricopa County to Mohave County and the Colorado River.. This is where Neuberg talks about retirement communities as a unique COI Image
This really is going from bad to worse...
BACK FROM LUNCH
* NOT YET
Read 36 tweets
21 Oct
Here I am again - Day 7 of 7 (or 9) mapping days with the @ArizonaIRC. Counting down are 62 days to #FairDistricts if they meet their aspirational deadline of Dec. 22. I'm not much of a gambler;50/50 is my take at the moment. What odds would Vegas give?
You know the drill by now:
Here is the link to follow along: azgov.webex.com/azgov/j.php?MT…

The link to make comments during the meeting today: forms.gle/JZwaSxh894TdCN…

And the 24/7 comment link: irc.az.gov/contact-us
OH -- and if you have the personal contact info of Commissioner David Mehl of Cottonwood Properties and @SALCLeaders - he is also accepting comments. Just an option if you feel you are not being heard equally.
Read 68 tweets
21 Oct
Count-Down to #FairDistricts for AZ: 62 Days

Tonight there are 119 "citizen submissions" on the AIRC Hub. Seven more than the 112 that were posted this morning. One of those submissions is from the Southern Arizona Leadership Council @SALCLeaders -a group founded by
Commissioner Mehl in 1997. What makes this map stand out is the submitters messaged Commissioner Mehl to tell him they had submitted a map. Want to know what it is now called? Draft version 6.3. in the official draft map lineage.

Maps from two other groups have been brought
forward for serious consideration by the @ArizonaIRC. One, a single legislative district, was submitted by the Navajo Nation Human Rights Commission @NNHRC1 on behalf of the Navajo Nation (a sovereign Native American Nation).
Read 13 tweets
20 Oct
They are back - and immediately headed into E-Session for guidance on VRA -for the 2nd time in 6 hours. Maybe they really need better legal counsel @BallardSpahrLLP and @SWLawNews. And draft maps do not yet exist - Image
BACK - Live -- does it look like @ArizonaIRC is pleased? Image
Dr @ndc_doug ready to talk through CD maps - This is 5.2 ImageImage
Read 37 tweets
20 Oct
Want to follow along today? Here is the link: azgov.webex.com/azgov/j.php?MT…
Comment Link for today's meeting: forms.gle/FuMGNiHSiuPjZF…(should be functioning by 8:15)

24/7 Comment Link: irc.az.gov/contact-us
You know the saying::: tell them what you are going to tell them. Tell Them. and them tell them what you told them...

That is good advice. Adding one bit more: Tell them again. Remind them. And then remind them again. And again. Don't stop unitl there are #FairDistrictsforAZ
Stats for new LD Plans
LD5.0:
Partisan Bias, 0.7%R; Efficiency Gap, 0.5%D; w/districts 5C, 13D, 12R

LD5.1:
Partisan Bias, 3.0%R; Efficiency Gap, 1.0%R; w/districts 5C, 12D, 13R
Read 80 tweets
19 Oct
While we are waiting for today's mapping exercises to begin...
"Democracy not only requires equality but also an unshakable conviction in the value of each person, who is then equal. Cross cultural experience teaches us not simply that people have different beliefs,
but that people seek meaning and understand themselves in some sense as members of a cosmos ruled by God." ~ Jeane Kirkpatrick
If you want to follow along: here is the WebEx link:azgov.webex.com/azgov/j.php?MT…

And the comment Link: (open in about 15 minutes: forms.gle/djgVgZkAKyxK3r…

Or- the always truly 24/7 connect-us link: irc.az.gov/contact-us
Read 156 tweets

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