Hunted by the Taliban and lacking income, members of Afghanistan’s disbanded security forces are enlisting in ISIS, the only resistance movement fighting the new rulers - not unlike Iraq’s disbanded security forces when the US put their enemies in charge. wsj.com/articles/left-…
The number of defectors joining the terrorist group is relatively small, but growing, according to people who know these men, to former Afghan security officials & to the Taliban. Importantly, these new recruits bring to ISIS critical expertise in intelligence-gathering & warfare
An Afghan national army officer who commanded the military’s weapons & ammunition depot in Gardez joined the extremist group’s regional affiliate, Islamic State-Khorasan Province, and was killed a week ago in a clash with Taliban fighters
The former official said several other men he knew, all members of the former Afghan republic’s intelligence & military, also joined IS after the Taliban searched their homes and demanded that they present themselves to the country’s new authorities.
A resident of Qarabagh district just north of Kabul said his cousin, a former senior member of Afghanistan’s special forces, disappeared in September and was now part of an Islamic State cell. 4 other members of the Afghan national army that the man knew have enlisted in ISIS-K
“ISIS has become attractive” to former members of Afghan security forces “who have been left behind,” said a former head of Afghanistan’s spy agency. “If there were a resistance, they would have joined it.” But, he said: “For the time being, ISIS is the only other armed group.”
“It’s exactly how it started in Iraq—with disenchanted Saddam Hussein generals,” a senior Western official warned. “You have to be careful.” The U.S. disbanded Iraq’s security forces after the 2003 invasion. They provided a ready pool of recruits for militant groups, including IS
IS is also feeding on growing resentment over the Afghanistan's econ meltdown
“In the current situation, we are not dealing with a few difficulties, we are facing many,” Mr. Zubair said. “If we get rid of all our econ problems, ISIS will disappear in 15 days in all of Afghan...”
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Afghanistan is on the brink of the world’s worst humanitarian crisis, the un said on October 25th, exceeding even the misery in Syria and Yemen.
A new report from un agencies estimates that some 23m of the country’s 38m people will not have enough food. economist.com/asia/2021/10/3…
The un estimates that half of Afghanistan was living on less than $1.90 a day when Kabul fell. By the middle of 2022, that may rise to 97%. “We’ve not seen this level of near universal poverty in any country in recent history,” said Kanni Wignaraja of the un
The reason for the crisis is the loss of foreign aid. Before the Taliban took over the country received around $8.5bn a year, which was two-fifths of its gdp. Three-quarters of the government’s budget was paid for by foreign donors, including almost all of health and education.
Hunger in Syria seems to be primarily a result of “access” problems—the Syrian public’s destroyed purchasing power, & its immiseration generally.
Yet Syria also has “availability” problems with key imported goods, including wheat & fuel, that reverberated through the economy.
In April, WFP reported that the price of a standard reference food basket sufficient to feed a family of five for a month reached 176,471 Syrian lira.48 The highest-paid Syrian government monthly salary is 80,240 lira;
in March 2015, months before the Russians stepped in to defend Assad against al-Jolani & Caliph Baghdadi, Brennan explained that the US did not want to see a collapse of the Syrian regime as it could open the way to Islamist extremists taking power.
The CIA chief said he had reason to worry about who might replace President Assad if his gov. fell, given the rise of the Islamic State group and other jihadists in Syria.
“I think that’s a legitimate concern,” Brennan said when asked if the US feared who might succeed Assad.
Peker confirms that Albayrak managed the illegal oil trade with the terrorist group Al-Nusra. This was already known from Russian sources and should finally be accepted by Western analysts.
These videos of supporters, like his main election slogan - "Hope is in Work" - are meant to convince people to put their heads down and go back to work - to accept the reality: the uprising is over & Assad remains.
The Syrian opposition seeks to convince Syrians that sanctions are a necessary price to rid the country of Assad & that continued Western pressure & isolation of the regime can work.
Assad wants foreign governments to re-engage, to see that more pressure is pointless.
A Saudi-Syr-Dutch firm has partnered with a French firm to build in Syria.
This is much needed to alleviate Syria's crisis. Building on two major electric plants in Syria has come to a stand-still because of US's latest sanctions.
If one believes that sanctions will force Assad to step aside, the suffering & privation caused by sanctions may be worth it.
If sanctions are simply an effort to turn Syria into a quagmire for Russia & Iran or to keep the government weak with no plan for change or improvement, they are an inhuman exercise in geostrategic one upmanship.