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Let us choose the most simplest & most effective of all tools - #Elliottwave
IF the name sounds complex & alien to you, let us call it just #Wave - Why ?
In the market, Prices never flow like a river but unfold like waves.. yes., waves
#Waves advance, then retrace and with each advance & retraces, they gather strength & thus the subsequent advances grow in strength & intensity until they blow themselves up. Then, they go into a quiet mode.
This is Nature's Law; Crowd behaviour and we deal with just that.
What this Nature's Law states is that the advances & declines follow "Fibonacci sequences"
1, (1+1)2, (2+1)3, (3+2)5, (5+3)8, (8+5)13, (13+8)21 & so on...
It has been observed by Ralph.N.Elliott (1939) that these advances move in 5 waves followed by a 3 wave decline - 12345 & abc
What is a wave ? No explanation is given by Elliott himself Why? Co's it's highly subjective at the time of labeling each advance & decline. Each perceives it differently
Then, how do we approach it ?
Demand & supply restrict themselves to a channel till one overpowers the other
This, channeling helps to identify each part of wave as 1st, now, 2nd followed by 3rd, etc.,
1st is an advance
2nd is a retrace of 1st by 38%-61.8% or more but never 100%
3rd is the next advance having gathered strength in 1st & pausing in 2nd and thus with great strength
4th is the retrace of 3rd advance by 38% to 61.8% but never touching the 1st top
5th is the last advance, having seen the potential of 3rd & wanting to out beat the 3rd with such force, it generally a vertical rise, highly speculative.
After 5, an "ABC" correction follows retracing 38%-61.8% of entire rise from 1st to 5th.
Generally, this retrace enters the range of 3rd to 4th wave as you can see in #Kotakbank chart
Before we end this beginner step, Know this:
12345 & abc are found all time frames 5 min-month
Take your time to spot waves in stocks and indices. #Tradingview allows to mark labels easily & you can reject & relabel as new prices reveal more clarity.
Let Mkt correct you
Learn.. Learn.. with simple baby steps & Earn
You have all the TIME but allocation is by YOU & you alone
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#Priceaction
IF trader, then study "Hour chart" of at least 30 trading days
Watch how #prices are #Trending & you take a position when trend changes, say, from making "LH & LL" to "HL & HH" & Vice Versa
This is the 1st & foremost step & absolutely noiseless #Retracement helpsπ
#Priceaction Step:2
All traders know Demand & Supply to exploit the difference - a basic trait of any trader/ businessman.
What captures this absolutely is #Trendline & #Channel
For Eg: When prices break out of a falling T.Line/ Channel, it means demand has overpowered supply
That's first clue-buyers are asserting. LH & LL would soon change.
Next step is to look for a Fibonacci #retracement to hold @ 38% or 50% or 61.8% (to make HL) with a bullish candle like #Bullishengulfing or #Bullishpinbar @ a % of previous rise which is your perfect LRHR entry
#Nifty
Started last fall fm "17664" on 13th with 1 & 2
Would complete 3rd @ open @ 17220-263, then 4th & 5th.
Last fall #retracement from "17512 - 172xx"
MEma-17175
WLEma-17155
50DSma-17165
Pivot's S3-17195
VF's T6: 17197
IF correction, it must limit to 17220 @ open & then 17165
Based on significant gap down, the "revised trade levels" for the "day" & "Week".
#Nifty @ 17108-137 of VF's trade table's key level with a low of "17130"
#Nifty
Index & most stocks done 3rd & 4th wave yesterday.
Holding approx. yesterday's low, "5th" wave to unfold today in opening session towards "16796-816".
Alt: Consolidation in most part of the day in yesterday's range.
Macd is the simplest & most reliable indicators available. Macd uses Moving Averages & turn them into momentum indicator by subtracting longer MA from shorter MA. The subtracted value when plotted forms a line that oscillates above & below zero, without any upper/ lower limits.
Using shorter Moving Average (5 & 10) will produce a quicker, more responsive indicator (fast macd), while using longer MA (12 & 26) will produce a slower indicator (Slow macd), less prone to whipsaws.
Macd measures the difference between two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
A +ve Macd indicates that 5 or 12-day Ema is trading above 10 or 26-day Ema. A -ve Macd indicates that 5 or 12-day Ema is trading below 10 or 26-day Ema. If Macd is -ve & declining, then -ve gap between faster MA & slower MA is expanding & Downward momentum is accelerating..
#Nifty
There are 2 Key retraces to follow for the Day.
1st is fm 17281 - 17420 @ 17330-350 (Aggressive)
2nd is fm 17064 - 17420 @ 17240-285(Conservative)
Based on Pivot tables,
17310-335 is a key support zone,
17470-500 is a key resistance zone.
#Nifty
There are 2 Key retraces to follow for the Day.
1st is fm 17281 - 17420 @ 17330-350 (Aggressive)
2nd is fm 17064 - 17420 @ 17240-285(Conservative)
Based on Pivot tables,
17310-335 is a key support zone,
17470-500 is a key resistance zone.
#Nifty
Based on Pivot tables,
17310-335 is a key support zone,
17470-500 is a key resistance zone.
Didn't get the "BUY" trade
BUT, a "Sell" trade emerged @ "17470-500" with a high of 17490 with OB readings and generated
100+ points with a low of "17362"