0 – Got involved w/ @rct_ai; after YC-funding + years of hard work in AI generated content, it’s now leveraging its R&D to explore 3 interesting (& lucrative) GameFi primitives:

- Bots-as-a-service for P2E
- Matrix of NFT-enabled casual games
- AAA Open-world & MMO & FPS title
1 – rct’s “botting” arm @DeterrenceAI basically aims to automate in-game actions specifically targeting P2E games. In other words, instead of needing actual real people to “farm” say $SLP in Axie, there’s no reason why rct’s bot can’t do it.
2 – Machines already automate most of our lives today, & it seems likely that players, DAOs, and guilds will soon “employ” them in P2E games – I could see game devs hating it, but it’s probably best to embrace & tweak in-game econ than to fight the inevitable.
3 – Similar to transport cost likely collapsing towards cost of production & capital when vehicle autonomy approaches level 5 / 6 + cutting labor out of equation, the bots here can collapse player take-rate and dominate market share (it'd be most economic for capital to "hire").
4 - …so the future of GameFi guilds will likely not be mostly real players, but small group of capital owners & programmers, unless the games are highly complex where bots can’t be trained easily (but then again, AI is already crushing Go, poker, and Starcraft pros).
5 – thus, the leading “botting AI” staying on the frontier (best R&D = highest ROI on subscription = most adoption = can reduce take rate + hire best R&D) can be insanely lucrative when the Web3 gaming space takes off (and should way outperform pure-human guilds).
6 – rct’s 2nd initiative @joinmirrorworld (MW) is I think to (a) showcase its AI and (b) test how causal game series can be built around AI-enabled NFTs (powered by Deterrence). I view this as mostly just buidling to understand how the Web3 gaming space works + funding mechanism.
7 - Namely on point b, how rct's AI know-how can get integrated with Web3 GameFi remains fuzzy at the moment (rct's clients would ask: "but what can it do?"), so MW as a testfield to showcase the findings (botting, dialogues, etc) seem most reasonable.
8 – rct’s 3rd initiative is this (unannounced) AAA shooter title named project Odyssey which had been in development over the past 2-3 years. The game had a storied past where you can dig up via the internet (search for Code: Odyssey or 代号:奥德赛)
9 - …which as far as we know is testing / partial release in 1-2Q 2022. More details should be out very soon - judging by the 5-40 Bn token valuation in GameFi market, won’t be surprised to see similar path of launching a token. Decent trailer as well ;)
10 – we do worry a bit about @xiankunwu and @Sergio2Chan taking on too many things at once (significant execution risk), so #1 key currently would be to fundraise / hire top talent to focus on what’s at hand. The grit, ambition, and pace of execution had been impressive so far.
11 – We wish the team all the best and will be working with them on (a) marketing / messaging / community communication and (b) thinking through the narrative + tokeneconomics as well as jamming on Web3 trends in general.
0.1 - AIGC here is not really AI generated images, videos, etc, but actually in-game mechanics such as battle AI, in-game dialogues, dynamic narrative / reaction based on environments, etc. Not every studio is Rockstar games and can spend millions on every single NPC!

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More from @MapleLeafCap

21 Oct
I'm looking for a Research Partner to help buidl @FoliusVentures together.

If you an ex-founder / prop / HF / big tech / degen ready to explore everything out there in Web3, this is for you.
1. The gig:

- lead both public and private investment ideas, full process from A-to-Z, multichain
- help projects in many ways (buidl, tokenecon, biz dev, audit, etc)
- write fire research threads / decks, get ready for podcasts and interviews
2. The ask:

