Share this page!

Yossi Gestetner Profile picture
Twitter logo
3 Nov, 8 tweets, 4 min read
See results of NJ and NYC. Much closer than what anyone paid attention to and the results are this way despite CRT not being a hot button issue in NJ/NYC.

Tonight in VA is more than culture wars.
NJ is close (for now).
The problem in NJ for the GOPer is that no one gave him a chance, so plenty GOPers didn’t even bother to vote. The narrative of a win can create the win such as in VA. I have no numbers on the ground from NJ. Just observing how things are now.
Yes I know that key Dem areas in NJ are not yet counted, but none of you figured that with 40% of the expected vote counted the race will still be split 49-49.

This with a Republican candidate whose name few of you know.

Tonight is more than “culture wars” in VA.
Again: None of you had #NJGov split 49-49 between the two candidates with 88% reporting.

Few of you know the GOPers name who with less suppression polls in the field may have gotten more GOPs to vote and close this thing.

Tuesday night was more than CRT/culture wars in VA.
The national press often gets stuck on a point and then everyone repeats it, in this case that VA was all about a culture war/CRT. Indeed it was a major issue, but Republicans had massive successes in elections far from VA and where CRT was not a hot issue.
What I like about the hot takes regarding VA is that everyone uses it to reinforce their already-held positions. It’s like whichever number comes out regarding coronavirus, everyone just sees it as proof to their take. @mattklewis tweeted that Youngkin is a Romney-type.
Trump lost VA by ten points; 54-44.

Exit polls yesterday had voters 46-46 Biden/Trump among those who also voted in 2020.

This Trump strenrh was despite Dems/Biden/@TerryMcAuliffe mentioning Trump endlessly.

cc @NolteNC @mattklewis @EWErickson @ByronYork @RBPundit

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Yossi Gestetner

Yossi Gestetner Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @YossiGestetner

Yossi Gestetner Profile picture
4 Nov
This could have been done 4 years ago if @AnnCoulter’s and @RyanGirdusky’s Chicken Friend @jeffsessions didn’t recuse at all and/or of he had reversed it once it became clearer that there was no collusion. “Career” hacks told Sessions to back off and he did.

Trump’s worst hire!
Reverse that.

Trump’s worst hire was his dauther/son-in-law whose only experience with politics was being sucked out of money by candidates.

Next worst hire was Rollover Chicken Reince as Chief of Staff.

Then came Sessions.

In the end its Trump’s fault because he hired them.
Dummy me tweeted A DAY BEFORE TRUMP’s inauguration that not cleaning house at the most senior level will be a disaster!

Reince, Jared etc had no grip with whom they are dealing!

Klain knew to clean house right when Biden came in.

EVERY MORON knows that this is a key move. Image
Read 4 tweets
Yossi Gestetner Profile picture
4 Nov
The @GOPLeader said that @HouseDemocrats can lose 70 seats in the midterms.

Um, if the GOP were to pick up “only” 50 seats, they will have more seats than they ever had in raw numbers and the largest portion of House seats dating back to pre-1900s.

So… Dunno about 70 seats.
If the GOP picks up 35 seats they will beat their post-Great Depression high water mark of 247 seats in the 2014 elections. Point is the GOP is going into the midterms with a large number of seats (213) and therefore less available for pick ups.
Dems went into 2018 elections with 194 seats. Picked up 41 to end at 235.

GOP went in to 2010 with 179 seats; gained 63 to land at 242.

Dems went into 2006 with 201 seats; added 31 to land in the 230s.

GOP went into 1994 with 176 seats and picked up 54 seats to end at 230.
Read 5 tweets
Yossi Gestetner Profile picture
3 Nov
Regarding Lakewood, NJ which is overwhelmingly populated with Orthodox Jews:

In 2017, Murphy won 5,758 (50.4%) of the vote vs. 5,644 for the Republican.

In 2021, Murphy won only 7,112 (37.9%) of the vote vs. 11,644 for @Jack4NJ.

Lakewood’s turnout jumped by 64% from 2017.
In Lakewood, @GovMurphy’s raw vote number rose by 23.5% from 2017 but the Republican side rose by 106 percent!

The raw numbers may be off marginally in either direction but whatever narrative anyone writes about Lakewood, the above is more or less the picture.

cc @Redistrict
Lakewood 2021 is an illustration that Orthodox Jews

A) have plenty of voters who can show up if nudged; turnout was more than 1 person per household and up 64% from 2017.

B) voting 50-50 a few years back can go 2-1 in any direction based on policy and outreach.
Read 4 tweets
Yossi Gestetner Profile picture
31 Oct
Mark, we know that vaccine immunity crashes to 40-50 percent 6-8 months after taking it which is why boosters are needed. We don’t know that natural immunity drops this low even after 12 months. The latest CDC study includes people infected a half year ago and NI is still 89.6%.
Mark is a waste of time on this: I show him that in Oklahoma

A) vaccine immunity went from being 9 times better than natural immunity to only 2 times better, and

B) Natural Immunity in Oklahoma is in the high 90% range.

Yet he answers “operative word being better.”
The above data showing the vaccine working in the high 90% includes recently-vaccinated people because we know from other studies that after 6-8 months immunity crashes. Mark is a vaccine fanatic who refuses to accept the data of natural immunity’s relavance and durability.
Read 7 tweets
Yossi Gestetner Profile picture
31 Oct
I read the latest study by the CDC of the difference between natural immunity (NI) vs immunity through a vaccine. (ITV).

For starters, most news about this are blatant lies to just misleading. But I am not going to debunk it all. Ill present a few points. cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7…
First, the time frame of the study is 90 to 179 days after vaccination which is month 4 through 6 which is flawed because boosters are needed only at various points after this time frame, so what’s the news that the vaccines work at day 90-179? Show us numbers of post day 180.
Secondly, the numbers yelling how much better immunity through vaccine (ITV) is versus natural immunity (NI) are mostly marginal. For example, before Delta, 8.4% previously infected people tested positive again for Coronavirus versus only 1.6% among vaccinated people.
Read 13 tweets
Yossi Gestetner Profile picture
29 Oct
“We found that vaccinated people can contract and pass on infection within households, including to vaccinated household members," Dr Anika Singanayagam, co-lead author of the study, said.

Joke’s on you vaccine fanatics.

straitstimes.com/world/europe/u…
“The study, which had 621 participants, found that of the 205 household contacts of people with Delta Covid-19 infection, 38% of household contacts who were unvaccinated went on to test positive, compared with 25% of vaccinated contacts.”

25% vs 38%
Study from Imperial College: VACCINATED people who were infected with COVID—19, infected 25% vaccinated household members and 38% unvaccinated members.

Basically: Vaccinated people can be infected; can spread it and the spread to unvaccinated isn’t much worse than to vaccinated.
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get emails when @YossiGestetner has new unrolls!

Check out other threads from @YossiGestetner!

Read all threads by @YossiGestetner

:(