REPEAT Project update: Since 10/20 release of our Preliminary Report, the House passed the Infrastructure Investment & Jobs Act on 11/6 + introduced a new version of Build Back Better on 11/3.
There are a significant number of changes to the Build Back Better Act, which the REPEAT Project has carefully documented along with a thorough catalog of all climate and clean energy provisions in the final Infrastructure Bill at bit.ly/REPEAT-Policies.
This new Addendum compiles emissions results from our original analysis of ‘BBB 1.0’ (from 9/27) WITHOUT the Clean Electricity Performance Program (the most substantive single change from BBB 1.0 to BBB 2.0) + our initial analysis of the Infrastructure Bill impacts.
The REPEAT Project is currently hard at work modeling the updated version of Build Back Better (‘BBB 2.0’) and conducting a final analysis of the Infrastructure Bill, which will supersede results in our preliminary report and this addendum and will be released as soon as possible
To be clear, the Build Back Better Act results in this analysis do not capture all changes in the current legislation (only removal of the CEPP), and should be viewed as approximate estimates of the impact of the current (Nov 3, 2021) version of the Build Back Better Act.
Other significant changes to Build Back Better (11/3 v 9/27 versions) besides removal of the Clean Electricity Performance Program that are NOT captured in this analysis (but will be in our forthcoming results) are deatiled in this thread
1. Significant reductions in funding for energy efficiency, building electrification and electric vehicle charging grants.
2. New funding programs to support U.S. wind, solar and semiconductor manufacturing, industrial decarbonization grants, soil carbon sequestration in agricultural lands, and clean energy and climate resilience workforce development.
3. An increase in the 45Q tax credit for carbon dioxide capture and storage or use to $85/ton for geologic storage of CO2 and $60/ton for industrial uses of CO2.
4. A switch from technology-specific tax credits for renewable electricity and biofuels to a set of new, technology-neutral tax credits for all zero-emissions electricity sources and low-carbon fuels.
Net effects of these changes on emissions outcomes is unclear, and we look forward to sharing our modeling. I would expect the results to be of a similar magnitude however to the BBB 1.0 without CEPP results in this Addendum (+/- ~100 MMT). Stay tuned at repeatproject.org!
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I've seen a lot of reporting on my area of expertise that makes me cringe or yell at the screen, while prompting skepticism about how well the outlet covers other topics I dont know much about. Not so in this case! Very accurate and, just a TAD more entertaining than my lectures.
How many EVs does each state need on the road in 2030? How much land will solar or wind need? How large will the energy workforce be? @Princeton Net-Zero America study FINAL REPORT is out & our state-level data viewer can answer these and other questions netzeroamerica.princeton.edu
Also NEW in the Net-Zero America final report: 1. A summay report excerpting key findings from the 348 slide full report.
2. Dozens of new sensitivity cases to explore the impact of key uncertainties (see Annex B for detailed info).
3. Detailed mapping or "downscaling" of wind, solar & transmission build-out for more pathways (plus an updated city-to-city transmission planning optimization method).
Caveat emptor: Any errors in interpretation or reading of the legislative text are our own.
Here's a run-down of some key changes as the bill has evolved from "BBB 1.0" -- the $3.5 trillion dollar package introduced in Sept. which we modeled previously at repeatproject.org -- to this $1.85 trillion version moving towards a vote potentially later today... 🧵
The @AndlingerCenter@Princeton is searching for TWO new assistant professors to join our multidisciplinary faculty and work on the biggest challenges in sustainable energy production & use. #AcademicJobs#EnergyTwitter:
The 1st search (puwebp.princeton.edu/AcadHire/apply…) in the field of sustainable energy and environmental science, engineering and technology is focused on researchers with expertise in decarbonizing industries, such as in chemicals, fuels, materials, and water beyond the power sector.
The 2nd search (puwebp.princeton.edu/AcadHire/apply…) is focused on candidates with expertise in energy economics, energy finance, decision & behavioral sciences, or law related to energy technology & the env. incl. policy and technology adoption related to energy transitionss & GHG reduction
It's been fast & furious around here, so I've not had time to share some fun news: as of this month, I've joined the Advisory Board of @Eavor, developer of advanced closed-loop geothermal energy technology. Clean, firm, flexible power, widely available. eavor.com
My research has consistently illustrated the value of 'clean firm power' -- available any time of the year, as long as needed -- as critical complement to 'fuel saving' variable renewables & energy-limited 'fast burst' batteries or demand flexibility. eg: sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Furthermore, we find that FLEXIBLE firm resources are more valuable than those that operate constantly as always-on "baseload" generation. When prices are zero much of the time, producing flat out all the time isn't as valuable as shifting your output to the most vaulable times.
First, a $320 billion package of tax credits for electric vehicles, heat pumps and energy efficient buildings, clean energy, transmission, energy storage, carbon capture and industrial decarbonization, are the core of the plan.
Here's what is in store for the power sector ⚡️ ⤵️
There are new tax credits for investment in electricity transmission (a key priority, since @Princeton Net-Zero America study shows we've gotta expand US transmission by as much as 60% by 2030) and energy storage and a new $180/ton credit kick-start direct air capture technology