1. As we requested, the ONS Nov 1 Deaths by Vacc Status Report now includes age categorised all-cause death numbers by vacc status. But, while it has data for age categories 60-69, 70-79 and 80+, there's only a single category of data for the age group 10-59. 
2. In this ‘youngest’ age group all-cause mortality rate is currently around twice as high for those who've had at least one dose of vacc compared to unvacced. But as it includes such a wide age range it's still possible this extremely disturbing statistic is confounded by age
3. Where age categories are narrower, 60-69, 70-79 and 80+, age confounding effects are somewhat mitigated, and the data suggest there's lower all-cause mortality in vacced compared to unvacced in each of those age categories. BUT.....
4. .... there appears to be systemic problems with the data accuracy since the overall mortality rates are out of sync with other mortality data. Possible explanation is estimated proportion of vacced v unvacced in ONS population data is too heavily weighted toward vacced.
5. We are working on better understanding what the core problems are and hope to produce a full analysis soon. Our analysis of the previous ONS deaths by vacc status report is here: probabilityandlaw.blogspot.com/2021/10/compar…
6. Here is the ONS report ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
