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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
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29 Oct, 5 tweets, 2 min read
🚨😡 9.1% of secondary school aged children positive in week ending 22nd October.

That is bloody awful. 1 in 11 ‼️

So is 4.1% in Age 2 and primary age . About 1 in 24.

That’s doubled in a couple of weeks.
And parents age group ⬆️

Least affected are the recent vaxxed ages
And YES the Region in England that has the highest rates?

The one most affected by the IMMENSA LAB fall out

🚨. 2.6% in the South West!
South east Wales was also hit pretty badly by the Immensa Lab fallout.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 overall similar to the SW. 1 in 40 testing positive.
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 1 in 50
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 1 in 75
NI. 1 in 75
We are at the highest infection levels this year.

How bloody incompetent as a Government do you have to be to all this sustained growth. And just 19% of young teens have been vaccinated.

news.sky.com/story/covid-sk…

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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
30 Oct
Following in from @karamballes review of the JVCI meeting in May prior to the MHRA authorisation of the Pfizer vaccine for over 11 yr olds on June 4th.

Let’s have a look at child cases just to the beginning of October (when they have continued to soar (h/t @Dr_D_Robertson ) Image
Or, based on ONS surveillance from September by which time all adults had been offered vaccination and most if not all had time to be double jabbed .

The horizontal axis. Young on left. Old in the right.

Percentage infected on vertical axis. H/t @PaulMainwood Image
Yet it seems the JVCI made its decision in May in part on the basis that “all adults will be vaccinated and there is a low risk of child to child transmission. Staff and parents will be protected”

Look back again at those charts and think again. Image
Read 16 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
30 Oct
BELGIUM 🇧🇪: This is not looking healthy to me.

9.2k cases is roughly equivalent to 55k cases in the U.K. and, following the relaxation of measures, cases and hospitalisations have been rising rapidly, despite 86% of it adult population (75% of whole pop) being fully vaxxed.
Still rising since the Tuesday figures.

Population of over 11k.
Cases had increased by 76% and positivity by 2% to 8.6%.

How long before we accept that some measures are the price we pay for safety AND freedoms?

brusselstimes.com/news/belgium-a…
Read 4 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
29 Oct
UK statistics tsar rebukes UKHSA over flawed jabs data

“Those numbers were misleading & wrong & we’ve made it v clear to UKHSA. I’m lost for words at the willingness to publish a table that led people to believe that, with a footnote that was too weak”
ft.com/content/a51f85…
The NIMS v ONS denominator debate continues to hot up with criticism still robust regarding the latest attempt to “correct” by the UKHSA, sticking with NIMS but adding two pages of caveats.

Still the main (wrong) impression is vaccinated more likely to get infected than unvaxxed
David Spiegelhalter, chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at Cambridge university, a statistical research institute, said the “minor changes” failed to address the problem.
Read 4 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
29 Oct
Over 43 days up to 12 October, Immensa sent out an estimated 43,000 false-negative PCR tests

‼️About half of them to people in the South West.‼️

The region registered just under 80,000 positive PCR tests in those 43 days, but this should have been 25%⬆️ inews.co.uk/news/health/co…
🧵
And where were positivity levels highest in the ONS surveillance in the week ending 22nd Oct…so 7-10 days after the SU was identified?

The South West. 2.6%. About 1 in 40 people.
Read 5 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
29 Oct
CO2 monitors in schools. A useful tool in ventilation, providing they are used intelligently and acted on.

The next challenge is seeing how well they are used and monitored in wide scale use - and as the weather becomes colder and colder.

And how schools will adapt re uniform
Interesting graph here where a teacher was asked to use the CO2 monitor one week and not the other week.

When not used CO2 grows throughout the morning to exceed a 1600 peak but gradually drops off to lunch time. Rises in afternoon to 1200 peak.

Using monitor 400-600 all day
I don’t know how this works in schools with non opening windows - esp with recirculating air conditioning.

This was the guidelines for CO2 monitoring Albert levels. Lower than many manufacturer’s factory settings.
Read 5 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
29 Oct
DELTA AY4.2 seems to be on the move.

Sequenced cases last week were 15.1k

21.1k in the week ending 27-10-21.

That looks like about a 23%-24% increase

Is it because they are sampling more in known AY4.2 rising areas?

Doesn’t seem enough to explain this growth
In fact more like a 28% increase on last week

But looking at the entire column on nw cases confused why they have marked AY4.2 - maybe as just designated as VUI?

It clearly is not zero.

It looks to me as if it is gaining on Delta AY4.1 (still most of our cases)
Scotland has a disproportionately large number with 14.75% of AY4.2 sequenced cases but just 7.5-8% of the U.K. population.

But growing in England too

gov.uk/government/pub…
Read 9 tweets

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