@_prashantnair@dugalira 1. Summary of the CH session on 27/10/2021. " Mega IPOs & Market Tops". Examples of 5 Mega IPOs since '94. Chicken & Egg situation. Did the Mega IPOs come at the TOP or a Roaring Bull Market create the condition for Mega IPOs ?. 🤔
2. 1994: MSGF : Planned 300 cr. Raised 1000 cr. Closed ended Fund; Grey Mkt Premium : 500%. Black Mkt for Application Forms. Some applied by Xeroxing the Original App. Forms😷. NAV always below par thro' the entire period of 15 years.😳Sensex dropped by 15 % in the next 4 months
3. 2006.: Rel. Petro : Rs. 8100 cr. Largest till then. Oversubscribed 51 times. Despite SEBI restrictions on P-Notes, the market was bullish till it got listed on 11th May 2006. Nifty fell 30 % over the subsequent 30 days.
4. 2008 : Reliance Power: Rs. 11500 Cr. Largest till then. Oversubscribed in first hour after opening on 15th Jan 2008. Final Over subscription 72 times. Nifty fell 29 % subsequently in 6 trading sessions.
5. 2010 : Coal India: Rs.15200 cr. Largest till then. Oversubscribed 15 times. Listed on 4th November. Nifty fell 10 % in 20 trading sessions.
6. 2021 : Zomato : Rs. 9375 cr. Largest till then. Oversubscribed 38 times. Listed on 27 th July. Small Cap Index fell by 10 % in 3 weeks from peak on 3rd Aug.
7. 2021 : Year of IPOs. Approx. 100 K cr. to be raised in 12 months . Next 10 days 30k crore will be raised. The mother of all IPOs coming in the next 10 days. PayTm raising Rs. 18,300 cr.
8. Some FUN FACTS : Dutch East India Co. was the first IPO in the world in 1602.India figured then too 😁; Reliance Ind IPO in 1977 raised Rs. 2.82 crores; In just 2 years,'94-'95/'95-'96, a total of 2750 IPOs debuted, averaging 5/day😱Sucked liquidity dry hence markets bearish.
1. Excerpts of the CH Discussion on 20th February 2022
2. FED's Balance sheet has ballooned to $9 Trillion & Global CBs to $25 Trillion in the last 14 years with 60-80 % (across various CBs)happening in the last 2 years yet the markets have stopped going up. Limited utility of extra money being pumped into the system
3. All the Major US indices; DAX; Nikkei; Hang Seng, Shanghai; KOSPI & TAIEX are trading below their 200 DMAs. Only FTSE & SGX are in clear Bull Markets, while Nifty/BN are down just by 7-10 % from their ATHs & are staying above 200 DMA.
1.STATE OF GLOBAL MARKETS: Have been mentioning in various CH/Spaces Discussions that Global Equity Markets are structurally weak. The boost to Equities by the CBs in Mar 2020 seems to be fizzling out. Let's see how the picture looks one by one
2. NIFTY : Same levels were seen in early Sep '21
3. BANK NIFTY : Even in February 2021 we saw these levels.
Early morning rants :1.Screenshots: Why do veteran & well respected Traders regularly put up Screen Shots of their successful trades ?. Never understood what is the purpose. What is the learning for any student of the market by looking at the screen shots ?.
2.One-upmanship : Why do veteran & well respected traders try to demean other veteran & well respected traders by using unparliamentary words?. Don't they realise that their own status is demeaned by such actions ?
3.Closed Minds : Why do veteran & well respected traders get "Invested" so heavily in their Points of View that they are unwilling to accept a well thought out opposing view which may actually help everyone including them.?
1.Comment is free but facts are sacred. In the spirit of PTLP of @Iamsamirarora"Defending against criticism that RBI's inflation projection in the policy might be a tad optimistic,Mistry said that RBI's projections about inflation have been fairly accurate cnbctv18.com/economy/keki-m…
2. Forecast of RBI : Professional forecasters surveyed4 by the Reserve Bank in March 2021 expected CPI inflation to ease from 4.9-5.0 per cent in H1:2021-22 to 4.3 per cent in Q3 and revert to 5.0 per cent in Q4 (Chart I.5).rbi.org.in/Scripts/Public…
Major General Basavaraj Gilganchi AVSM (Retd) is a Presidential Award Winner.A veteran of 37 years who has seen active Military operations both conventional & counter insurgency operations. His domain Knowledge is Information & Communication Technology (New age Warfare).
1. Excerpts from the discussion held : Major Gen Basavaraj Gilganchi AVSM(Retd)opined that : This standoff can be a long drawn out affair with Putin being in the driving seat.