"The British General Election of 2019" arrives in all good book stores on Nov 2nd - just over a week from now. Stay tuned for lots more about this landmark election from myself & fellow authors @drjennings @ProfTimBale @p_surridge
amazon.co.uk/British-Genera…
palgrave.com/gp/book/978303…
@drjennings @ProfTimBale @p_surridge Be sure also to follow some of our outstanding contributors - @anandMenon1 and @DrAlanWager have written the definitive account of the Brexit negotiations (round 1); @chrisbutlerpol @ProfRosieCamp and @J_A_Hudson have run the rule over the MPs of the 2019 Parliament...
@drjennings @ProfTimBale @p_surridge @anandMenon1 @DrAlanWager @chrisbutlerpol @ProfRosieCamp @J_A_Hudson Shout outs to some more of our contributors - we have an outstanding analysis of the political geography of the election result (and much more besides) from @whatukthinks @StephenDFisher and @PME_Politics
@drjennings @ProfTimBale @p_surridge @anandMenon1 @DrAlanWager @chrisbutlerpol @ProfRosieCamp @J_A_Hudson @whatukthinks @StephenDFisher @PME_Politics and a dream team to analyse the election and Parliament in the devolved nations - @ailsa_henderson runs the rule over Scottish politics, @roger_scully does the same for Wales and @JonTonge examines the election in Northern Ireland
@drjennings @ProfTimBale @p_surridge @anandMenon1 @DrAlanWager @chrisbutlerpol @ProfRosieCamp @J_A_Hudson @whatukthinks @StephenDFisher @PME_Politics @ailsa_henderson @roger_scully @JonTonge That's still not all! We also have an examination of the changing role of the press - functioning now as hybrid print-online-social media brands - from @DNDeacon David Smith and Dominic Wring

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More from @robfordmancs

26 Oct
Maybe that should read "Therefore, Facebook's algorithm rated "angry" reactions as more valuable
Outgroup hate drives anger
Anger drives engagement
Engagement drives content algorithms...
Therefore, facebook's algorithms actively promote outgroup hate, & will likely continue to do so, because outgroup hate delivers the outcome facebook wants (engagement)
I'm honestly not sure this is a problem any social media company is going to resolve so long as the services continue to be free to users (i.e. advertising and hence engagement driven).
Read 6 tweets
25 Oct
ELECTION 2019 - Last night PM Johnson once again called for a December 12th general election. "If [Parliament] genuinely want more time to study this excellent deal they can have it but they have to agree to a genreal election"
Opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn refused to be drawn: "“Tomorrow the EU will decide whether there’s going to be an extension or not,” Corbyn told broadcasters this evening. “That extension will obviously encompass whether there’s a no-deal or not. Let’s find that out tomorrow.”
Corbyn has previously said Labour will back an election as soon as the EU agrees an extension to the looming Article 50 deadline. Under the Fixed Term Parliaments Act, an early election bill requires a two thirds majority in the Commons, and therefore needs Labour support
Read 13 tweets
18 Oct
Its one year since Brexitland was published! In case you aren't familiar with the arguments @ProfSobolewska and I make, here's the "graph of the day" thread I did summarising some of the key data driven points

@ProfSobolewska And here's @ProfSobolewska 's "quote of the day" thread picking out some of the most important arguments made in the book text

@ProfSobolewska Identity divides between graduates and school leavers, ethnic minorities and identity conservative white voters, have continued to reshape our politics since the book came out.
Read 10 tweets
17 Oct
Good thread. As it is likely impossible to end online anonymity, we need better social and institutional mechanisms to address its disinhibatory effects. That is hard to do, but it needs doing.
I feel this will have to be a collective effort. We need to build a social media "immune system", with multiple lines of defence, to shut out toxic actors and violent, prejudiced and hostile discourse. Ultimately, its going to be a job for all of us.
Of course, social media platforms should reforms systems which promote toxicitiy. But there are also many ways we are users could help marginalise bad actors ourselves. What happens to people who behave offline like bad actors behave online? They are socially shamed & shunned
Read 13 tweets
13 Oct
Voters can recall an MP in the event of a conviction (as happened in Peterborough in June 2019 and Brecon & Radnorshire in August 2019). I expect such a recall petition would be quite likely in Leicester East, and would trigger a v interesting contest 1/?
Webbe's 2019 selection for Leicester East, to replace long serving MP Keith Vaz, one of the first BAME MPs elected in 1987, was very contentious. Half a dozen Indian origin Labour councillors attacked Corbyn, accusing him of a policy of excluding Hindu candidates
The swing against Labour in Leicester East was by far the largest against the party in an ethnically diverse seat, the most plausible explanation being large numbers of Indian origin voters swinging away from the party as Webbe replaced Vaz.
Read 6 tweets
12 Oct
Agree with this - the case for autumn lockdown from past evidence here and elsewhere was overwhelming, and the grim inevitability of disaster was obvious to anyone who understood exponential growth. Yet they delayed, and delayed, and delayed.
I vividly remember a growing feeling of nausea watching all the utter nonsense about "saving Christmas" being put about in the Conservative press (who are also culpable here), eagerly embraced by ministers including the PM. They can't pretend now the risks were not obvious then.
*Particularly* important on this front is what we learned soon after, but many in govt must have known in early autumn - namely that effective vaccines were at most a few months away from delivery. To not lock down given that knowledge was a lethal blunder of major proportions.
Read 4 tweets

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