shock therapists designed our transition from centrally planned economies as an explicit price and macrofinancial assault on state-owned companies.
structural transformation meant shrinking heavy industry sectors (sounds familiar?)
shock therapists had a formidable institutional apparatus behind them -
the IMF and World Bank, very much in line with the neoliberal logic (known as Washington Consensus), pressured governments when these worried about social and economic upheaval of shock therapy
if you look closely at #COP26 rhetoric, you can see carbon shock therapists coming.
institutional apparatus of carbon shock therapy is rapidly shaping to target middle-income and poor countries: instead of listening @KGeorgieva just transition rhetoric, check the details of @IMFNews Climate Strategy or Climate Change Dashboard
the institutional politics of shock therapy is also recreated: local central banks as allies to carbon shock therapists
even if central banks refuse to selectively increase cost of dirty credit, monetary austerity may be necessary to fight inflation from carbon pricing.
paradoxically, the derisking state will shield institutional investors but not local industries. Just transition for the few!
Carbon Shock Therapy is an ideological and political choice:
as @IsabellaMWeber has masterfully shown for China, there are different ways of answering the question
'how to introduce price signals for structural transformation'.
Carbon Shock Therapists are at their core fiscal fetishists, aghast at prospect of Big Green State strategically organising low-carbon transition, both through fiscal and monetary arm.
read our piece in conjunction with brilliant @cedric_durand piece that travels in the same direction
Wow Phillip Lane managed a whole speech on fiscal stance/rules in Euroarea without once mentioning ECB, the buyer of around 90% sovereign debt issued in 2020-21.
And I don't mean 'subordinate fiscal policy to the ability of the central bank to meet inflation target' but the very real fiscal-monetary coordination we've had in pandemia.
By itself, the suggestion to set coordination parameter around gap to inflation target ignores the fact that inflation is often driven by globalisation (and the ton of literature around it)
Kornai's soft budget constraint is wonderfully intuitive:
inefficiencies&shortages baked into centrally planned economies as state-owned companies dont face discipline of market but pressures and incentives to go above plan and race for resources.
but it relies on capitalist vs state-owned company dichotomy:
one driven by profit, constrained by demand & disciplined by market competition into efficiency.
other is quantity-driven, constrained by ability of managers to deal w shortages via bargaining w planners/other firms
Today is private finance day #COP26. It’s a big day, because private finance keeps fossil fuel companies alive and polluting despite commitments to net zero.
If policy makers were serious about shrinking dirty lending, this is what you’d be reading in the press release 1/n:
1. Today, central banks led by Bank of England have collectively agreed on framework to penalize dirty lending.
This will be developed and introduced within the next two years, upgrading escalation-approach pioneered by the Bank of England.
2. By ending their historical carbon bias forged by commitment to 'market neutrality', central banks will ensure that the cost of capital for fossil fuel companies goes up significantly, shaping credit price signals to redirect flows to green activities.
if you think the Vatican is a cesspit of financial shenanigans, wait till you see this incredible documentary on Romanian Orthodox Church and its leader, Patriarch Daniel of Romania, aka 'The Great White'
(1.2 million views in opening day)
this is an outrageous story of Church milking public funds at national, regional and local level with help from politicians across the political spectrum
of a Patriarch doubling as local baron
of a Patriarch covering priests' sexual abuse
most rich men (yes) in Romania have become rich by stealing from the state, by legal and illegal means, but so far we knew little of the Orthodox Church's role, including its unholy cuddling of far right politicians