@pmddomingos It's also the same ignorance that leads to wild expectations when the algorithm games the results. Ignorance like naivety is a two-sided blade.
@pmddomingos The progress we make in deep learning is a consequence of our overall ignorance about general intelligence. There are many alternative ideas on cognition developed by other fields. But these were done without the benefit of computational models.
@pmddomingos It is the combination of empirical AI (i.e. Deep Learning) and theoretical formulation (i.e. Cognitive science, biology, complexity science etc) that lends us a more systematic strategy towards discovery.
@pmddomingos The sad state of affairs is that people trained exclusively in machine learning have outsized confidence in their abilities. The ability to code and run experiments is just half of the problem.
@pmddomingos Science evolves through experimentation, interpretation, hypothesis making, and back again. The low-hanging fruit is experimentation. It's difficult to perform interpretation without adequate models. It's the latter part where many other fields can contribute vastly.
@pmddomingos But like everything of complexity, evolution and development proceeds through messy memetic-driven information propagation. The experiments that gain the most attention are the ones that align closely with the most popular meme.
@pmddomingos But history has shown that a popular meme (otherwise known as consensus) is not necessarily the correct model. The notion of aether was a popular meme at the beginning of the 20th century. The same could be said about GOFAI at the end of the 20th century.
@pmddomingos The reason why Rutherford was right about science progressing one funeral at a time is that memes are propagated by the hosts that adapted them. It's just like a virus. If a virus kills most of its hosts too quickly, it fails to propagate.
@pmddomingos Therefore we must be very vigilant about meme wars in science. Science today is extremely siloed as a consequence of the competition for scarce R&D funding. The popularity of memes is what gets one funding.
@pmddomingos But reality only favors the memes that are useful. Snippets of DNA continue to propagate within a species if they are useful. The detrimental kinds eventually lead to dead ends. This is the same for science where certain memes reach a dead end.

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More from @IntuitMachine

1 Nov
The innovation found in biology is a consequence of a development process that is absent of a centralized mind. This has benefits in that it leverages massively parallel processes. It can explore possibilities beyond that what a sequential mind can do.
However, the lack of a centralized mind also has its own downsides. Biology isn't able to consolidate its discoveries as efficiently as that of an integrated mind. A good analogy to explain this is refactoring found in software development.
In software development, rapid development eventually leads to the accumulation of what is known as technical debt. As technical debt increases, the developers refactor the code so as to reduce the debt. There is a mindful method of creation and destruction.
Read 10 tweets
31 Oct
The purpose of civilization isn't to make the law of the jungle the primary directive for all human activities. Its objective is to harness enough resources for humanity so we live our lives as if we were children.
The nations states that are successful in today's civilization are those that invest heavily in their children. The modern economy is exponentially becoming more complex and you need citizenry who are adaptive and open-minded to new kinds of endeavors.
An adult who knows only the law of the jungle habitually seeks self-preservation over adaptability. This is why we see the politics of today where there is a great fear by one side that their identity will be extinguished.
Read 5 tweets
30 Oct
Psychohistory is a fictional science that Asimov imagined. It is a science that predicts the evolution of civilization that is independent of individuals. It's analogous to how we might predict the behavior of macroscopic objects with only granular information about the parts.
What is the closest thing in today's scientific culture that is like Psychohistory?
Over a decade ago, there was activity on a field known as Memetics. It eventually declined, but I'm unsure as to why it did. This is perhaps related to the fictional Psychohistory. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Memetics
Read 14 tweets
30 Oct
It should not be a surprise that the paradox of determinism and free will is easily resolved once you are aware of Gödel's incompleteness theory or Turing's Halting problem.
The paradox is simply stated that if the universe was deterministic then how could free will be possible. But what is the meaning of determinism? It implies absolute predictability in this universe.
Physics and mathematics has revealed via quantum mechanics, relativity, Gödel and Turing the first-person nature of reality and hence its lack of determinism. Computational irreducibility bounds predictability and hence demolishes the notion of a deterministic universe.
Read 21 tweets
29 Oct
Many Americans want to turn back the hand of time, back to the days where you can just unexpectedly die by being infected by a virus. Before the 1950s, parents had more children to beat the odds that they could reach adulthood.
Too often we are nostalgic about the past which we never lived in. Before 1950, the world was mired in a world war. Before that, it was the Great Depression. There were the roaring 20s that ended with Wall Street crashing. The 1910s has a world war and the Spanish Flu.
Against this backdrop, children were still dying. It's was only by the 1950s that mass vaccination was the norm. Ever since the odds to survive childhood shot up tremendously (not just in the USA but all over the world). So outraged people want us to go back to a deadlier time?
Read 5 tweets
27 Oct
We are wired to make repeat our own mistakes. I confess that I actually did short Apple and Tesla when both were below $20 (pre-split). Fortunately, I'm financially solvent to live to tell the unfortunate tale!
The moral of the story though is that financial instruments with exponential growth potential look overvalued at the very beginning. Do not have rationality cloud your own judgment!
I'm also the same guy who sold off every DOGE coin that I could mine when it first came out. I was mining it for two weeks at a $20 profit per day. Today that 2 weeks would have been worth $1.6 m today.
Read 4 tweets

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