It will still be a bit of time before Govt notifies EU on A16. Suspect early Dec. Not because UKG thinks negs w/EU might still deliver. It doesn't. But bc it wants to ensure A16 move is as legally watertight as possible - domestically & internationally 1/
ft.com/content/f83551…
ft.com/content/f83551…
This will take a bit of time. Domestically - as @pmdfoster first reported, AG @SuellaBraverman (don't forget, a former chair of the hardline Brexiteer ERG) has asked for wide range of legal opinions from outside Govt in hope she can give Article 16 move her seal of approval 2/
If domestic legislation is required, ministers hope they can rely on secondary legislation (= only a vote in Commons & Lords) rather than primary legislation (= a Bill needing to clear many more hurdles.. first, second, third reading, committee & report stages etc) 3/
UKG also wants to be on firm ground with EU/internationally, so will this week lay out in more detail why it believes @MarosSefcovic numbers don't make sense/go far enough. Wants to make sure its evidence/case is bomb proof given ensuing infringement proceedings, arbitration 4/
But no matter what Govt does, they've already lost battle in court of public opinion (John Major etc) & US, EU's eyes. Not one member state gives UKG benefit of doubt. Most see this as premeditated move, that's been a long time coming.. IM Bill, grace periods, command paper.. END
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