Notable High-Quality Newsletters:

I asked Investors a few weeks ago to tell me their best-underfollowed newsletters amongst low-key Accounts.

Here are the Top 17 noteworthy ones I found in my research:
1/
@MT_Capital1

He writes an extensive and comprehensive analysis on emerging high-tech companies. Some of his best works include $SQ, $AFRM, $UPWK, $DLO and more!

Link: mtcapital.substack.com/subscribe
2/ @xponentialdave

Writes on Portfolio Mgmt and thoroughly analyzes *Quality* Tech companies.

He is currently UP 77% YTD! and has a cumulative Performance since Jan 2020 of 474%!

I won't say much beyond you want to follow him and read his articles:

exponentialdave.com/2021/10/29/oct…
3/
@nanduanilal

Nandu is a chill VC Investor who examines technology and start-ups particularly within AI/ML. He understands product strategy than many.

He is highly *underfollowed based on his depth of knowledge as a VC.

Link:
nandu.substack.com
4/ @jiggycapital

An incredibly smart young man who is a data and numbers guy.

Every quarter, he breaks down the most interesting metrics and analysis for high tech companies across different sectors .

Very *valuable* information:

jiggy.substack.com
5/ @HonestInvesting

Nick is a great writer and researcher. He provides a great in-depth analysis of companies and also mixes it up 5-minutes financial quick reads on a company. Some of my favourites are $FVRR, $ROKU.

Great stuff:
honestinvesting.substack.com
6/ @max_damore

Max occasionally provides good short pieces and write-ups on a variety of quality tech companies.

Some of my favs are on Redfin and Sentinel-One.

Check it out:
fundamentalsfirst.xyz
7/ @golfsohard

He writes weekly on high-quality fast growing companies and actionable ideas and a brief thesis behind each company:

weeklystockbullfinder.substack.com
8/ @wolfofharcourt

This is a really good newsletter and Wolf writes with great consistency covering a variety of good companies, his monthly portfolio journey and a wide spectrum of investment topics. This is a good one and I've enjoyed it. eg $SQ

Link:
wolfofharcourtstreet.com
9/ @crosswindcap:

Nick is probably one of the best Investment writers I know with a very unique style. He is an investing artist.

He writes on different important investing topics that are important for every investor.

crosswindcapital.substack.com/welcome
10/ @ayeshatariq

She writes on a variety of topics across investing and finance. She writes occasionally on deep deives into pertinent topics such as Macro-economics, Company update, Market Recap, and provides analysis on key earnings:

ayeshatariq.substack.com
11/ @PodContrarian

This is a very interesting and unique Substack that seeks to write on contrarian companies and stocks:

Contrarian mindset contrarianpod.substack.com
12/ @Couch_Investor

Couch provides a thorough earnings analysis and weekly summaries into different companies in his newsletter. (Also has a great YouTube page with over 18k follows!)

couchinvestor.substack.com
13/
@investwithbtm and @SimonSaysStocks are underfollowed.

Significant knowledge and core expertise in Fintech Company analysis than many people. They are pros for understanding $MQ & $AFRM. Very early investors.

A big community on Seeking Alpha:
seekingalpha.com/author/louis-s…
14/ @Innovestor_

Innovestor has a great newsletter with a wide variety of great content. I enjoy his company deep dives and industry write-ups. Some recent good examples are $GDRX, $MELI

innovestor.substack.com
15/ @MazwoodCap

Maz provides a relaxing newsletter that covers a variety of deep-dives, different companies analyses, and weekly recap on earnings. A good one.

mazwoodcap.substack.com
16/ @TheGINewsletter

The Global Investor is the only newsletter oriented towards deep dives and in-depth articles from companies all over the world. They cover LATAM, Chinese and European companies. Very unique.

theglobalinvestor.substack.com
17/ Finally, @aneesh_tek and @jimmynzhou are low-key accounts.

This duo provides some of the best SaaS and Tech Company analysis on @publiccomps. They go very deep.Anyone who knows Public Comps, knows I could pay for this one.

publiccomps.ck.page/68b465d0c9
18/ That's all. Review the list & Curate.

For this #FF, I thought it was necessary to amplify and highlight some great writers that are underfollowed (</+6K followers) and don't get the praise. Also, I want to commend them for their work. Writing is hard.

Have a great weekend!

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More from @InvestiAnalyst

28 Oct
$UPWK Q3 Earnings Review:

The report was mixed. They laid the foundation for future growth opportunities amongst freelancers & enterprise clients.

