Watching meetings on covid I think protocols/software that choreograph mtngs to expose these cognitive habits is worth trillions. Smart social proof cd make it costly to avoid protocol. Asking the 'stupid' Q often is 1000x more valuable than rest of mtng danluu.com/look-stupid/
Eg Ben Warner frequently said in Cabinet room, 'I think we're looking at the wrong graph, this graph is just wrong.' Risked looking v stupid. But added extremely high value cos he was right, 20 people including pm WERE looking at the wrong graph! *Almost nobody copied him though*
If you created a protocol, supported by software & training, & made hi status, as surgeons have done, to make it socially UNacceptable NOT to ask core questions to avoid everybody fooling themselves, you wd have far fewer v high stakes Gvt fiascoes...
I love this post & if you care more about being competent than pretending to look competent / being thought competent by incompetent elites, you shd study it! cc @paulg @MarcWarner10 danluu.com/look-stupid/

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More from @Dominic2306

21 Oct
How could Labour win? Replace dud 'dead player' Starmer with Midlands woman who can build a team & focus on target voters in marginal seats - disconnect Tories from power by focus on violent crime & small business ecosystem, marginalise trans nutjobs et al dominiccummings.substack.com/p/how-could-la…
Ps. No Jess Phillips is NOT the answer. She's focused on London media. Labour must shift focus *away from London* if it wants to disconnect Tories from power
Remember all you lefty nutjobs, Labour can do all sorts of lefty nutjob stuff *if you win*, cos you control brains of ~80% of those who control the media & almost all institutions, but *are you serious about winning*?
Read 7 tweets
12 Oct
We took over a party on ~10%, worst constitutional crisis in century, much of deep state angling for BINO or 2REF. So we wriggled thro with best option we cd & intended to get the 🛒 to ditch bits we didn't like after whacking Corbyn. We prioritised. Now time for IM2 #Frosty
For all the cant about international law, a/ states break it every week, b/ the idea it's the epitome of morality is low grade student politics pushed by lawyers/officials to constrain politics they oppose. Govt shd focus on solving problems & chill viz "i/n law" viz NI #IMBill2
Shd we generally stick to deals? Of course. Sometimes break them? Of course. Just like the EU, US, China and every other state does. International diplomacy cannot be judged by the standards of a student duel, and lawyers are hired help not the masters
Read 8 tweets
5 Oct
Oppenheimer on Groves is a great summary of the type of person who works organisational miracles and why it's so extraordinarily hard for normal bureaucracies to be extremely hi performance, as such people seem intolerable in a 'normal' environment, hence startups so crucial
Correction, a paper I read says this is Oppenheimer but googling the original it isn't... Ill tweet real source when I track down...
That quote was by Colonel Nichols of Groves... This is from James Chadwick:
Read 4 tweets
2 Sep
New blog: to stop the comic-horror sequel of a Trump candidacy, we need a project to identify a GOP candidate + give them a plan/tools over the next 12 months so they're building & ready BEFORE the midterms launch the next Presidential cycle in 15 months dominiccummings.substack.com/p/regime-chang…
Even if you wanted Trump to beat Biden you shd support this because Trump showed neither the interest in nor skills to control the government, so another Trump term just means pointless twitter bitching at the media (while actually sending them power & $$) while blundering around
The crucial political/psychological obstacle for Republicans to overcome viz governing is to shift from 'reforming' DC institutions to *start closing them in Inaugural speech 1/25 & replace with startups*. This is the only way for *the government to control the government*
Read 9 tweets
13 Aug
Discussion over security minister classic example of media believing & telling you fairy stories. Overwhelming % of this job is done by officials. *The system* runs 'security'. The minister cd not exist/sensible/clown: largely irrelevant to policy/operations
NB Im not saying this is good, just explaining fact that over 15 yrs the Cabinet Office & other elements have taken huge powers from ministers & this junior minister role has something like 1000 or 10,000 times less power than the Cabinet Secretary on 'security'
Theres literally hundreds of officials whose names never appear in the papers who wield more power over security than this junior ministerial role, but the media & MPs will talk about the ghost of power rather than actual power
Read 4 tweets
11 Aug
Good example of how elite Remain are like Japanese soldiers still fighting 1950... And using weapons that blow themselves up... If these idiot-elites continue to dominate environmental debates they'll turn everybody into SUV driving coalminers stat
Something the London world of media, lawyers, Remain activists, ER etc still don't grasp: despite being Trump, Trump still nearly won partly cos of the extremely common & deeply felt HATE, far beyond Trump supporters, for the way mainstream media covers politics
This network is making climate their new thing - they will screw that up as badly as they handled Brexit, Trump, terrorism, crime etc. If you want serious action on the environment, it's VITAL these deluded Left networks don't dominate or they'll provoke massive counter-campaign
Read 7 tweets

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