2/
- Q3: 40% YoY would be Net $30M, 35% ideal
- Q4 Rev: $405M (>27% YoY) is a minimum.
- FY 2021: $1.6B which would be roughly 40% YoY would be great.
- Sadly, I expect high SBC Costs
- Gov't contracts should boost FY 21 based on recent contracts (Army, IDIQ)
Metrics below
3/ Enterprise Clients is a BIG PART of my thesis:
Acceleration in the commercial would be HUGE. In Q2, they added 20 net new clients (booked $925M of contracts (175% YoY): Could we get around 190+ in Q3?
I'll watch Billings, RPO Growth, and Total Contract Value, ideally $4.0B+>
4/ Enterprise Product GTM:
+ Foundry for Builders and Cryptocurrencies: Any plan to monetize after the recent beta's?
+ Channel partners?
+ Progress on Edge AI within existing enterprise clients?
I added some metrics to the metrics I'll be watching below
5/ Overall, I'd expect that considering the strong SaaS tailwinds in AI eg. $CFLT, $PLTR should show some of it
This article was focused on metrics, after the report, I'll write more on Tech & share thoughts. I'm neutral, we'll see what Q3 delivers🤞
Confluent: The Central Nervous System that is empowering Data in Motion for the Leading Corporations.
Why Confluent could become as dominant as Snowflake as a leading Open-Source Data Infrastructure.
This is my long-awaited $CFLT Investment Thesis:
1/Thread Overview:
1) First Principles Analogy for Kafta (the foundations of Apache Kafta is needed to know CFLT) 2) $CFLT Overview and how it fits Kafta 3) Investment Thesis 4) The AI & Data Analytics Opportunity
Let's GO!
2/First, we need to know Apache Kafta?
An analogy: Imagine the task of going shopping, arriving home and you need to distribute those bought items across a BIG house FAST. Hassle? What if I gave you a robot to perform that task? Yay!
This thread contains Company updates, a recap and my Investing process in Sept:
1/ Sept was a good month:
+ I sold $APPS to add $UPWK during the dip.
+ I bought a new position $AMPL, sold to add $UPWK Calls
+ Plan to re-add APPS & AMPL as I add more cash to my A/C
+ Few other companies below