Below is my full analysis after digesting the report:
1/ If you missed my initial pre-earnings analysis.

You can find out the key metrics that I was watching before hitting the thread -
2/ The report was mixed. Let's begin with the negatives:

Top-line Revenue:

They were mostly in-line with expectations on the lower end. Weak boost

+38% GSV YoY
+31% Rev YoY
+Slow-down QoQ
+ No major $ Rev adds to Q4 & Full-year guidance.

Technically 1% beat. Disappointing.
Read 11 tweets
27 Oct
$UPWK reports a crucial Q3 Report:

It's one of my largest positions. I'm positioned for both the good and the worst.

Here are the key metrics & my pre-earnings drill for this report (a sneak-peak into how I prepare for earnings):
1/ Rev Estimates:

@hydnbrwn hired a new CFO less than a year ago (Ex $FB Exec). Historically, Jeff beats estimates at 3-4% range.

Below are my expectations using historical metrics I've modelled: At 5%,
+ Yellow will be "OK"
+ Mid-range will be good
+ If we get any of the green
2/ Key Metrics that drive a freelance platform like $UPWK

a) GSV Per Active Client
b) GSV v Marketplace Growth
c) Monitor cohort stickiness

Importantly, last Q; They added 29 New Enterprise Clients that are spending >$1Million (100% YoY).It'll be interesting to see their impact
Read 11 tweets
11 Oct
October Core Portfolio & Update:

• $UPST - 20
• $AFRM - 18
• $UPWK -16
• $CRWD -13
• $NET -9
• $PLTR -8
• $PATH -5
• $CFLT -3
• $AGC (Grab) <1.0

+ Cash: 7%
+ Doubled down on $AFRM & $UPWK

This thread contains Company updates, a recap and my Investing process in Sept:
1/ Sept was a good month:

+ I sold $APPS to add $UPWK during the dip.
+ I bought a new position $AMPL, sold to add $UPWK Calls
+ Plan to re-add APPS & AMPL as I add more cash to my A/C
+ Few other companies below

Below are my updates from Last August:
2/ Portfolio 2: (Manged A/C):

Purely Quant focused, No Narratives:
• $ZS
• $SE
• $SI
• $AMD
• $AMBA
• $STLD
• $LC
• $DOCN
• $CTS-TO

Portfolio criteria is purely based on companies with Profitability + Cash Flow+ Earnings + future EPS + Fwd Rev Growth *acceleration*
Read 27 tweets
9 Oct
This is a comprehensive thread on the Buy-Now-Pay-Later Trend.

Why have the World's Largest Retailers chosen Affirm's BNPL solution instead of building their solution in-house?

This thread explores $AFRM's Competitive Advantage and the current Credit Card disruption:
My Story with Affirm & BNPL started from tracking them on private Mkt's + Day 1 of the IPO:

I started accumulating shares from IPO day as seen below:

I have followed the story from the beginning, so I'm happy to share my journey/learnings:

1/ Let's begin with First Principles:

What is BNPL and how does a BNPL transaction work?

Who are the key partners?

Below is a great overview by my friend @mariogabriele. It breaks down all the key partners. BNPL is more complex under the surface, but this is a good starter:
Read 39 tweets
8 Oct
The outperformance by $UPWK has been unreal.

Institutions are getting ready for earnings on 10/27.

Full Disclosure: This week, I've doubled my position and bought a Jan 2022 Call Option. I'm very long. Not advice.
For new follows/those curious about d reason for increasing my position:

Here's my thread I put last Sunday.

I never expected to see UPWK gain 20% since that thread while d Nasdaq went lower. In my job, I've seen lots of data pointing to the rise in gigs
My original thread on $UPWK with some details.

Read 4 tweets
4 Oct
Few Highlights behind the $UPWK Thesis:

LTM:
• $UPWK: 154%
• $FVRR: 16%

YTD:
• $UPWK: 42%
• $FVRR: (-7%)

NTM:
• In my opinion: $UPWK outperforms $FVRR
[Save this tweet]

Let's review a few snippets behind my thesis: Thread👇
1/ First, a bet on any Biz' is the Management. Let’s start here.

I’ve seen @hydnbrwn on social channels. I’ve been impressed by their passion for @Upwork' mission. I almost can’t tell the difference btw a Founder vs CEO!

The New Mgmt additions LTM have been strong. Thanks, HB!
2/ @AznWeng shared a couple of data points from Revelera showing massive accelerations in the No of new clients showing their products on UPWK. *July and August* seem to have the strongest momentum in their history.

All Courtesy of @Revealera
Read 18 tweets

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