Boris Johnson, the end of Elizabeth’s reign, Brexit, Irish unification & Scottish independence are not just connected politically they also mark the end of Britain’s post war cultural era.

It marks the final end of empire & the end of a cultural deference to British pragmatism.
There are essentially 3 paths Britain can go down now

1. Holding on dysfunctionally
2. Complete split
3. Euro aligned UK federalism

However paths 2 & 3 are probably just a function of path 1 + time.
The struggle in the upcoming years will be between 2 and 3.

The longer 1 goes on the more the balance is tipped towards 2.
I’m actually not anti royal family.
A modest constitutional monarchy is not the worst way to run (outsource) the “dignified part of the state” as Trump has shown.

It’s just that the reign of Elizabeth II is coming to an end at an inopportune moment which can add to the trauma.

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More from @nicktolhurst

31 Oct
So I was convinced that "Aurora Bosotti" was a made-up name..as its well known that some of the more scurrilous newspapers run quite a few pf their more absurd articles under false names to hide journalists' embarassment.

But the truth, well its even stranger than that..
Yes Aurora Bosotti is real.
One of the most vicious of the new breed of Express "journalists" who specialise in whipped up xenophobic "Brexit as war" reporting with a a significant overlapping role at the Newspaper for stalk-baiting Meghan Markle.

But who is she...?
Well surprisingly she doesnt just have the name as a distant family legacy or as middle class affectation...Ms Bosotti scourge of the europeans, liberals & Scots...is of course Italian...and whats more has impeccable european connections...

Now you may be wondering...
Read 10 tweets
29 Oct
+UPDATE+

A motion recommending the suspension of Conservative MP, Owen Paterson, will go before the House of Commons on Wednesday, November 3.

The UK govt has now accepted the vote is inevitable after very few Tory MPs supported Paterson's contention that the report was flawed.
UK Govt's final end strategy will now be to convince enough MPs to vote against the suspension despite the obvious record of corruption.

If they don't, and Paterson is suspended for 30 days a "recall petition" would seem inevitable.

This would likely trigger a by-election.
Should enough Tory MPs vote against the suspension in order to prevent it...they will of course go on record of voting to prevent the absolute mildest of rebukes for clear corruption by a sitting MP.
Read 5 tweets
26 Oct
If you are looking to "punish" Labour or the LibDems for not being (as you see it) not "instant rejoin enough", you might do well to consider that by the end of the next parliament...

...not a single person in their 20s will have had the chance to vote in the 2016 referendum.
Britain surely has had enough of narcissistic politics.

Those 20 somethings, & soon 30 somethings, who had no power over Brexit surely deserve better than to be held hostage by people trying to play silly games.

Time for sensible politics.
Strategic thinking.
& clever voting.
If the already 60%+ who dont want a Tory govt can find a way to get Conservative seat count below 310 then the next govt will be a coalition of 2 to 4 parties - all of whom have pro european voters, members, MPs & leaders.

If that isn't good enough for you - YOU are the problem.
Read 4 tweets
22 Oct
If theres anything that should gladden a rejoiners heart its this sort of article.

You can't cant rule out Britain chaning its mind in the coming years. That would be the end of democracy...which can only mean one thing:
...Brexiters are running scared.
The article is obviously correct in many things, eg:

"There is no appetite for letting the UK rejoin at any time soon – most certainly not with the budget rebate and opt-outs from Shengen and the Euro it previously enjoyed."

Which is why Rejoiners need to play smarter.
Every weakening of Brexit, every softening is a move in the right direction.

& part of that process will involve a phase of "making Brexit work" - rejoiners will have to campaign for making Brexit work as if Rejoin is a discreet far off dream, even as it brings it nearer...
Read 4 tweets
20 Oct
One of the enduring myths of the last few years is that “before we joined Europe we traded more with the commonwealth & empire.”

It’s amazing how embedded this myth has become to the point that even some remainers believed it.

But it’s utterly wrong.
For the last 200 years Britain’s biggest trading partner has been Europe - not the empire and not, later, the commonwealth.

This makes sense both from geography as well as comparable industrial development reasons.

However there was a time in history when this wasn’t the case…
The time when UK traded more with empire than Europe was during the “trilateral trade” era - when Britain exported manufactured goods to Africa, slaves to America, then agricultural goods back to UK.

Of course this was not free trade” but “coercion trade”.

& coercive trade is…
Read 13 tweets
19 Oct
+UPDATE+

Uptake of vaccine by Premier League players greater than media reports.

It also now looks that many players waited till end of last year's football season to vaccinate.

It now turns out 81% of players have had at least one jab & 70% of players now double vaccinated.
At the end of September there were only seven clubs in the Premier League where more than 50% of players were fully vaccinated.

The huge rapid leap in double vaccination looks to have been a large clump of PL players not wanting to "risk" vaccination during season.
I pass no judgement on whether there's a case to be made for young sportsmen to "delay" vaccinations to a sporting "off season"...

...what I will say is this:
Media reports of PL players being "anti-vaxxers" seems widely over-blown or even...simply a lie.
Read 4 tweets

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