Given our collective refusal to learn simple lessons and to overthink the obvious, we should state the lessons of 2021 plainly. They are as follows...
Americans don’t like to be humiliated abroad, and they don't like surrendering to terrorists. Voters don’t typically reward policies that make them feel both mortified and unsafe.
Americans like the United States and don't like being lectured about how awful it is. Moreover, voters don’t appreciate racial conflict. They will do what they can to avoid or defuse it whenever possible. Democrats have not given voters that option.
Americans do not believe the diminished life they’ve been forced to lead since the onset of COVID is preferable to the status quo ante. Democrats refuse to give them a way out, so they’re shopping around for someone who will.
Voters do not reward the party in power for presiding over rising rates of violent crime. They would be disinclined to do that even if the governing power was doing everything it could to fight crime, which Democrats most certainly are not.
Americans don’t want to spend trillions of dollars on nebulous progressive legislative priorities to the point that it inflates the currency and reduces their purchasing power. They don't borrow themselves into arrears, and they don't expect the country to either.
Voters need to feel secure, respected, and satisfied that their prospects for success and prosperity are not artificially circumscribed by government. When they don't feel that way, they will punish you. That's it. None of this is difficult.
But simple stuff like this is unsatisfying. It doesn't give you the chance to demonstrate your superior logic, if you're a pundit, and it severely limits your freedom of action, if you're a politician. These lessons will be ignored, I'd wager. But they will be taught.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Noah Rothman

Noah Rothman Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @NoahCRothman

5 Nov
Ds respond to the charge that they're slouching toward 2010 redux by racing to pass a bill jammed with social engineering that no one has read, and which Rs will spend the next 10 months framing while Ds talk up the massive price tag.
At least in 2010, they had a hope of passing the thing into law. This is just a positioning statement that Rs get to make the centerpiece of their midterm pitch. Rs are blessed. They didn't do anything to deserve their good fortune.
A lot of this is going to be easy for Rs to mobilize their voters against while probably having a smaller energizing effect on D voters. For example:
Read 10 tweets
16 Aug
What a nauseatingly facile display.
We will continue to speak out, so everyone who is going to be subjugated can take heart that there will be speeches on their behalf.
The Afghan government we supported for 20 years is responsible for all this, but our leadership in the world and our support for our allies is unquestionable.
Read 8 tweets
23 Apr
“Doctors and scientists agree that, at least for the foreseeable future, indoor masking is here to stay. Vaccines may not offer complete protection and contagious variants continue to pose a risk.” abcnews.go.com/amp/Health/dit…
“ So when can you consider going mask-less outside?

When you are alone outside or with your household, you may not need to mask up, although you’ll want to keep your mask handy, experts suggest.”
“...that level of community protection, where we can all go back to what looks like an old normal, that's going to be very, very difficult unless we get very, very much increased participation.”
Read 4 tweets
16 Apr
A slightly nuanced take on the implosion of the Russia bounties story, which is indicative only of how discourse on this website is not only unhelpful but an obstacle to the fullest understanding of events. Apologies in advance, but it’s a thread…
When the story broke, my take on it was A) we shouldn’t know about it, because leaking this claim all but forecloses on the possibility of substantiating it sufficient to prove the charge. But also B) it’s *plausible.* commentarymagazine.com/noah-rothman/w… Here’s why…
If you recall, when the story dropped it was accompanied with the allegation that Iran was also putting a price on American heads. cnn.com/2020/08/17/pol… That allegation is supported by evidence and testimony going back to 2005 fdd.org/analysis/2010/…
Read 10 tweets
14 Apr
Vaccine demand falls at University of Arizona state POD google.com/amp/s/www.kold…
Pa. ‘incredibly concerned’ about falling demand for COVID-19 vaccine as eligibility expands Tuesday google.com/amp/s/www.penn…
“Demand for COVID-19 vaccines appears to be decreasing...” google.com/amp/s/abc11.co…
Read 14 tweets
22 Feb
"In the blunt equation of capitalist production, the workers are worth less than the chickens they are processing." nytimes.com/2021/02/19/t-m…
"To treat food as a commodity rather than a necessity is to accept that there will always be people who can’t afford it and must go hungry."
Did Emma Goldman write this?
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(