We'll be releasing our two weeks out analysis of the early vote in VA shortly. The short version is that there are largely good signs for Dems, but some important areas of underperformance that will need to be addressed in the remaining 13 days.
I'll flag now, one of the most concerning areas of turnout underperformance in VA is among young voters. Voters <30 account for less than half of their 2020 vote share at this point (5.2% vs 10.7%) and slightly more than half their '17 share (9.8%).
In Albermarle County (home to UVA), voters under the age of 30 are underperforming even more severely: accounting for only 4.8% of votes cast thus far, compared to 12.5% at this point in '20 and 12.8% in '17.
To state the obvious: these last 13 days will be decisive in this election. We'll have more analysis to share shortly.
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