NEW: Voting rights are on the ballot today in three key states: Virginia, New York, & Pennsylvania. My new story looks at the key ballot measures, legislative & governor elections, & judicial elections that could reshape voting rights [thread 1/9] dailykos.com/stories/2021/1…
Virginia Dems have passed dozens of voting reforms since taking power in 2019 for the first time in decades, passing automatic & same-day voter registration, an Election Day holiday, & much more. But that progress is threatened if the GOP wins today
VA's last 2 Dem governors used executive orders to end lifetime felony disenfranchisement, leaving only those in prison unable to vote. But if Glenn Youngkin (R) wins, he could restore a racist Jim Crow remnant that until 2016 had banned 1 in 5 Black voters, 5x the rate of whites
Virginia Dems passed a constitutional amendment this year to permanently end felony disenfranchisement for everyone not in prison, but it would have to pass again after 2021 & win a voter referendum. If the GOP flips the state House, they'll likely block it & other voting reforms
Virginia is 1 of just 2 states alongside SC where legislators elect state Supreme Court justices, & the party that wins the state House today may determine whether 1 conservative & 1 liberal justice each remain on the bench. VA's court is very important for redistricting too
New York is voting on 3 constitutional amendments:
Prop 1: Redistricting reform (more on that next)
Prop 3: Allow same-day voter registration
Prop 4: Allow no-excuse absentee voting
Like VA, NY Dems have passed a ton of laws making voting easier since 2019 dailykos.com/stories/2019/1…
Experts disagree on whether NY's badly drafted 2014 amendment requires 2/3 or 50%+1 for Dem lawmakers to override the bipartisan redistricting commission. Dems' convoluted 2021 Proposal 1 would lower it to 60% if not 50%+1—but it may not matter since they have 2/3 majority anyway
New York Dems' redistricting amendment Prop 1 would also implement several nonpartisan reforms by:
Banning prison gerrymandering;
Freezing the state Senate at 63 seats;
Limiting how Senate districts can split cities; & Authorizing a state-run census if the federal one is tainted
Lastly, Pennsylvania's Supreme Court has been a key bulwark against GOP gerrymandering, striking down the GOP's congressional gerrymander in 2018 & drawing a fairer map, & they protected voting access amid the pandemic. Dems could grow their 5-2 majority to 6-1 if they win today
North Carolina state House Republicans have passed their new state House gerrymander in committee. Voting rights advocates sued last week, & the 4-3 Dem state Supreme Court could block it like the state courts did with the GOP’s past gerrymanders in 2019 southerncoalition.org/breaking-civil…
North Carolina Republicans are so blatantly dismantling Voting Rights Act-protected Black legislative districts that it seems they’re counting on SCOTUS killing off the rest of the VRA. With a more sensible judiciary, this map would get struck down in a heartbeat
North Carolina Republicans have passed their new state House gerrymander in the full state House, dismantling certain Black districts protected by the Voting Rights Act. A lawsuit was already filed as noted upthread
Voting rights advocates have filed the first North Carolina redistricting lawsuit of the 2020s cycle, & it assuredly won't be the last in a state that has seen more litigation over GOP gerrymandering than nearly any other. The GOP is drafting maps that crack several Black seats
Notably, this lawsuit was filed in state court instead of conservative-dominated federal court. Dems hold a 4-3 majority on North Carolina's Supreme Court in the event that any redistricting lawsuits eventually reach them next year
Voting rights advocates filed their lawsuit noted in my previous tweet roughly an hour after North Carolina Republicans filed their new gerrymander proposals as bills. See @will_doran's story for more details on the proposed maps: newsobserver.com/news/politics-…
If Virginia Democrats hold onto their state House majority on Tuesday, one critical reform they should pass is a constitutional amendment to move state elections from odd to even years. Turnout could *double* & become much more demographically representative of the citizenry
Just imagine how differently the last several state elections could have played out had Virginia held them in high-turnout even years instead of in odd years when voters of color, young voters, & low income voters are less likely to turn out compared to older wealthy white voters
Constitutional amendments in Virginia must pass both before & after a state election followed by a referendum, so Dems would have to hold the legislature in 2021 & 2023 & get voters to approve an amendment in 2024, meaning even-year state elections would be a ways off regardless
🤦♂️Several Nebraska Dems voted for the GOP's latest congressional gerrymander. Even though it isn't as bad as their map that split Douglas County, this one still makes #NE02 redder by putting the densest suburbs in Sarpy County with #NE01 & adding rural areas to the suburban #NE02
A more logical nonpartisan configuration would place Bellevue, which is the suburb nearest to Omaha's urban core, with #NE02 & make it even more urban/suburban, not less. This version would be 3-4 points bluer, which could make the difference in this hotly competitive district
I wonder if the GOP threatened to eliminate their filibuster rule & pass a more extreme gerrymander if some Dems didn't agree to this
NEW: Daily Kos Elections presents our guide to 2020s redistricting in all 50 states. We explained how each state's rules work, & these cartograms show which party—if any—is expected to control redistricting for Congress (left) & state legislatures (right) dailykos.com/stories/2021/8…
Republicans are set to draw 2-3 times as many congressional districts as Democrats following their dominance in 2020's elections, which itself was partly due to their previous gerrymanders. This GOP advantage means the national congressional map will remain skewed toward the GOP
The Census Bureau is set to release the key data needed for redistricting tomorrow, & mapmakers will scramble to draw new districts ahead of upcoming deadlines in state law. In some states that means just a few weeks to draw new maps, giving little time for public input
1/4 I'm deleting this thread & redoing it for clarity since many folks are just ignoring what I wrote & reading something into it that I didn't intend. I'm not subtweeting you in particular or telling you what to do if that's not what you're here for, just friendly suggestions
2/4 #ElectionTwitter folks do a lot of cool stuff that people want to see, & some of y'all have funny/interesting takes on non-election topics too. But if you tweet 100 times a day & 10:1 about the latter, it makes it hard for people with limited time to follow you for the former
3/4 All I'm saying: Be mindful of your audience if you want to build up a following & get your work more broadly seen, but if you don't care, just ignore! I stay more on topic between 7am-7pm eastern than on weekends & evenings. Readers using lists helps