Firstly, don't be fooled. Investment into waiting lists are unavoidable. The restricted access during the pandemic mean a catch-up initiative was always going to be needed.
The first question: would more decisive leadership have led to less restriction to care and less backlog?
The second: how much have the years of underinvestment in the NHS worsened the problem?
The waiting lists have been growing massively under this government prior to COVID.
[source BBC - chart is over 10 years]
This BBC article is from November 2019.
A&E targets not met since 2014
Cancer waiting targets not met since 2016
Routine care targets not met since 2016
All this makes this support package too little, too late.
But there is an even more galling aspect to the announcement of the £6bn...
..it fails miserably to address the actual current needs of patients.
We have the highest A&E waiting list times, lowest bed capacity, lowest number of GPs per head, and the biggest staffing crisis our NHS has ever seen.
But this government's contribution is to give the vast majority of this £6bn to diagnostic equipment and technology...
Don't get me wrong, we desperately need more diagnostic equipment...and driving waiting lists down is essential. The suffering and shortened life-expectancy is tragic and entirely avoidable...but what the government is proposing is simply a repeat of the Test and Trace debacle..
public money that will not benefit the public.
Diagnostics are only useful if you have the professionals to report and act on the results.
Surgical hubs only work if you have the HDU, ICU, and Medical staff to manage the patients pre and post-op.
And GPs are the ones referring
Contrast this to Scotland's £1bn catch-up package (proportionally, double that of England's):
25% increase in primary care funding
£8 million to staff well-being
£23 million to urgent care
10% to mental health
And yes, £400m to driving down waiting lists through surgical hubs.
I don't think this is even enough, but priorities are a bit more in touch with reality.
Simply put: you cannot increase the number of procedures without correcting the damage caused by a decade of underfunding and NHS shrinkage.
I fear we are repeating the same 'mistakes' of the last two years... rhetoric with glam and glitter, but no actual plan or substance, and no benefit to the actual people who need it most.
We need the £6bn for the waiting lists. But it should be spent better.
We also need at least that amount to start repairing the damage done to frontline service provision - primary and urgent secondary care. And we need that NOW!
And as a fellow Twitter so clear put it - we must look after the staff that actually provide the service:
[ps if you don't follow @SallyMi83941850 you really should - sensible and compassionate]
Because, going by the track record of current leadership and swell of populism, I am not sure we can handle any more brain drain...
and more respectful pastures are calling...
All in all, this package is a feeble attempt to cover up the catastrophic failure to invest in our health service and the utter debacle that was this government's pandemic response, IMO.
You will have no doubt heard about the pressures on the NHS just now. It is true, we are worried. We have begun this Winter under considerable strain - more than usual. And, I won't lie, we expect things to get worse.
1/15 #NHS
We have little capacity - both emotional or beds. We are short staffed, and on top of all this we have a pandemic to deal with.
I understand you too may be running out of capacity... to face even more calamity after a calamitous 20 months. You too must be worried.
2/15
Firstly, can I say, we are still here. We get up in the morning (or night) and come to work. We donn our PPE, roll up our sleeves and face the avalanche of patients, requests, relatives, battle-hardened colleagues, and a pathogen that we have lost many colleagues to.
3/15
Clinical care for COVID-19 in the UK: shortcomings and lessons to be learned.
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My view on what next...
Here, I summarise the threads I have written over the last couple of months.
It will tell part of the story of the UK's national response from a clinical perspective.
I have attached the previous threads only for those who wish more detail.
There are several critical failures in the clinical pandemic response, including: 1. The Herd Immunity Strategy 2. Reducing basic healthcare capacity 3. Bypassing primary care triage for non-clinical Covid triage 4. No Covid follow-up service
Ideology has no place in a national crisis. You must do the first part of your job: protect the people. The second, promoting growth can only be done after you have been successful in the first - living being a pre-requisite for success.
I fear I am not getting through to you. Another way then. When the dust settles, and the true endemic level of SARS-CoV-2 is known, there will be a tally. There will be a count - with all the data, across all the domains that the many observers have collected.
The count will not be in your favour. In fact, when historians put pen to paper, the Johnson-era - on your current trajectory - will be remembered as a cautionary tale, a bookmark in history to teach those that come after you a simple fact: decisions are rarely binary.