the IMF take #COP26: 1. Develop metrics for climate vulnerability. 2. Eliminate barriers to adaptation (insurance markets) 3. Incentives for the private sector (derisking state)
in fairness, there is no explicit 'market will deliver' in Biden's speech, not for rich countries.
But no reading between the lines on the vision for the Global South: #WallStreetConsensus rhetoric of Billions to Trillions
we stand corrected, at least for the US that statement is not correct
well @70sBachchan I may un-un-correct myself, since is seems a lot of the Biden energy investment is technically derisking private sector via tax credits, not public investment.
market-led decarbonisation does not preclude (niche) green industrial policies, but keeps status-quo macrofinancial script - central banks targeting inflation, + fiscally 'disciplined' state
state does not do large-scale green macrofinancial planning
Today is private finance day #COP26. It’s a big day, because private finance keeps fossil fuel companies alive and polluting despite commitments to net zero.
If policy makers were serious about shrinking dirty lending, this is what you’d be reading in the press release 1/n:
1. Today, central banks led by Bank of England have collectively agreed on framework to penalize dirty lending.
This will be developed and introduced within the next two years, upgrading escalation-approach pioneered by the Bank of England.
2. By ending their historical carbon bias forged by commitment to 'market neutrality', central banks will ensure that the cost of capital for fossil fuel companies goes up significantly, shaping credit price signals to redirect flows to green activities.
if you think the Vatican is a cesspit of financial shenanigans, wait till you see this incredible documentary on Romanian Orthodox Church and its leader, Patriarch Daniel of Romania, aka 'The Great White'
(1.2 million views in opening day)
this is an outrageous story of Church milking public funds at national, regional and local level with help from politicians across the political spectrum
of a Patriarch doubling as local baron
of a Patriarch covering priests' sexual abuse
most rich men (yes) in Romania have become rich by stealing from the state, by legal and illegal means, but so far we knew little of the Orthodox Church's role, including its unholy cuddling of far right politicians
I am also puzzled by the collective terror of worker power, only a couple of months ago central bankers and IMF chief economists were clamouring for exactly that.
workers of the world unite, just a bit below the inflation target?
first, Quantity Theory of Money is, to cite Charles Goodhart, weak lark, imposing a monetarist causality on an identity.
holding that against MMT is not a serious intellectual effort.
fair enough, they recognize money multiplier (critical to QTM/monetarism) is nonsense
exciting panel on inflation panel at Sintra, with @Isabel_Schnabel chairing.
Charles Goodhart: we are in an extraordinary moment, we dont have a general theory of inflation.
we used to have two - monetarist and Phillips Curve - but none has performed well.
we also have the expectations theory of inflation - but that doesnt work either, since inflationary expectations are backwards looking and adaptive