Most are correcting yesterday's low to today's opening high.
Keep the retrace handy
38%-50% retrace is bullish
61.8% is average strength
Anything beyond it, reject it and reconsider only if the high is surpassed
For Eg: Nifty holding "17855-892" is bullish
Break of 17817, reject
#Reliance has done exactly 61.8% retrace of 2494 to 2556 @ 2518
Today's low 2518.
Below this, wouldn't consider it.
IF breaks 2518, consider it only above 2545 or 2556
#sbin
Rose from 501 to 522
It's retrace is @ 511.50 -514, a bullish possibility.
Made a low of 513.60 so far.
Below 509, reject it.
And, consider it only if moves above 522.
#Icicibank
Moved up from 793 to 810 (Last rise)
It's 38% - 50% retrace @ 801.50-803.50, made a low today @ 802.35 = Bullish.
Reject it if breaks 799 & then, consider it only IF moves above 810.
What is all this logic ?
#Elliottwave IF taught me 1 major deciding factor is
"Managing positions with Last Rise retrace"
Most did a 5 from yesterday's low to today's opening high.
5 is retraced by a 3 (abc)
Look to enter @ retrace to get a LRHR trade
Nature of retrace or the correction reveals a lot about the strength/ weakness of the stock/ index
There could be minor whipsaw @ golden ratio, 61.8%
Nothing is perfect. Manage this whipsaw with 80% retrace no
Try & practice it & see for yourself the efficiency of this system
#Nifty retraced to 17872 so far & now @ 17910++ #Reliance fell more than 61.8% but not below 80% so far @ 2508 #SBI retraced to 512.05 & mow moving up #Icicibank retraced to 61.8% @ 799 & up now.
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#Priceaction
IF trader, then study "Hour chart" of at least 30 trading days
Watch how #prices are #Trending & you take a position when trend changes, say, from making "LH & LL" to "HL & HH" & Vice Versa
This is the 1st & foremost step & absolutely noiseless #Retracement helps🙏
#Priceaction Step:2
All traders know Demand & Supply to exploit the difference - a basic trait of any trader/ businessman.
What captures this absolutely is #Trendline & #Channel
For Eg: When prices break out of a falling T.Line/ Channel, it means demand has overpowered supply
That's first clue-buyers are asserting. LH & LL would soon change.
Next step is to look for a Fibonacci #retracement to hold @ 38% or 50% or 61.8% (to make HL) with a bullish candle like #Bullishengulfing or #Bullishpinbar @ a % of previous rise which is your perfect LRHR entry
#Nifty
Started last fall fm "17664" on 13th with 1 & 2
Would complete 3rd @ open @ 17220-263, then 4th & 5th.
Last fall #retracement from "17512 - 172xx"
MEma-17175
WLEma-17155
50DSma-17165
Pivot's S3-17195
VF's T6: 17197
IF correction, it must limit to 17220 @ open & then 17165
Based on significant gap down, the "revised trade levels" for the "day" & "Week".
#Nifty @ 17108-137 of VF's trade table's key level with a low of "17130"
#Nifty
Index & most stocks done 3rd & 4th wave yesterday.
Holding approx. yesterday's low, "5th" wave to unfold today in opening session towards "16796-816".
Alt: Consolidation in most part of the day in yesterday's range.
Macd is the simplest & most reliable indicators available. Macd uses Moving Averages & turn them into momentum indicator by subtracting longer MA from shorter MA. The subtracted value when plotted forms a line that oscillates above & below zero, without any upper/ lower limits.
Using shorter Moving Average (5 & 10) will produce a quicker, more responsive indicator (fast macd), while using longer MA (12 & 26) will produce a slower indicator (Slow macd), less prone to whipsaws.
Macd measures the difference between two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
A +ve Macd indicates that 5 or 12-day Ema is trading above 10 or 26-day Ema. A -ve Macd indicates that 5 or 12-day Ema is trading below 10 or 26-day Ema. If Macd is -ve & declining, then -ve gap between faster MA & slower MA is expanding & Downward momentum is accelerating..
#Nifty
There are 2 Key retraces to follow for the Day.
1st is fm 17281 - 17420 @ 17330-350 (Aggressive)
2nd is fm 17064 - 17420 @ 17240-285(Conservative)
Based on Pivot tables,
17310-335 is a key support zone,
17470-500 is a key resistance zone.
#Nifty
There are 2 Key retraces to follow for the Day.
1st is fm 17281 - 17420 @ 17330-350 (Aggressive)
2nd is fm 17064 - 17420 @ 17240-285(Conservative)
Based on Pivot tables,
17310-335 is a key support zone,
17470-500 is a key resistance zone.
#Nifty
Based on Pivot tables,
17310-335 is a key support zone,
17470-500 is a key resistance zone.
Didn't get the "BUY" trade
BUT, a "Sell" trade emerged @ "17470-500" with a high of 17490 with OB readings and generated
100+ points with a low of "17362"