- you are an expert in some Web3 domain(s) and can run circles around me
- you write (much+++) better code than me
- we see eye to eye on what a "good investment" is
- you are really in it for the tech
- you are fluent in >= 1 language(s) aside from English
Read 6 tweets
25 Sep
Been noodling on this Bybit $BIT token for some time. Haven't formed a strong view yet, but I think it might be the cheapest trailing FDV / stakeholder rev. project in the exchange sector today. @QuirkyQwerty_ had a good post about it a week back:
To put it in context, the CEX clears $8-10 Bn of futures volume / day on its gross fee of 5 bps translates to almost 2.5-3 mm of cash (50% of gross fee) going directly into Bitdao treasury / day, almost $1 Bn / year. The treasury already has ~$500+ mm ETH/USD + ~$4 Bn of BIT.
In TradFi speak, $BIT = stonk at 15-20x P/FCF w/ a bal sht of 500 mm cash & can use its 4 Bn $BIT to do deals. 1 thing to note is that while gross fees is 5 bps, after rebate / ref, disc, etc net-fee could be ~2.5-3.5 bps: Bybit is flowing most of its gross profit to Bitdao.
Read 10 tweets
31 Aug
This one hits home. Turns out the moments one tend to remember are the paths not taken:

- Out of college my friend/ roommate ask me to join him as cofounder of a new lending solution. I passed wanting to hold on to my banking job. It’s now one of the largest in this space.
- During my second gig on WS, a good friend of mine is heading back to China to join some news tech company startup and asked if I want to join him via referral. I had a decent HF job at the time and was like nahhhh. That business was called Bytedance.
- and this one is even more recent. I remember learning about Delphi working on some “axey” thing in their WS WeWork and had sushi with another Chad in Taipei as recent as jan 20 about this Dee-Fi stuff. Was like hmmm but I’m still sceptical. You all know what happened next.
Read 5 tweets
25 Aug
(0) Since our last report on Dec 17th, 2020, the Web3 narrative had moved far beyond single-chain #DeFi to prompt another iteration – this time on where we are re: Web3, #DeFi, token gov & fundamentals, & new primitives.

EN: docsend.com/view/9x4a3reuv…
CN: docsend.com/view/np5dhyyc9…
(0.5) Quick side-note, you may notice the new primitive section being a bit barren – that’s because a single person can no longer cover the space by him/herself (aka me aka ngmi :/). Folius needs help and is hiring (more on this later), but plz do reach out if you are interested!
(1) A feature-complete Web3 to us is a friction-and-cost-minimized info & value transfer network, and while BTC is closer to early-adopter status, the broader Web3 with ~5-10 mm MAU is more like the internet in the mid-1990s.
Read 22 tweets
19 Aug
0 - It’s been a long time coming. Today I am announcing @FoliusVentures / 一叶创投 dedicated to investing in, evangelizing, and buidling the Web3 future w/ a global mandate (APAC focus to start).Ping me on twitter / Telegram with the same handle if you wanna jam!
1 - By way of background, I graduated from CMU way back in 2012 and spent the past 8-9 years in NYC TradFi, first at DB, then at a family office doing mostly US equities investing, then at a global non-US Tiger grandcub focused on small-cap equities….
2 - …where I covered mainly China-related and software businesses. The deep dive into crypto didn't really start until early 2018 (later than a lot of you!) and MLC was really a spur-of-the-moment moniker which I will be keeping (but unfortunately I'm not Canadian =/)
Read 16 tweets
14 Jun
(0) There aren’t that many apps that straddle multi-chain, multi-layer (“MCML”) yet, so this is an under-explored area, but I think teams should really start thinking about aggregating such data. Let’s take $SUSHI as an example.
(1) As for today, Sushi’s TVL on Matic makes up almost 30% of its overall TVL (from a standing start in early May). It’s not hard to imagine the same would apply to pending Arbitrum / Optimism roll-out also (and to the extent BSC returns).
(2) The utilization is actually remarkably good – as of today Sushi on Matic is doing similar volumes as it does on ETH, making on-chain TVL almost 2-3x more efficient on Matic. In aggregate $SUSHI is doing more volume now vs. Feb and April. Ignoring FTM given only 2-5 mm volume.
Read 8 tweets

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