Regarding Lakewood, NJ which is overwhelmingly populated with Orthodox Jews:

In 2017, Murphy won 5,758 (50.4%) of the vote vs. 5,644 for the Republican.

In 2021, Murphy won only 7,112 (37.9%) of the vote vs. 11,644 for @Jack4NJ.

Lakewood’s turnout jumped by 64% from 2017.
In Lakewood, @GovMurphy’s raw vote number rose by 23.5% from 2017 but the Republican side rose by 106 percent!

The raw numbers may be off marginally in either direction but whatever narrative anyone writes about Lakewood, the above is more or less the picture.

cc @Redistrict
Lakewood 2021 is an illustration that Orthodox Jews

A) have plenty of voters who can show up if nudged; turnout was more than 1 person per household and up 64% from 2017.

B) voting 50-50 a few years back can go 2-1 in any direction based on policy and outreach.
Back in New York, Trump had strong OJ support in 2016, yet @TishJames in the 2018 Dem primary for AG won 70% of Orthodox Jews despite her anti-Trump stance. (Many OJs who are right-leaning on policy are registered Dems). In 2020, Trump won Orthodox Jewish votes by huge margins.

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More from @YossiGestetner

4 Nov
This could have been done 4 years ago if @AnnCoulter’s and @RyanGirdusky’s Chicken Friend @jeffsessions didn’t recuse at all and/or of he had reversed it once it became clearer that there was no collusion. “Career” hacks told Sessions to back off and he did.

Trump’s worst hire!
Reverse that.

Trump’s worst hire was his dauther/son-in-law whose only experience with politics was being sucked out of money by candidates.

Next worst hire was Rollover Chicken Reince as Chief of Staff.

Then came Sessions.

In the end its Trump’s fault because he hired them.
Dummy me tweeted A DAY BEFORE TRUMP’s inauguration that not cleaning house at the most senior level will be a disaster!

Reince, Jared etc had no grip with whom they are dealing!

Klain knew to clean house right when Biden came in.

EVERY MORON knows that this is a key move.
Read 4 tweets
4 Nov
The @GOPLeader said that @HouseDemocrats can lose 70 seats in the midterms.

Um, if the GOP were to pick up “only” 50 seats, they will have more seats than they ever had in raw numbers and the largest portion of House seats dating back to pre-1900s.

So… Dunno about 70 seats.
If the GOP picks up 35 seats they will beat their post-Great Depression high water mark of 247 seats in the 2014 elections. Point is the GOP is going into the midterms with a large number of seats (213) and therefore less available for pick ups.
Dems went into 2018 elections with 194 seats. Picked up 41 to end at 235.

GOP went in to 2010 with 179 seats; gained 63 to land at 242.

Dems went into 2006 with 201 seats; added 31 to land in the 230s.

GOP went into 1994 with 176 seats and picked up 54 seats to end at 230.
Read 5 tweets
3 Nov
See results of NJ and NYC. Much closer than what anyone paid attention to and the results are this way despite CRT not being a hot button issue in NJ/NYC.

Tonight in VA is more than culture wars.
NJ is close (for now).
The problem in NJ for the GOPer is that no one gave him a chance, so plenty GOPers didn’t even bother to vote. The narrative of a win can create the win such as in VA. I have no numbers on the ground from NJ. Just observing how things are now.
Read 8 tweets
31 Oct
Mark, we know that vaccine immunity crashes to 40-50 percent 6-8 months after taking it which is why boosters are needed. We don’t know that natural immunity drops this low even after 12 months. The latest CDC study includes people infected a half year ago and NI is still 89.6%.
Mark is a waste of time on this: I show him that in Oklahoma

A) vaccine immunity went from being 9 times better than natural immunity to only 2 times better, and

B) Natural Immunity in Oklahoma is in the high 90% range.

Yet he answers “operative word being better.”
The above data showing the vaccine working in the high 90% includes recently-vaccinated people because we know from other studies that after 6-8 months immunity crashes. Mark is a vaccine fanatic who refuses to accept the data of natural immunity’s relavance and durability.
Read 7 tweets
31 Oct
I read the latest study by the CDC of the difference between natural immunity (NI) vs immunity through a vaccine. (ITV).

For starters, most news about this are blatant lies to just misleading. But I am not going to debunk it all. Ill present a few points. cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7…
First, the time frame of the study is 90 to 179 days after vaccination which is month 4 through 6 which is flawed because boosters are needed only at various points after this time frame, so what’s the news that the vaccines work at day 90-179? Show us numbers of post day 180.
Secondly, the numbers yelling how much better immunity through vaccine (ITV) is versus natural immunity (NI) are mostly marginal. For example, before Delta, 8.4% previously infected people tested positive again for Coronavirus versus only 1.6% among vaccinated people.
Read 13 tweets
29 Oct
“We found that vaccinated people can contract and pass on infection within households, including to vaccinated household members," Dr Anika Singanayagam, co-lead author of the study, said.

Joke’s on you vaccine fanatics.

straitstimes.com/world/europe/u…
“The study, which had 621 participants, found that of the 205 household contacts of people with Delta Covid-19 infection, 38% of household contacts who were unvaccinated went on to test positive, compared with 25% of vaccinated contacts.”

25% vs 38%
Study from Imperial College: VACCINATED people who were infected with COVID—19, infected 25% vaccinated household members and 38% unvaccinated members.

Basically: Vaccinated people can be infected; can spread it and the spread to unvaccinated isn’t much worse than to vaccinated.
Read 5 tweets

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