As I have detailed repeatedly, my complaint about journalism is not that they have an view point they want to push but rather they are awful at their fundamental job on gathering facts about complex news issues and events. The reason this matters is it provides very VERY 1/n
Distorted understanding and importantly solutions to problems. More importantly for them it sets their preferred candidates up for failure because they have absolutely no chance of providing the absurdly simple solutions provided by journalistic narratives. Couple examples 2/n
For the last four years the answer to any foreign policy issue was "stupid Trump". What was sold was that new leadership would be able to solve these problems. Anyone that wasn't cursed with a Galaxy Journo Brain knew these issues were deep seeded going back decades 3/n
So look at the great big nothing that came out of Rome and will come out of Glasgow. In reality, that's not Biden's fault anymore than it is Trump's fault back when he was president. The problem however is because Journo wrote ad nauseum about how experts would change this 4/n
Now are forced to ignore everything they wrote and cover their eyes to avoid writing a piece how this isn't Biden's fault because nothing happened. The reality is these are very difficult policy issues that even very technically and ideologically similar individuals 5/n
(such as activists or professors) may disagree about what exactly to do much less broad ranges of countries with very different endowments, governance systems, and interests. However, because journalists have taken up the mantle of activists with pens rather than journalists 6/n
The information world is poorer for not understanding these complex issues instead boiling climate change down to personality conflicts in a TMZ style Shakespearian tragedy of water cooler gossip. That is a disservice to the information world and being really bad at your job 7/n
The reality is a different president or just trying harder have little to do with anything here but this is what we are sold as a type of modern Catholic guilt because journos have no understanding of what the actual issues are with the teaspoon depth of understanding on them 8/n
I am 100% for free speech an vibrant journalism but the quality of work being turned out by standard bearers is as bad as said and worse and should just focus on providing facts and information about complex issues. Yes, that's bad journalism and journos are responsible.
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Professors and universities like to think of themselves as the smartest people in the room but they unwittingly reveal their ignorance by saying "I'm just a professor my research is academic." Let's unpack this thinking how they are targeted for the EXACT reason they think 1/n
Acts as a shield. In other words, they are saying out loud, we have no idea what we are talking about. First, let's put to rest the idea that professors are not targeted. I won't detail how I know that but I do. It can be because of the university they work at or the type 2/n
of research or because of material you may have access to. There are a variety of reasons why. Second, China keeps very detailed records of professors, research, think tankers, with lots of scoring and information they want to obtain. In other words, China generates targets 3/n
This is a very very charitable interpretation not least if which is because the White House walked this exact statement back only a few minutes after he says it. However because he says it this leaves us two specific choices in his to interpret what he said 1/n
First, he said the quiet part out loud maybe even as a signal to Beijing knowing his press people would walk out back. Possibly. Second, it was the standard Biden non sequitur his press people walk back shortly after he says something. I will generally leave the Rohrshach 2/n
Interpretation up to you as I leave the door open to either but will say my leaning is that he simply misspoke like the "agreement" about Taiwan he previously cited. However, let's assume for a moment he didn't misspeak and the (widely assumed though rarely spoken) assumption 3/n
I would disagree with the stay out of policy but the rest is totally true. They're are a couple things that are stunningly clear. Especially in China, the "data" academics and tankies dealing with is so old and top level as to be worthless stale and moldy. Any academic 1/n
Paper on China is probably five years out of date from release. The data quality academics and tankies use is really really poor. It is policy papers, official data, and top line data. This effectively makes "censorship" part of the data set. Academics and tankies are 2/n
Censoring on behalf of their funders or they are relying on effectively censored data to conduct studies. The sad part is they either don't understand this or they don't care. If you want to understand China watch ONLY how people behave. Words are very very poor signals 3/n
You've heard me say that the Galaxy Brains dealing with foreign policy are simply deeply unserious people and thinkers that if not for their influece should be ignored. Let me explain the reasons I say this. First, it is obvious their minds have been made up and no evidence 1/n
Or facts are going to change their mind. Pick any topic surrounding China and they cannot argue factually or empirically relying on data. So no matter what data or evidence you provide them, it is dismissed for increasingly creative reasons because facts don't matter 2/n
Second, their thinking is entirely inconsistent chasing straw men. Like theNYT Oped, "free market purists" will never be content with China. There is zero that the Chinese economy has been centralizing and shutting down markets. It is an invented straw men by a research firm 3/n
Since real estate tax in China has people buzzing let me explain why virtually everything you're reading is thimble deep & missing the enormity of the importance and risks it is exacerbating. This may be a long thread. I will try and include links and will use simple examples 1/n
Let's start by positing that as a method of financing government revenue a yearly tax based upon some pre-defined measure say assessed value of the property is a much better method than land sales. So I have no disagreement with others who say it is. It is. But..... 2/n
People are saying this should be done have really given no thought to a variety of the problems, complications, and risks. This is why they stand around looking puzzled why this wasn't done years ago. So let's try to lay out as many of these secondary issues as possible 3/n
I'm sitting in an airport with random observations and thoughts. Here we go: 1. Having driven across the US and having hit some major cities during that time, Manhattan is far and away the worst of the bunch I've seen. So many empty store fronts seeking tenants 1/n
2. "Infrastructure" problem in the US is generally confined to a couple of places
3. I'm so happy to be in airports again, they are calming and cathartic
4. I ordered bibimbap. The Asian man gave me a fork. As I took chopsticks I wanted to yell racism. I didn't. I'm normal 2/n
5. I find it unnaturally infuriating when Asian restaurants in the US serve the wrong type of rice for whatever food they are serving. I shouldn't get that cheesed
6.7. Media and social media wildly overstate problems. I witness people of all colors and creeds work together 3/n